40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 23 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I assume you’re being facetious this far out. Especially since these never trend north especially on the GFS. The one tomorrow? Doesn't look great... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The one tomorrow? Doesn't look great... Tomorrow is dung Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: UKIE! close but seems to blows it load early.. all major models have some kind of storm at 12z!! we take! Definite LBSW trend today...I would rather have that problem at day 5-6 with a Miller B then having it blow up in the GOM. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Definite LBSW trend today...I would rather have that problem at day 5-6 with a Miller B then having it blow up in the GOM. Yes. They always blow their loads later than what guidance tries to show. This looks like a really big one for EOR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes. They always blow their loads later than what guidance tries to show. This looks like a really big one for EOR. You have some wiggle room here with models bulls eying NJ right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes. They always blow their loads later than what guidance tries to show. This looks like a really big one for EOR. Yes definitely multi model support continues for a classic SNE blizzard. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes definitely multi model support continues for a classic SNE blizzard. Coming to a neighborhood near you? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes definitely multi model support continues for a classic SNE blizzard. I feel better about it with the trend out west. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The one tomorrow? Doesn't look great... Well you’re in this thread, so I assumed you were referring to this storm. We’re both almost certainly out of the Wednesday one, but we still have a shot of a decent one on Friday and then the main event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Well you’re in this thread, so I assumed you were referring to this storm. We’re both almost certainly out of the Wednesday one, but we still have a shot of a decent one on Friday and then the main event. Right, which is why I chose the language I did..."first one", "latter two". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Tomorrows is dogdhit for other then 10 people doing chest bumps and high fiving ea other. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Pacific Trough patterns can be great when you have a mechanism to deflect the track southward in the nation's midsection....some of our most active and prolific stretches have happened like this....March 2001, January 2011, March 2018, etc.....Pac just keeps spitting out energy and the mid latitudes funnel it into a favorable slot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago regardless of whatever the UKMET is painting on the sfc chart for this 150 hour outlook off this 12z run ... storm climatology would place a very intense arc of precipitation roughly White Plains to BOS for this kind of 500 mb 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago pretty impressive model agreement and synoptic support for a potentially major storm at this range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 32 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Coming to a neighborhood near you? Sans the cannibalism this time I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Skynet shows the whiff/graze possibility, the biggest concern imo. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Skynet shows the whiff/graze possibility, the biggest concern imo. Yeah the latest GEFS was not inspiring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Skynet shows the whiff/graze possibility, the biggest concern imo. Damn, I wanted to see that hold somewhat from 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, EastonSN+ said: Yeah the latest GEFS was not inspiring We’ve struggled with well timed phases along the NE. Certainly the whales in the open waters north of bermuda have enjoyed the nukes but I would lean towards a graze again. Several vorts look to pinwheel around the trough which usually equates to sloppiness. If that cleans up, sure…but for now, we fade hecs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve struggled with well timed phases along the NE. Certainly the whales in the open waters north of bermuda have enjoyed the nukes but I would lean towards a graze again. Several vorts look to pinwheel around the trough which usually equates to sloppiness. If that cleans up, sure…but for now, we fade hecs. Yea, I mean....I feel better than I did a couple of days ago, but it's still a coin-flip at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I’m not overly worried about suppression. Can’t completely rule it out, but this is pretty amped as it crosses the Midwest. I’d rather see this a touch south right now like a lot of guidance has it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I mean....I feel better than I did a couple of days ago, but it's still a coin-flip at best. It’s nice to see a consolidation of a big one at d5 but yea, that doesn’t equate to a collective nudity yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago There is always a turd in the punchbowl. Been the theme all season. Attenuation is the word of the winter. The big winner this year is Newfoundland. The s/w's have been phasing perfectly to crush them. St. John's at 300cms. Gander over 400cms and they still have 3 months of winter left. The newfs have been stealing all our snow...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s nice to see a consolidation of a big one at d5 but yea, that doesn’t equate to a collective nudity yet. There is a fighting chance given changes out west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Hazey said: There is always a turd in the punchbowl. Been the theme all season. Attenuation is the word of the winter. The big winner this year is Newfoundland. The s/w's have been phasing perfectly to crush them. St. John's at 300cms. Gander over 400cms and they still have 3 months of winter left. The newfs have been stealing all our snow...lol Didn't they get the fast-flow memo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s nice to see a consolidation of a big one at d5 but yea, that doesn’t equate to a collective nudity yet. Would be nice to see a biggy for multiple reasons...anything that melts the next day would be nice to pass at this point, today has that early March vibe to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro still pretty weak keeping it OTS at 12z verbatim 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now