“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[dendrite]

N Foster is 62”

Not sure how he compares

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Should be quite a deformation band way west with this. Congrats Southbury 

I appreciate your efforts homie but good luck using the gfs living on an epstein island…

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

My Climo is 61 since the great 1992 era began.  And I’ve personally measured since 2002.  I (at least in the old days) get Far more snow than neighboring Woonsocket or Providence or Pawtucket)  

Your climo is not 61. Foster RI is like 60. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

N Foster is 62”

Not sure how he compares

Less 

[CoastalWx]

The winter of nut kicks. At least we felt it was a dream. 

[George001]

54 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

DC will reach close to my seasonal total from this storm, and I’ll be watching cirrus float by.

This winter has positively sucked outside of 1 great event. Cold and constant misses, the worst 

DC probably isn’t getting shit from this, it’s a coastal scraper setup. The pattern doesn’t really support a big snow there. We are seeing some consolidation on guidance now, I expect the GFS to bump east at 18z and come in line with the rest of the guidance.

[vortex95]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

ICON is NW! LOL.

Scott likes the 38" bulls-eye 12z GFS over DCA!

[vortex95]

43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ukie looks like my ass after the General Gau’s dinner special. Gfs is on crack. 

500 on UKMET has gone to crap.

[CCHurricane]

EURO-AI shifting east to Operational cluster (sans GFS).

[vortex95]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The winter of nut kicks. At least we felt it was a dream. 

Huh?  You get two feet in a single storm and it is called a dream????  Negative Nancy.

[TheSnowman]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Your climo is not 61. Foster RI is like 60. 

Since.  1992.  The Great Snow Era.

 

 Since 1890 it’s 51.  

[George001]

1 minute ago, vortex95 said:

Huh?  You get two feet in a single storm and it is called a dream????  Negative Nancy.

Im someone with high expectations, even winters like 2021-2022 that had a lot of snow didn’t really impress me since there was no staying power. Based on our seasonal snow (so far) relative to normal, temps and snow cover, this winter has impressed me more than any winter we have had since the legendary 14-15 winter. 

[Kitz Craver]

Ceeeeeee-yaaaaaaaa

[8611Blizz]

All this talk of averages reminds me that the local mets mentioned boston is at 41" and we're only about 9 inches from normal.  When did KBOS go to 50 for an average?  Most of my life it has been about 40", maybe 43? Did the post 90s kick in?

[brooklynwx99]

the funny thing is that when you look under the hood, the ECMWF and GFS are really not that different. this is such a high sensitivity setup

[DavisStraight]

This storm reminds me of a couple of 80s storms, the Cape got hit on them but just cloudy in Central Mass.

[brooklynwx99]

groan if you want, but it's really not that different. i'm still thinking this is a near miss but this is a super nonlinear setup

[mahk_webstah]

I still like the little hook north on the euro AI but then it slides ene 

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Since.  1992.  The Great Snow Era.

 

 Since 1890 it’s 51.  

Yeah but that’s not a realistic climo. We all know  this recent 30 year period is inflated and about to deflate. 

[vortex95]

3 minutes ago, George001 said:

Im someone with high expectations, even winters like 2021-2022 that had a lot of snow didn’t really impress me since there was no staying power. Based on our seasonal snow (so far) relative to normal, temps and snow cover, this winter has impressed me more than any winter we have had since the legendary 14-15 winter. 

Staying power winters in SNE are much less common than winters w/ great snowstorms.  But it's good you at least acknowledge this winter is good or decent.  Now compare that to CoastalWx, who seems drowning in the cesspool no matter what happens! 

[Henry's Weather]

I quit at 72 hours

[dryslot]

Almost time to dig out of the archives, "It looks great @H5"

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Almost time to dig out of the archives, "It looks great @H5"

Already did that earlier. 

[vortex95]

19 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

All this talk of averages reminds me that the local mets mentioned boston is at 41" and we're only about 9 inches from normal.  When did KBOS go to 50 for an average?  Most of my life it has been about 40", maybe 43? Did the post 90s kick in?

Going from 1981-2010 to 1991-2020 normals raised BOS avg snowfall 7" to 49".  That's how lame the snowfall was in the 1980s and how great it was in the new 30-yr period.  Such an avg snowfall increase is quite remarkable IMHO, esp. for a coastal location that battles "marine infections" often!

[Typhoon Tip]

Nah ... Euro just can't seem to constructively merge those wave spaces.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, CCHurricane said:

FWIW: while still VERY far away from GFS solution, UKMET 12z vs. 00z changed upper level look quite a bit.

Having said that, end result could still be the same with as we've seen time and time again this winter re: vort messing with track well off the coast...

 

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Significantly better at 500 though.. 

 

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Almost time to dig out of the archives, "It looks great @H5"

 

GYC

[Kitz Craver]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the funny thing is that when you look under the hood, the ECMWF and GFS are really not that different. this is such a high sensitivity setup

The question is does the EURO look like everything else now? 

[Henry's Weather]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

the funny thing is that when you look under the hood, the ECMWF and GFS are really not that different. this is such a high sensitivity setup

Check out how much more robust the omega block is on the GFS - I think that is a main player. GTFO confluence and let that ridge hike

[weathafella]

28 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

My Climo is 61 since the great 1992 era began.  And I’ve personally measured since 2002.  I (at least in the old days) get Far more snow than neighboring Woonsocket or Providence or Pawtucket)  

 Climo for season though?  Yes if nothing happens til spring it’s sub par but you could easily reach climo with another solid 6 weeks left.

[MJO812]

JB likes 10-20 inches from DC to boston