Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[Solution Man]

Just now, Chris78 said:

Where are you seeing it?

Warrenton-Gainesville to the north into Leessburg-Fredrick

[HighStakes]

Heavy Snow. 33. Starting to stick nicely.

[MLynnWx]

Sticking in Purcellville 33

[diatae]

Even chonkier parachute snow. So, SN+?

[rjvanals]

Snow in Potomac no accumulation yet 34f

[Eskimo Joe]

 

 

[Demeter]

Starting to see some flakes mix in Spotsy 50/50 mix at this point.   Scratch that, just as quick as they started more flakes than rain. 

[ifindppl]

Down to 36.2 in Olney. Mostly flakes, light.  Wind picked up along w/the snow.  Hopefully it is the beginning of something good. There is a lot of water of the tree branches. 

[LeesburgWx]

Around an inch here now. Still coming down hard

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, rjvanals said:

Snow in Potomac no accumulation yet 34f

The Potomac mesonet site is down to 33°. https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-37

Should see accumulations shortly.

[mitchnick]

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I was being honest. I never would have even gone 5-10. I was thinking 4-8 and I’d be dropping it right now to 3-7 maybe not increasing it. I honestly want to know what went into their decision. Maybe I’m missing something and I can learn. 

My NWS forecast out of State College went down to 1-3" hours ago. Lol

[WxUSAF]

All snow giant flakes. My PWS (which doesn’t do great when it’s wet) has lost like 5F in the last 90 mins. But neighbors’ suggest about 34 now.

[arlwx12]

OOH! I think there are actual snowflakes maxing in near DCA!

[Grothar of Herndon]

13 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

Western Fairfax/Herndon - it's been snowing pretty heavily for the last 30 minutes at least. Deck caving....

Same here. Nice rates so far…

[jmk]

Grass is coated, car is topped.  heavy rates for the last 30 min 

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, arlwx12 said:

OOH! I think there are actual snowflakes maxing in near DCA!

Definitely an uptick in mPING reports indicating snow immediately around DCA. It's happening!

[rjvanals]

2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

The Potomac mesonet site is down to 33°. https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-37

Should see accumulations shortly.

Yeah hopefully soon as slush is starting to form up 

[yoda]

7 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Surface obs and radar line up pretty good showing the convergence zone for that inverted trough band. 

It has finally begun to snow again here, lightly. Temps are back below freezing as well back to 31ºF. At this point I’d consider another 1-2” from this event a win with that band setting up to the east of here. 

 

 

5 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Nowhere, because it hasn't formed yet

 

[87storms]

4 minutes ago, MDphotog said:

I think you will do much better, but 18Z 3k Nam has me done by 7pm.  HRRR has it going longer, but I've been burnt by that one before.  

Just saw that. Looks like the coastal is a little further east than we want, which the euro was hinting at all week. Guess we’ll find out tomorrow lol. We can typically score with a good ull pass, which is still on the table.

[arlwx12]

 meant mixing, Not maxing.

[Ravens94]

Waldorf 

[aldie 22]

I mean it's snowing still...im having daydreams that the norlun will somehow clip my area...im literally just across the boarder from Clarke County 

[mitchnick]

Once the heavier precip that was rotating in from the SE got over mby, it went to all snow with big flakes. 

[Solution Man]

+SN , ground caving

[Wxtrix]

4 minutes ago, MDphotog said:

I think you will do much better, but 18Z 3k Nam has me done by 7pm.  HRRR has it going longer, but I've been burnt by that one before.  

why look at models when radar and obs are the real life data in front of us? the storm isn’t over. nothing meaningful was going to happen during daylight hours unless you’re well east where the blizzard will be.

[bncho]

This start made me think of 1/3/2022. We had a boom scenario due to the heavy rates despite warm temperatures preceding the storm. Maybe it'll happen here?

[ThePhotoGuy]

Snow finally starting to mix in. Temp 35.4 after a high of 38.3.

Rain total: 0.46

[WVsnowlover]

Best rates of the day. Absolutely dumping big fat flakes. Major radar enhancement here in the last 10-15 minutes. 

[PasadenaMDSnow]

Finally seeing snow in pasadena

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

I mean it's snowing still...im having daydreams that the norlun will somehow clip my area...im literally just across the boarder from Clarke County 

You're not going to move again, are you?