Mail Man Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, MJO812 said: Ehhhhh damn it not good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 If gfs verifies we go from historic to maybe the January storm being the biggest YIKES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Mail Man said: Ehhhhh damn it not good Meh use the mesos. There are always bands the models cant pinpoint. Enjoy the storm later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 13 minutes ago, Berlin1926 said: The Blizzard of 1888 started as rain I believe. This happens all the time, some people complain at the beginning of big storms that the snow is too light, rain etc. then dynamics take over and they shut up. This is going to be a 970 storm moving very slowly inside the benchmark, it's going to snow and snow incredibly hard. 12, 16, 20 inches who cares? Just enjoy it, it's been a long time since we've had a storm like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 8 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Last WPC update QPF for this storm Great map. I’m looking at this as a coastal storm in all respects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, Stormlover74 said: We still get a foot but yeah. N&w gets screwed anytime i see the coast jackpotting, this is what happens. don't be surprised if we top out around 10-11. it must be asked, why bother to follow for a week when it's game time before we have a handle on it.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weenie suicide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, TriPol said: Weenie suicide Coast still looks good. Banding is tricky to pinpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman92 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I have an untrained eye. Anyone have an idea on where the storm is currently compared to the model runs ? Is it more west or east ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, TriPol said: Weenie suicide well, two feet is too much for me to handle anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Use the mesos now guys!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juturna Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 It’s day of, it’s meso time. Breathe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 and here comes all the cliff jumpers.....smh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 4 minutes ago, Jersey_Snowhole said: 12z gfs drastically cut totals in the metro. problem I see - the Nam cut totals at 12Z and the Canadian already had reduced total at 0Z Last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 1 minute ago, TriPol said: Weenie suicide I mean 4 days ago we were hoping for 6 to 12. So IF IF this were to happen its at least a heavy snow event. This is why I kept saying we need the storm to gain more latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, NEG NAO said: problem I see - the Nam cut totals at 12Z and the Canadian already had reduced total at 0Z Last night There are usually strong bands to the north and west of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Just now, MJO812 said: There are usually strong bands to the north and west of the low. time will tell thats all I have to say 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Coast still looks good. Banding is tricky to pinpoint. yup case in point if the gfs was off with this band by 25 - 30 miles - major implications - the storm will do what its gonan and wants to do - no model especially global will hone in in this range with the banding which are paramount in these coastals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 lol some of the mesos have been creeping up, last few runs compared to their previous run at the same end time. Globals are way out of their wheelhouse now. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 AI. Cut back a touch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 12z HREF through tomorrow 12z: Even if on deducts one category, NYC has 12"-15" of snow by 12z tomorrow on the HREF. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, JonClaw said: Literally zero support for this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I’ll say it once more relax fellas!!! Just look at the HREF that was just posted. Seriously you guys are causing way too much panic! All systems are a go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: 12z HREF through tomorrow 12z: Even if on deducts one category, NYC has 12"-15" of snow by 12z tomorrow on the HREF. Also drastically reduced the NW extent but still verbatim a great depiction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Unfortunately these storms due to tend to tick east at the last second. I guess NJ coast and LI due for a biggie. Still a nice storm for all though and hopefully some banding to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Whoa gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 I still lean near the low end. Above the RGEM but below many others. Maybe 12-16 near NYC though obviously if a February 06 band sets up that goes out the window, but there is always risk of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 and here comes all the cliff jumpers.....smh Like the swallows to Capistrano . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: AI. Cut back a touch this is now now casting time using radars and various types of surface reports and observations - I don't think any model can keep up to date at this time because of all the complex interactions in the atmosphere constantly changing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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