Is we back? February discussion thread

[WinterWolf]

@The 4 Seasons 40” STD. 

[Torch Tiger]

that long range euro does the ridge-brige thing and if it rots overhead while the west rocks, we and early Spring

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

that long range euro does the ridge-brige thing and if it rots overhead while the west rocks, we and early Spring

No way IMO.

[WxWatcher007]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No way IMO.

I think we have until about March 20 to capitalize. If anything, the relaxation of the Arctic cold may put us in the game for more snow events, though it'll come with mix and cutting risk. 

[ma blizzard]

38 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Depends on where you live but every climate site in SNE/Tri-State is above to well above season-to-date snowfall. That is, of course, going to fall to closer to normal over the next 7 days or so.

I might do another season-to-date update this week if anyone wants to give me their snowfall totals in SNE. 

 

 

43.7" 

[Torch Tiger]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No way IMO.

yeah i'm not saying it is correct, but that is what it shows

[Cold Miser]

53 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s been quite good here Garth. Sadly maybe not so much over at lava lake. 

It's been ok. Just under 30" for the season, with time left to get to climo.  It just seems we left alot on the table with the cold for it to be an epic season.

[Cold Miser]

40 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Depends on where you live but every climate site in SNE/Tri-State is above to well above season-to-date snowfall. That is, of course, going to fall to closer to normal over the next 7 days or so.

I might do another season-to-date update this week if anyone wants to give me their snowfall totals in SNE. 

 

 

Yeah.  I get that.  It just seems like we were so close to having some amazing hits beyond that storm last week.  

[kdxken]

40 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Depends on where you live but every climate site in SNE/Tri-State is above to well above season-to-date snowfall. That is, of course, going to fall to closer to normal over the next 7 days or so.

I might do another season-to-date update this week if anyone wants to give me their snowfall totals in SNE. 

 

 

Been pretty winterish if you ask me. Maybe that's because I could have done without.

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

AI EPS is pretty weenieish 13-16th

Both AIs look good.  The legacy models have a long history of rushing and exaggerating pattern changes.  Over the last three winters...prosperity was always just around the corner.

[40/70 Benchmark]

21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think we have until about March 20 to capitalize. If anything, the relaxation of the Arctic cold may put us in the game for more snow events, though it'll come with mix and cutting risk. 

Yea, March 20 about when the lower terrain loses climo around here.

[40/70 Benchmark]

20 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

yeah i'm not saying it is correct, but that is what it shows

Gotcha. 

[metagraphica]

@The 4 Seasons 33.5" so far.

[WinterWolf]

23 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think we have until about March 20 to capitalize. If anything, the relaxation of the Arctic cold may put us in the game for more snow events, though it'll come with mix and cutting risk. 

Well to be fair…that’s the end of the winter season seasonally anyway lol…so ya. 

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Long fetch on that lake, need sustained night time lows well below zero, but even more importantly low wind. Big bay froze last year but was short lived and got smashed by wind 

Yes the wind on that lake is the bays demise usually, Right conditions this last few weeks with lighter winds so she froze over entirely and the pics and vids are amazing of people skating and wind sailing the lake.

[Ginx snewx]

AN snow BN temps but not great?  2015 spoiled peeps 

[Ginx snewx]

Gotta love the new weeklies after the couple days of moderation right back into BN but this time with AN precip. Looks like the gulf opens up with some SWFE.

[CoastalWx]

54 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

AN snow BN temps but not great?  2015 spoiled peeps 

Eh

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

AN snow BN temps but not great?  2015 spoiled peeps 

It's about normal here, and soon to be below.

[TripplePhaser]

A -NAO this time of year from a retrograding Greenland ridge usually doesn't bode well for AN temps for New England(unlike Oct-Dec). Models will adjust.

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Well to be fair…that’s the end of the winter season seasonally anyway lol…so ya. 

True but as you know, we’ve had a hard time getting full winters around here in the 2020s. We’re lucky we’re even sitting where we are. Without the big -WPO protecting us this winter we’d probably be staring down another ratter. Let’s keep the momentum going. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, TripplePhaser said:

A -NAO this time of year from a retrograding Greenland ridge usually doesn't bode well for AN temps for New England(unlike Oct-Dec). Models will adjust.

Oz GFS is coĺd

[TripplePhaser]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Oz GFS is coĺd

Let's see if it's own ensambled will follow suit.

[CoastalWx]

Definitely an interesting battle between AI and the legacy models in the extended. 
 

Friday hasn’t trended any more exciting yet.

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro AIFS and GFSAI have major winter storm 13-14th. Gaining traction 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Definitely an interesting battle between AI and the legacy models in the extended. 
 

Friday hasn’t trended any more exciting yet.

I feel like Friday night is about 10% more exciting now, it’s def trending south which should get more qpf albeit meager and more impactful cold . 

[CoastalWx]

41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro AIFS and GFSAI have major winter storm 13-14th. Gaining traction 

There’s no traction in clown range. Wait until early next week. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I feel like Friday night is about 10% more exciting now, it’s def trending south which should get more qpf albeit meager and more impactful cold . 

I just couldn’t care less about cold. I’d like the snow:

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I just couldn’t care less about cold. I’d like the snow:

Could 

[Ginx snewx]

44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro AIFS and GFSAI have major winter storm 13-14th. Gaining traction 

GFS as well. The extended looks primed up. February will be a tracking fun time.