Northof78 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Tomorrow will mark 21 days (3 weeks) of straight snow cover across most of the region. Currently it appears likely we will hit the full straight 1 month mark by next weekend with cold temperatures remaining and some chance of additional snows in the period. Fairly rare for N/C NJ and NYC Metro, we get a 1 month (or more) straight of snow cover roughly every 5/6 winters. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 minutes ago, Northof78 said: Tomorrow will mark 21 days (3 weeks) of straight snow cover across most of the region. Currently it appears likely we will hit the full straight 1 month mark by next weekend with cold temperatures remaining and some chance of additional snows in the period. Fairly rare for N/C NJ and NYC Metro, we get a 1 month (or more) straight of snow cover roughly every 5/6 winters. Easily, especially since the pack for most started with 1-2" otg from 1/17-18 and most of us got 1.5-1.9" frozen QPF on 1/25, even if it might've only been 11-12" in depth, since 3-4" of that was sleet for many. That's a lot of frozen QPF to melt (and not much of it has melted yet) and with temps only getting to around 40F late next week, I'd think most of the pack will still be here on 2/17, especially if we top it off tomorrow and a bit next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Active pattern coming with a few snow chances 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said: Fixed. But I agree with you. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 hours ago, weatherpruf said: since 'Paddy" is a british ethnic slur, some reject it and use the American St Patty's or St Pat's.....or in my house, el dia de san patricio....patron de irlanda....if you're not asleep from watching curling..... Sometimes the slurs backfire, like with Yankee. Although that is still kind of a slur. Let's go Mets. A ligean ar aghaidh go hÉirinn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Back down to 10… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 24 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 here. Popular number the last couple mornings. Hoping for an inch or two with the upcoming snow but models seem to be shifting east with it more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 21 here and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 37 minutes ago, jm1220 said: 13 here. Popular number the last couple mornings. Hoping for an inch or two with the upcoming snow but models seem to be shifting east with it more. 11th looks like to be our next widespread light event… models still all over as well for the vday threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Most of the NE US is in the lowest 5 percentile for cold past two weeks, with many stations in the lowest 1 to 2 percentiles. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 minutes ago, jconsor said: Most of the NE US is in the lowest 5 percentiles for cold past two weeks, with many stations in the lowest 1 to 2 percentiles. I’m ready for it to warm up for sure especially if there’s no significant snow threat. Sick of looking at darkening ice piles lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 10 hours ago, MJO812 said: when does Upton get the message ? They have rain in their forecast next week 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 10 minutes ago, nycsnow said: 11th looks like to be our next widespread light event… models still all over as well for the vday threat light meaning snow and rain and above freezing according to Upton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6 hours ago, so_whats_happening said: Unfortunately those 10 or so days were not all that fun for here. Eastern NC though I'm sure was just in love with this pattern lol. From the looks of the Nina phase 1 passage is taking place this weekend. Large cold dump with warming through much of the plains showing up. Going forward it does show cold building back up into Canada to be unleashed again at some point maybe the last week or so of February into early March as we move into Phase 2/3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Something overlooked is how dry things have been and how we're all technically in a drought. Reservoirs are extremely low vs average. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 35 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: light meaning snow and rain and above freezing according to Upton Makes sense at this point, models showing every possible outcome next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 6 Author Share Posted February 6 40 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Something overlooked is how dry things have been and how we're all technically in a drought. Reservoirs are extremely low vs average. Yeah at this rate February may end up below an inch of liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 39 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah at this rate February may end up below an inch of liquid I doubt it with the PNA going negative. The STJ should wake up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Something overlooked is how dry things have been and how we're all technically in a drought. Reservoirs are extremely low vs average. Not overlooked by me. Totally agree with you. I find people just don’t want to hear about it or pay attention to it at this time of year. We need to get into an above normal precipitation pattern soon or there will be significant issues as we head into the warm season. We have been in a prolonged below normal precipitation pattern for the better part of a year. