March Madness

[Typhoon Tip]

5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Keep in mind some of the same people said the back of winter was broken prior to much of SNE getting 18 -36 inches of snow during a span of a few days.. 

 

Ah... both things can be true.   

'Sides, to be fair ... it's snowed 30" in April before, when winter's back was most definitely broke.  LOL

 

[Donut Hole]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI trying for NoP too later in the week. We press?

OK stupid question, what is NoP?  Hoping it mean no Precip because still hoping to avoid rain at Jay Thursday Friday 

[Great Snow 1717]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Ah... both things can be true.   

'Sides, to be fair ... it's snowed 30" in April before, when winter's back was most definitely broke.  LOL

 

April is a hell of a lot different than February...

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Donut Hole said:

OK stupid question, what is NoP?  Hoping it mean no Precip because still hoping to avoid rain at Jay Thursday Friday 

North of pike

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Donut Hole said:

OK stupid question, what is NoP?  Hoping it mean no Precip because still hoping to avoid rain at Jay Thursday Friday 

North of Mass Pike 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

April is a hell of a lot different than February...

No one was talking about snow.

[Great Snow 1717]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

No one was talking about snow.

 

C'mon some people were certainly referring to snow when they mentioned the back of winter being broken..winter involves more than just "cold"..

[Ginx snewx]

My St Bernard Husky mix today trying to navigate the heavy deep wet snow.  From his paws to chest is 18 inches. Bottom is still icy. Always check him but he is a beast not bothered 

[dendrite]

14 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

 

C'mon some people were certainly referring to snow when they mentioned the back of winter being broken..winter involves more than just "cold"..

Nope

[Typhoon Tip]

mm..  Brian makes a good point on that.   

well, firstly...the whole "season's back broke" thing is both stupid, and my fault. I'm the one that first proffered that metaphor back 15 years ago. ... I remember doing so, and have regretted having done so, ever since.  Because people don't use it within the restraint of objectivity; they abuse the use and/or there is no consistent definition of what that is.  Mostly, whomever doesn't like the season at hand cites the back broke sentiment at least excuse to do so which isn't the purpose of that either. 

When I first said that years ago, it was in deference to the 'pattern of summer' breaking down.   There are certain climo pattern return tendencies for each season. In august, we typically do so the first signs that it is teetering. This is sensibly revealed by no longer being as persistently hot(not being cold) in latter summer or winter, respectively.   

What's skewing matters is CC ( also) because we are observing summer looks in Novembers, and winter looks in Mays.  It's why I regret ever starting that meme saying. It's like backs are healing for more hefting.    

In this case of winter 2026 and what Brian's sort of intimating there, a big blocking episode was ending in mid February, and folks had March right there in their foresight by then, so it seemed just as good a time.  It just so happens we tucked a historic storm in there. LOL

[mahk_webstah]

It seems like its hard to get a handle on what’s gonna happen over the next few days.  Pattern change.

[Modfan2]

Seems like temps for today busted high, was forecasted to be 36F and sitting at 42F

[dendrite]

I think people lose track of when some of us are trolling and when we’re not. On the last page…I was goofing around and trolling. A couple weeks ago, when the worst of the cold lifted out, a few of us mentioned the worst of winter was behind us cold wise…I think Scoot may have thrown out a back broken too. But it was just in reference to the time of the year, the extended temp outlook for the rest Feb, and climo. But I don’t recall anyone saying snow season was broken. 

[MJO812]

[Damage In Tolland]

36 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Seems like temps for today busted high, was forecasted to be 36F and sitting at 42F

Your thermo always too warm. IJD is 38. Knock off 4-5 degrees of your highs each day  for actual 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Your thermo always too warm. IJD is 38. Knock off 4-5 degrees if your Hughes h day for actual 

Yes everyone is around 37

[DavisStraight]

33 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Seems like temps for today busted high, was forecasted to be 36F and sitting at 42F

35 is our high, what temps south of you?

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yes everyone is around 37

No one is even 40

[dendrite]

Would be funny if the euro finally came close to verifying next week considering how checked out I am

[tamarack]

34 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We often are muchly different from the US averages.  2009-10 was one of the coldest met winters for the country, and one of the mildest here.

Colder now than the morning minimum and headed down under full sun.

[ORH_wxman]

If this verifies, this is where we’ll likely have multiple threats during the 3/15-3/25 period. That’s not a rotted out polar airmass. But if it backs off, then no dice. 
 

 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Would be funny if the euro finally came close to verifying next week considering how checked out I am

All the forecast that I’ve looked at give us like 3 inches of snow on Tuesday night and then just mixing with rain the rest of the week. WPC has over an inch of QPF.  But none of the forecast seemed to be very high confidence.

[Spanks45]

45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No one is even 40

I'm even sitting at 37, in the valley under full sun and even some grass patches showing

[Spanks45]

29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If this verifies, this is where we’ll likely have multiple threats during the 3/15-3/25 period. That’s not a rotted out polar airmass. But if it backs off, then no dice. 
 

 

ugghh, well why not....but maybe it can dump all of the cold, all at once. Leaving no cold behind it and Spring can come rushing in afterwards

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

All the forecast that I’ve looked at give us like 3 inches of snow on Tuesday night and then just mixing with rain the rest of the week. WPC has over an inch of QPF.  But none of the forecast seemed to be very high confidence.

We’re riding the edge up here…even the gfs is a period of snow late week before mixing. But it could easily end up mostly taint. That H7-85 layer will be pretty warm.

[Damage In Tolland]

45 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Would be funny if the euro finally came close to verifying next week considering how checked out I am

Translated … look at all this snow I’m progged to get while you all get cold rain and misery.. I’m looking forward to tracking several snow events 

[CoastalWx]

Down at my parents for dinner. Deep pack and 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Seems like temps for today busted high, was forecasted to be 36F and sitting at 42F

This is actually the first day of the impending warm season where the sun offsets CAA.   It's forcing is lagging the CAA - helped also by the fact that it's a light d-slope also.   But this is common in spring and summer.  Sometimes, we actually get "hot" behind cold fronts when the d-slope dries out and the intense diabatic flux then extends the BL and we roast under retarded/offset 850s.  That night it'll shed 30 F though

When the sun kisses the western horizon, the temp's going to drop like a disgraced prom date. 

[8611Blizz]

Reached 39 here. Nice day. Bit of a breeze though...