“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Euro ai similar to 0z to my untrained eye, perhaps slightly se?  But solid precip shield in sne 

Tick se

[dendrite]

Goofus has a potent little s/w dive in late to help give the system another bump north toward SNE. The euro doesn’t have much of a trailing s/w and it just scoots E-ENE.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully I come out of the gym to weenies taking off clothes to 6z euro and euro ai.

Nope I put them back on, keep on getting dressed and undressed to EURO / GFS

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Dr nos at 6z

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Dr nos at 6z

Euro ai wasn’t a no

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Euro ai wasn’t a no

What did that show

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

Euro ai wasn’t a no

I need to see GFS and CMC to hold and expand precip shield and 12z AI come NW like 00z or even better, that would give me solid confidence and think that the EURO will eventually cave.. But if AI/GFS/CMC start ticking SE we can expect a blend towards EURO solution. 

[mahk_webstah]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

What did that show

Slight tick se but still a snowstorm for esne 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

What did that show

ticked SE nice mod event back to 91 would get some good banding, potentially major ENE

[Sey-Mour Snow]

EURO AI didn't budge the SLP location from 00z, Low 970s very near BM just SE gust like GFS.. Euro is nowhere close to that..  Euro crosses 70W at 997mb at 36 degrees latitude lol while the others are a hair from the BM at 970mb

[mahk_webstah]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2026021906&fh=102

[Baroclinic Zone]

On 2/17/2026 at 7:09 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

This system is out in model purgatory land right now. Let’s see what we got when we’re down to 72-84hrs. No model has had any level of accuracy beyond this point this winter season.

Another 12hrs to shake this one out.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Another 112hrs to shake this one out.

right 

[Kitz Craver]

This would be quite the coup by the legacy EURO if it holds on an island and everything caves to it.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

This would be quite the coup by the legacy EURO if it holds on an island and everything caves to it.

It's only the Euro that i give that kind of weight to. If it was the GFS, CMC, UK or something stupid like the Icon id hit the ignore button. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

28 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Goofus has a potent little s/w dive in late to help give the system another bump north toward SNE. The euro doesn’t have much of a trailing s/w and it just scoots E-ENE.

I wish the energy over MN would dissapear.

[Hazey]

Wiff for you guys. Scrape fringe for Nova Scotia(Cape Breton might get shovelable). Crush job eastern Newfoundland. That’s my thinking. Seen this movie and its reruns multiple times this season and hated the show everytime…lol.

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

It's only the Euro that i give that kind of weight to. If it was the GFS, CMC, UK or something stupid like the Icon id hit the ignore button. 

Yup, that’s why will not believe the trend. I gotta see a hat tip to some degree. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Kind of has a 2015 type vibe

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Hazey said:

Wiff for you guys. Scrape fringe for Nova Scotia(Cape Breton might get shovelable). Crush job eastern Newfoundland. That’s my thinking. Seen this movie and its reruns multiple times this season and hated the show everytime…lol.

Agree for the most part, but I don't think it will be P sunny here....more like fringe.

[kdxken]

Straight from the horse's ass mouth. Blizzard of '26

 

[CoastalWx]

Wish the euro would just come on board. Makes me fear a rug pull.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Gonna give this another 24 hours before I really begin to delve in, but I'm still not very enthused.

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Straight from the horse's ass mouth. Blizzard of '26

 

we're screwed

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Straight from the horse's ass mouth. Blizzard of '26

 

More like Ronald McDonald…

[Masswx]

EPS is interesting slight nw tick on everything but like a third of the members in a tight cluster that are around where the gfs op is giving us a great storm 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

More like Ronald McDonald’s…

I wonder if he bothers to ever walk any of this dribble back when mother nature inevitably puts him over her knee? I don't bother to check....

[Go Kart Mozart]

5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Straight from the horse's ass mouth. Blizzard of '26

 

Damn, it's gonna exit the US near Portsmouth.  I guess we will be dealing with p-type and dry slot issues.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Gonna give this another 24 hours before I really begin to delve in, but I'm still not very enthused.

Agree. Next 4 cycles should clear up which model starts caving. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Go Kart Mozart said:

Damn, it's gonna exit the US near Portsmouth.  I guess we will be dealing with p-type and dry slot issues.

Rains to Maines?