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Morning low of 7 this morning. Scraped probably a 1/2" layer of frost off the windshield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 25 / 10 off a low of 9,3. We'll see if today can make 5 above freezing in a row / and yet still be -5 or so below avg for the period. Light snow tonight and throughout the morning Saturday. Cold perhaps coldest 60 hour period Sat AM - Monday PM. Moderation next week but stubborn cold could yield a mix Wed and later Valentines weekend and into presidenets day 2/16. Beyond there a bit warmer overall but still close to avg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Records: Highs: EWR: 69 (2008) NYC: 68 (2008) LGA: 69 (2008) JFK: 67 (2008) Lows: EWR: 5 (1995) NYC: -4 (1895) LGA: 4 (1995) JFK: 7 (1995) Historical: 1807 - It was the famous "Cold Friday" in the Midwest and South. The temperature did not rise above zero in Ohio and Kentucky. (David Ludlum) 1828: Plum trees blossomed in South Carolina six weeks early as the south was enjoying one of their warmest winters on record. Weather patterns would change however by late March. An inch of ice would form on the St. John's River. The Six-Mile Creek in northern Florida recorded a temperature of 26 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1835: A snowstorm dumped 6 inches in Williamsburg and as much as 20 inches at Virginia Beach. Over a foot of snow fell in Norfolk. (Ref. Virginia Weather History) 1856: Oswego, New York: A rare February lake effect snowfall buries the Oswego area with 6 feet of snow. (Ref. WxDoctor) 1899: A second area of low pressure moved in to DC from the south and dumped an additional 2 to 3 inches of snow bringing the snow cover in DC up to 8 inches. (p. 51 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) 1933: The temperature fell to -90° at Oimaykon, Russia, the coldest temperature ever in Asia. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1978 - A massive nor'easter buried the cities of the northeastern U.S. Storm totals included 18 inches at New York City, 16 inches at Philadelphia, and 14 inches at Baltimore. The Boston MA area received 25 to 30 inches in "The Great New England Blizzard" and the mayor outlawed travel in the city for an entire week. (David Ludlum) Boston, MA recorded 27 inches of snow in the greatest snowstorm in New England's modern history. Traffic was at a standstill for five days. Motorists had to abandon their cars and take shelter with private citizens and in churches. The Boston Globe went undelivered for the first time in 106 years. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1980: Low pressure dumped heavy snow over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia. The storm moved out the next day and left 12.4 inches of snow at Norfolk, VA, their biggest snowstorm since December 1892. Elizabeth City, NC was buried under 20 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1982: A deep upper level trough combined with arctic high pressure across the central Plains brought record low temperatures from the Midwest to the southern Plains including: St. Cloud, MN: -33°, Alamosa, CO: -25°, La Crosse, WI: -22°, Topeka, KS: -21°, Wichita, KS: -21° (broke previous record by 13 degrees), Rockford, IL: -20 °F. (Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1987 - Brownsville, TX, was deluged with seven inches of rain in just two hours, and flooding in some parts of the city was worse than that caused by Hurricane Beulah in 1967. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Arctic cold invaded the south central and eastern U.S. Sixteen cities reported new record low temperatures for the date. Squalls in the Great Lakes Region produced a foot of snow at Arcade NY in three hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Forty-one cities in the western U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date. Lows of -30 degrees at Ely NV and -33 degrees at Richfield UT were all-time records. Morning lows of 31 degrees at San Francisco CA and -15 degrees at Reno NV were records for February. Logan Canyon UT was the cold spot in the nation with a low of 54 degrees below zero, and Craig CO hit 51 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - A second cold front brought more heavy snow to the high elevations of Oregon, with 12 inches reported at Sunset Summit. Ten inches of snow blanketed Crater Lake and Mount Bachelor. Heavy snow also blanketed northeastern Nevada and parts of Washington State. In Nevada, up to a foot of snow was reported between Spring Creek and Lamoille. Stevens Pass WA received 14 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2003: Feb. 6th-7th: Low pressure passing through North Carolina brought 3 to 8 inches of snow to the region. The heaviest amounts fell