February Banter 2026

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Never fails. Live look at the discussion thread.

 

Yup.  The f'ing doom posting is ridiculous.  "Oh no, it's not a HECS, that means it's guaranteed to be nothing!!!  And it's trending toward the not-so-great 12Z Euro run!!  OMG!!!"  Jesus. H. Christ!

[RevWarReenactor]

22 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Yup.  The f'ing doom posting is ridiculous.  "Oh no, it's not a HECS, that means it's guaranteed to be nothing!!!  And it's trending toward the not-so-great 12Z Euro run!!  OMG!!!"  Jesus. H. Christ!

Yet 90% of the time, the people who say the models are full of crap and that we aren't getting a storm, end up being correct.

And all the rest of the post are actually the garbage. 

[RDM]

19 hours ago, Jebman said:

All I can say folks, is that this is one hell of a snowy, windy as hell BEAST of a BAAAAAAAAAAD blizzard. This thing is straight outta Compton. High winds, heavy snow, hell you can't even see anything half the time from that milkshake froth!

THIS, IS NO TIME FOR A JEBWALK.

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

Oh my - the view from the cam is currently amazing.  Full bore dumping ongoing.  

[87storms]

1 hour ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Yet 90% of the time, the people who say the models are full of crap and that we aren't getting a storm, end up being correct.

And all the rest of the post are actually the garbage. 

Yea, but that’s why the confusion matrix exists.  In machine learning, having a 90% accuracy is fruitless if you’re missing all the true positives (leading to 0% precision and 0% recall). Likewise, if you say it’s gonna snow all the time, you’ll catch all the true positives (snowstorms), even though your recall will be 100%, your accuracy and precision will be 10%.  F1 score is a key metric in weather forecast scoring, I would imagine.