2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2

[baltosquid]

3k is dumping, wow.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Wow that was exactly what we needed! Beefy CCB can overcome marginal temps as the afternoon progresses. 

[bncho]

i think the alberta vort phased a little bit?

[baltosquid]

3k does have a classic 95 subsidence area though lol. But this is a good run.

[LP08]

[Terpeast]

Definitely still in the game. The heavier daytime precip is, the better. The more precip after 5pm/sunset, the better. Hopefully both west of 95

[DDweatherman]

That’s a Nam-ing. H5 made it pretty obvious it would leading in. Low jumps west and so does the qpf field. 

[LP08]

3k has the inverted trough over Winchester with the ccb over 95. 

[aldie 22]

Just now, LP08 said:

3k has the inverted trough over Winchester with the ccb over 95. 

Go on

[Solution Man]

Scoring in the evening is how we do it

[Wetbulbs88]

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Definitely still in the game. The heavier daytime precip is, the better. The more precip after 5pm/sunset, the better. Hopefully both west of 95

Usually these things take longer to get cranking than modeled. I feel good about our timing. 

[H2O]

2 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

3k does have a classic 95 subsidence area though lol. But this is a good run.

You can never ignore that corridor of shit air screwing it up for many

[LP08]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Go on

 

[Benchmark]

This baby is right on my G Spot... Thing of beauty!

[aldie 22]

Just now, LP08 said:

 

Looks like eastern Loudoun is stuck in between 

[peribonca]

Nam has the equivalent of a category 2 hurricane off OC at 45h

[Climate175]

2 minutes ago, LP08 said:

 

Oh, wow. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

NAM throws a nice band back west Monday morning. Has the coastal low at 966mb

[Scraff]

Can’t wait to see the NAMing clown map…

[DDweatherman]

Good start to the 12z suite. 

[aldie 22]

Less than perfect model but can you ignore it at this point?

[BristowWx]

Maybe this event has some surprises in store.  For all of us.  

[87storms]

5 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Definitely still in the game. The heavier daytime precip is, the better. The more precip after 5pm/sunset, the better. Hopefully both west of 95

I’m becoming bullish on our area for this one. We might do pretty well being on the windward side of the blue ridge. The screw zone will be somewhere in between due to temps and getting fringed by the developing coastal.

[nj2va]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Less than perfect model but can you ignore it at this point?

Can’t ignore the thermals especially the 3k and I don’t mind it

[MN Transplant]

The 3km is a really nice run.  It has the 5-9pm period as a key for solid snow, but it also throws back more precip overnight, especially closer to the Bay.  Verbatim, there is 0.65" of precip after 5pm in DC and nearly 0.9" in Baltimore.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Just now, nj2va said:

Can’t ignore the thermals especially the 3k and I don’t mind it

Gimme the CCB and let the chips fall, not sweating thermals.

[LP08]

1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

The 3km is a really nice run.  It has the 5-9pm period as a key for solid snow, but it also throws back more precip overnight, especially closer to the Bay.  Verbatim, there is 0.65" of precip after 5pm in DC and nearly 0.9" in Baltimore.

It’s the best solution for us.  Let’s keep it going.

[nj2va]

1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Gimme the CCB and let the chips fall, not sweating thermals.

The 3k was a great run, especially as I look at it more

[NorthArlington101]

[LP08]

Snows basically most of the day Monday too. What a beast of a storm