February Banter 2026

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Never fails. Live look at the discussion thread.

 

Yup.  The f'ing doom posting is ridiculous.  "Oh no, it's not a HECS, that means it's guaranteed to be nothing!!!  And it's trending toward the not-so-great 12Z Euro run!!  OMG!!!"  Jesus. H. Christ!

[RevWarReenactor]

22 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Yup.  The f'ing doom posting is ridiculous.  "Oh no, it's not a HECS, that means it's guaranteed to be nothing!!!  And it's trending toward the not-so-great 12Z Euro run!!  OMG!!!"  Jesus. H. Christ!

Yet 90% of the time, the people who say the models are full of crap and that we aren't getting a storm, end up being correct.

And all the rest of the post are actually the garbage. 

[RDM]

19 hours ago, Jebman said:

All I can say folks, is that this is one hell of a snowy, windy as hell BEAST of a BAAAAAAAAAAD blizzard. This thing is straight outta Compton. High winds, heavy snow, hell you can't even see anything half the time from that milkshake froth!

THIS, IS NO TIME FOR A JEBWALK.

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

Oh my - the view from the cam is currently amazing.  Full bore dumping ongoing.  

[87storms]

1 hour ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Yet 90% of the time, the people who say the models are full of crap and that we aren't getting a storm, end up being correct.

And all the rest of the post are actually the garbage. 

Yea, but that’s why the confusion matrix exists.  In machine learning, having a 90% accuracy is fruitless if you’re missing all the true positives (leading to 0% precision and 0% recall). Likewise, if you say it’s gonna snow all the time, you’ll catch all the true positives (snowstorms), but even though your recall will be 100%, your accuracy and precision will be 10%.  F1 score is a key metric in weather forecast scoring, I would imagine.

[Paleocene]

lol @bncho

10 minutes ago, bncho said:

Also, where the hell are you seeing a -PNA?

 

putting this here instead of the mess of a thread we are currently having. 

i asked GPT to draw a +PNA and even it got it right (sort of.. minus the bi-directional jet stream, the states of Neorgia and South South Carolina, and new Newfoundland East)

 

[Paleocene]

Awww did my Harrisburg joke get removed? Too bad. But I shouldn't muck up the LR thread with geographical insults.

[Wxtrix]

the pancake supper crowd at church tonight was all hyped up for another big snowstorm. sigh.

[wxdude64]

Anybody having issues with youtube in last 30 minutes?

[Amped]

4 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Anybody having issues with youtube in last 30 minutes?

No working fine here

[wxdude64]

4 minutes ago, Amped said:

No working fine here

Appears to be back in business. Apparently, they had a 15 minute 'oopsie'

[Interstate]

I can’t tell which thread is banter and which is the long range discussion. 

[87storms]

4 minutes ago, Interstate said:

I can’t tell which thread is banter and which is the long range discussion. 

Yes.

[wasnow215]

1 hour ago, Wxtrix said:

the pancake supper crowd at church tonight was all hyped up for another big snowstorm. sigh.

Lol-they serve sausage too? Bacon?

[Jebman]

These conditions are the worst I have seen thus far with this storm cycle at Mammoth. It is just straight-on whiteout conditions. It is heavy snow driven by winds gusting in excess of 80 mph. These are deadly jebwalk conditions, even back when I was still 23 years old. You can hardly see anything. It's been doing this all day, now into tonight as well. Tonight they expect more of the same with another 24 inches of snow accumulation on top of what they got today.

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

This is not ice on the camera. This is an all-out whiteout because of 80 mph winds and very heavy snows.

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge

You can be sure that with all the snow falling on the mountains and all the extreme high winds, drifts are becoming monstrous, even outright Brobdingnagian. Cornices are forming on ridges all over and avalanche danger is pretty high. This is no time to be sneaking around going deep off piste trying to ski four foot deep pow! You can easily get caught in an avalanche or fall right into a tree well. Snow Immersion Syndrome is serious and few people ever manage to get out of a tree well by themselves. Often skiers fall in head first. Bad, very bad especially in a severe winter storm like this one.

[pazzo83]

4 hours ago, RDM said:

Oh my - the view from the cam is currently amazing.  Full bore dumping ongoing.  

some dude i follow on Twitter is chasing it in the area of Donner Pass - some of his videos are nuts.

[Jebman]

22 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

some dude i follow on Twitter is chasing it in the area of Donner Pass - some of his videos are nuts.

https://x.com/US_Stormwatch Might be this man, Colin McCarthy. I don't pretend to know how he is getting around in this incredible blizzard but he has very good coverage.