Eskimo Joe Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Amped said: 1002mb to 977mb in 12 hrs Blizzard. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I'm all in. 100% invested. It's game time. Let's do this. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: NAM is the most aggressive with the flip to accumulating snow. We've seen the opposite before, where the NAM tries to flip us to sleet and we all laugh, until it happens. Hopefully the NAM is getting the vertical profiles correct and we all win. Soundings have us at 33-34 at 18z tomorrow. Other runs/models were 35-37 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Lol 6 level contour closed off h5 at 36 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Nam is a smoke show, absolutely beautiful Maybe not "smoke" per se, but pasted with mashed potatoes sticking to every single surface if that verifies!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 NAM is the most aggressive with the flip to accumulating snow. We've seen the opposite before, where the NAM tries to flip us to sleet and we all laugh, until it happens. Hopefully the NAM is getting the vertical profiles correct and we all win.Yep! NAM tends to do the best with what is going on up above. Nailed last month’s sleetfest. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 How we doing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Soundings have us at 33-34 at 18z tomorrow. Other runs/models were 35-37 Does it crash temps (relatively speaking) after 18Z sometime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 It was nearly the most accurate IMO with the flip over to sleet in the January storm. Was garbage at the QPF though until the last second. But this is a fun run. No doubt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wtf is this 2 2 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, yoda said: Wtf is this I need clown maps asap. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, yoda said: Wtf is this First tropical system of the season??? 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Lol the NAM's gonna put down 2.0" QPF+ at BWI.. 1.5" at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Precip shield is more spread out to the northwest ths run instead of concentrated over snj. Makes the forecast easier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 13 minutes ago, Snowman. said: The 18z NAM is way west of 12z that may not be a good thing if its taking the enhancment west and still not giving us CCB 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 We are back! All my chips in the NAM at this point after watching it own everything 12-18 hours out with the sleet storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I'm not giving up back here for something decent despite what my fellow Valley boys keep saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Randy might want to get a flight back asap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Ji said: that may not be a good thing if its taking the enhancment west and still not giving us CCB Bro, this is good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Lol the NAM's gonna put down 2.0" QPF+ at BWI.. 1.5" at DCA The scream you hear in the distance is every utility crew in the area. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 For those of you keeping score at home, 965 mb (as the 18z NAM just showed) would be the cutoff between Cat 2 and Cat 3 if this was tropical. (Enjoying the hell out of watching y'all track this from down here in Tallahassee -- let the big dog eat!) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Ji said: that may not be a good thing if its taking the enhancment west and still not giving us CCB The hell you talking about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Still snowing moderately in DC metro at 45 on 18z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: We are back! All my chips in the NAM at this point after watching it own everything 12-18 hours out with the sleet storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Randy might want to get a flight back asapMight as well fly into Islip. Get your money’s worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, bncho said: I was thinking about the NAM in an Indian restaurant, then I saw this… perhaps a harbinger for 18z now hold on a minute.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, beanskip said: For those of you keeping score at home, 965 mb (as the 18z NAM just showed) would be the cutoff between Cat 2 and Cat 3 if this was tropical. (Enjoying the hell out of watching y'all track this from down here in Tallahassee -- let the big dog eat!) How low did White Hurricane of 1888 go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Jersey Andrew said: How low did White Hurricane of 1888 go? Quick search finds that 955 mb is the lowest for non-tropical. 1888 storm -- 980. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Still snowing moderately in DC metro at 45 on 18z NAM Not sure about moderate. We are tacking on 0.01 to 0.02”/hr from 3am on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The whole state of NJ is over 25” on the NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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