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The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026


Rjay
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26 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Crazy to see Euro locked in for days with 8 to 12 for NYC and then you have upton going for 20 inches.  Make it make sense

It’s one thing to be negative, it’s another to be a blatant liar

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So my girlfriend asks me "How are the snow weenies doing today?", I said "Not good, they realized that they might get 12-18" instead of 20-30", she says "You guys are a weird bunch, you're rooting for crippling snowstorms while all it does is give me anxiety" and I said "That's because you're normal, we're not" lol

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Just now, JustinRP37 said:

So many people think because they come on weather forums during storms that suddenly they know better than trained mets and the NWS. The flop like a fish out of water with each model run. It really does make the place unbearable. Even before the last storm people were complaining about the nws not lowering amounts. 

Speaking of which at some point would love to get you and other mets / technical folks take on what you think about on air mets increasingly showing the models and kind of deferring to them, rather than interpreting them along with all their other inputs and making a forecast.  Just showing me, for example,  that the GFS gives us a foot and the Euro gives us 2" doesn't really tell me anything, other than that it might snow or it might not.

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For all of you freaking out about a travel ban for NYC. Nassau County announced one last night.  This is bipartisan and it's about public safety and having the roads clear for the trucks to take care of the snow so we can get back to business as usual as quickly as possible. Some of you are completely unhinged. 

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I went low on the KNYC/CPK forecast - 15.1" I think - largely because I think this will come in under the extreme projections but also because the heat island with this storm will be very real. We'll lose a lot of the early accumulation. People will bitch about NWS underreporting at Central Park, but the reality is the ground is warm and wet. 
 

I surveyed Riverside a short while ago and can’t find any place that won’t either lose accumulation to the warm wet ground or blowing.

IMG_7426.jpeg

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