“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, Masswx said:

Praying for good 0z

[EastonSN+]

NAM first up

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

NAM first up

 

Looks pretty bad at h5. Focus on that first, surface is practically meaningless this far out. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks pretty bad at h5. Focus on that first, surface is practically meaningless this far out. 

Confluence to the NE of Maine and lower heights out ahead is a no bueno.

[DavisStraight]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Confluence to the NE of Maine and lower heights out ahead is a no bueno.

We throwing the towel in on this one or is there a sliver of hope?

[Go Kart Mozart]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Confluence to the NE of Maine and lower heights out ahead is a no bueno.

I dunno.  Western ridge looks better.  Looks like close could happen further north too.  Whole thing slowed down a tad?

[CoastalWx]

Icon meh. 

[CoastalWx]

Total whiff. Good start to 00z. 

[CoastalWx]

Ridge out west too flat. That’s plaguing this too. Wasted opportunity in an otherwise decent setup. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

I dunno.  Western ridge looks better.  Looks like close could happen further north too.  Whole thing slowed down a tad?

Eh, Its the Nam at 84hrs, I won't extrapolate it, Heights appeared lower to me.

[Masswx]

See 0z is a storm killer

[dryslot]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Total whiff. Good start to 00z. 

Yup, Awesome, Another negative.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I don’t put much stock in the ICON but def not a good start

[CT Valley Snowman]

Icon is Igone

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yup, Awesome, Another negative.

Next up the bat to strike out his Mark Bellhorn, I mean the GFS.

[dryslot]

20 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

We throwing the towel in on this one or is there a sliver of hope?

I'll go until Saturday 0z.

[Snowcrazed71]

I can't stay up to watch another let down. I thought this one had some pretty strong legs TBH. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Next up the bat to strike out his Mark Bellhorn, I mean the GFS.

The other team is on a heater.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I don’t put much stock in the ICON but def not a good start

It also has you raining Friday night so maybe toss?  Need to see what all the 0z models do with that ridge. 

[Boston Bulldog]

Slight regression in heights at 60 hours on GFS. This run isn't pushing farther west if I had to guess

[CoastalWx]

AI gfs definitely had a shift west

[dryslot]

What a mess.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AI gfs definitely had a shift west

Notice the only guidance that shifts west are the ones well out to sea?? Then when they get close, they shift back OTS? What does that tell you?

[Boston Bulldog]

Looks like the GFS still has us in the game. Nice recovery, pretty much holds serve from 18z

[TheSnowman]

Congratulations to Delaware and Southern NJ for stealing our 24” Blizzard.  

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Boston Bulldog said:

Looks like the GFS still has us in the game. Nice recovery, pretty much holds serve from 18z

Ends up a tic or so west as it gains lat.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dryslot said:

Ends up a tic or so west as it gains lat.

Yeah decent hit here for sure.

[Henry's Weather]

Wishlist over next 48 hours:

Stronger omega block, N trend confluence, slower/weaker kicker, stronger ridge centered over ID.

Giving this one a 20% of hitting

[JKEisMan]

At least it didn’t turn to total crap. Gfs gives something to work with and AIgfs definite improvement.

[dryslot]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah decent hit here for sure.

Just get something else to go towards it, I'm sure you know what.