“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I don’t think people are prepared for the possibility this could be a big storm.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

NAM is borderline historic hereb

[WxWatcher007]

18 hours ago, dryslot said:

You'll know this is legit when folks start to worry about a mix line..............lol

Yessir...it's coming. 

20 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

ACK mixes on that run.wowzers

 

9 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

Snow lovers in ACK are sweating

 

[ineedsnow]

ICON better

[weathafella]

32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah...  look, as recently as 2008, there was something like 6-10" of busting positive snow some random Tuesday afternoon up here over interior/eastern zones, and what transpire on the grid-locked roads, serious caused a 5 hour commute for some people trying to drive 15 miles.  It was a dense burst of 3"/hr rates, into one of those micro-transient cultural vibes of obliviousness like you described was going on with 1978's morning hours of laissez-faire coffee and crumpet business as usual attitudes.

This shit happens.  You dump a foot in 2.5 hours onto an incredulous, (head) dense demographic ... you're fucked.   1978 did 20-30 in 18 hours really

12/13/2007

[MuddyWx]

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I don’t think people are prepared for the possibility this could be a big storm.

think of all the ways it could go wrong...

 

...and do the opposite

 

[dendrite]

ICON tries to deliver that coastal front for Ray. He gets some pregame before the system even arrives.

[snowman21]

2 minutes ago, Fozz said:

So is this a blizzard?

Likely for eastern zones. How close this tracks will determine how far west the wind and vis criteria are met.

[Fozz]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I don’t think people are prepared for the possibility this could be a big storm.

I was ready to write it off as another OTS disappointment… even I’m not mentally ready for what might be coming.

The NAM is probably overdone but it’s an incredible track and evolution.

[MuddyWx]

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Icon and NAM are 18-24” here. Wild

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The Sierras are much higher up in elevation. Less downward travel of the precip 

Jan 22 actually 16 to 1 tell me how that happened. I don't buy the wind stuff at all. We shall see 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Icon gross. Our WOR worry shows its teeth.

[MuddyWx]

Reggie a bit better but still an eastern outlier

[ineedsnow]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Icon gross. Our WOR worry shows its teeth.

it moved a good amount west from 12z

[bristolri_wx]

1 hour ago, TheSnowman said:

No I’m returning TUESDAY.  That’s why I always know this storm was coming.  I’m going to miss it.  Was home for 18 days.  

 

Hence the Name of the thread.  

Thank you for your service.

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

NAM is borderline historic hereb

Mentioned it before once we get the nam bomb game on LFG

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, MuddyWx said:

Reggie a bit better but still an eastern outlier

Yep, Reggie is a pretty pedestrian low end warning event for most...except the Cape and maybe south shore. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Icon gross. Our WOR worry shows its teeth.

Icon? Cmon 

[RDRY]

This thing is intensifying at the ideal time and position.

[bristolri_wx]

NBM QPF Trend...

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 22 actually 16 to 1 tell me how that happened. I don't buy the wind stuff at all. We shall see 

Ultimately, the processes involved are extremely complex. I'm sure if you have extremely sufficient snow growth production that can offset stronger winds. I don't recall what the winds aloft were that day but the winds with this will be a completely different magnitude. I also would think wind at cloud level will be much stronger than Jan 16 too. 

I do agree, I think the wind can get overstated at times when talking about being a hinder to ratios and snowgrowth but this would be a whole other level of magnitude that IMO winds would absolutely impact growth and ratios.

[dendrite]

Def seeing some Jan 15 lite signs 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said:

NBM QPF Trend...

Not surprised given the increase in llvl dynamics. In fact, these totals from the NBM at this range are pretty damn impressive I think. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

NBM QPF Trend...

Rob peter out west to paul in the east…fml.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Icon gross. Our WOR worry shows its teeth.

I have never seen someone worry so much over a storm that is going to drop 1-2 feet + over the entire region 

[dendrite]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

Ultimately, the processes involved are extremely complex. I'm sure if you have extremely sufficient snow growth production that can offset stronger winds. I don't recall what the winds aloft were that day but the winds with this will be a completely different magnitude. I also would think wind at cloud level will be much stronger than Jan 16 too. 

I do agree, I think the wind can get overstated at times when talking about being a hinder to ratios and snowgrowth but this would be a whole other level of magnitude that IMO winds would absolutely impact growth and ratios.

No one is even getting accurate measurements in 30mph+ sustained. The problem is moreso snow transport at the sfc.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I have never seen someone worry so much over a storm that is going to drop 1-2 feet + over the entire region 

Lies…TFlizzy, never?

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Def seeing some Jan 15 lite signs 

ICON ens