in a swath from Fredericksburg to Southern Anne Arundel County. An area of low pressure moved into central Illinois during the morning, continuing northeast into Indiana later that day. Thunder snow was reported from eastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin during the early morning, leading to 2 inch per hour snow accumulations rates. Some snow totals from this event include: Sinsinawa, WI: 18 inches, Hazel Green, WI: 14 inches, Cuba City, WI: 13 inches, Platteville, WI: 10.5 inches, Guttenberg, IA: 10 inches, Lancaster, WI: 8.7 inches, Elkader, IA: 8.4 inches, Strawberry Point, IA: 7.8 inches and Muscoda, WI: 7.5 inches. Near blizzard conditions occur across part of Lower Michigan with snowfall rates of one to two inches per hour. A wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain occurred from Kalamazoo to Jackson, MI. The storm dropped more than 8 inches of snow at Grand Rapids, contributing to their snowiest February on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2010 - On February 5-6, a severe nor'easter, commonly referred to as Snowmageddon, impacted the east coast from North Carolina to New York. Some snowfall amounts include; 32.9 inches at Washington Dulles International Airport; 28.5 inches at the Philadelphia International Airport; 21.1 inches at the Pittsburgh International Airport; 18.2 in Atlantic City; Trace in Central Park. 2010: The Feb. 5-6 snowstorm was rated a Category 3 ("Major") snowstorm based on NESIS (Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale) and hit Northern VA and particularly Maryland very hard with power outages and up to 3 feet of snow in Allegheny County. Frostburg measured 36.0 inches at 112 PM on Feb. 6th. (Ref. See below Snowfall totals in Northern VA & MD) "Record 2-day snowfall on 5th-6th at IAD, 32.4"; BWI 24.8"; 2nd greatest at DCA, 17.8 the fourth greatest snowstorm on record"; Blizzard conditions in Anne Arundel and St. Mary’s Counties, MD, with wind gusts 35 mph and greater, blowing and drifting snow, visibilities less than 1/4 mile. Snowfall 20"-30" in most locations and as much as 38.3" in Elkridge, MD, and 34.5" in Leesburg, VA." (Ref. FEB PRESTO Page 1) The total snowfall today at West Henrico Co. - Glen Allen VA. area was 6.6 inches and total precipitation from snow and rainfall was 0.78 inches (total water equivalent for the storm of the 5th and 6th was 2.50 inches) and the snow ended at 1730 hrs. The storm total snowfall at West Henrico Co. - Glen Allen VA. area was 11.1 inches but the rainfall in this storm melted about 2.0 inches of this from the 4.5 inches that fell on the 5th. It was the most snow I have ever seen fall on the back side of a storm from the wrap- around effect and just after the snow ended there was a total of 12.4 inches on the lawn. Other links-- 2011: O'hare International Airport in chicago received 2.6 inches of snow today. This brings the total for the season so far to 50.1 inches and marks the first time in Chicago weather history that there have been four consecutive seasons of 50 inch or greater snowfall. (Ref. 1st time in Chicago's history with 4 consecutive seasons of 50 inches or greater snowfall.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 8 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said: Dry begets dry. That's why the past 2 seasons have featured a cold and dry pattern. In the 2000s and 2010s, such cold anomalies over east US featured amplified bowling ball type storms that led to lots of snow. Past 2 seasons have been dry when the cold was most prevalent. Lack of coastal amplification continues to be a problem. Really the past two years as a whole have been dry. Aside from May 2025, we've seen near or below average precipitation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 14 this morning. High res models showing a decent hit of snow for Suffolk county. NAM has 2-4” from west to east. HRRR and Euro more in the 1-2” range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: 14 this morning. High res models showing a decent hit of snow for Suffolk county. NAM has 2-4” from west to east. HRRR and Euro more in the 1-2” range It’ll be a nowcast situation I think, we’ll have to see how the moisture regenerates east of the mountains. Hopefully we get a couple inches to freshen up the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11 hours ago, Northof78 said: Tomorrow will mark 21 days (3 weeks) of straight snow cover across most of the region. Currently it appears likely we will hit the full straight 1 month mark by next weekend with cold temperatures remaining and some chance of additional snows in the period. Fairly rare for N/C NJ and NYC Metro, we get a 1 month (or more) straight of snow cover roughly every 5/6 winters. Here on the north NJ coast, most winters, over the decades, do not have snowfall on snow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 It has been a little bit cold lately. Ice on Chesapeake Bay: https://x.com/i/status/2019537040808046913 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Something overlooked is how dry things have been and how we're all technically in a drought. Reservoirs are extremely low vs average. I had commented that my humidifier has been running non-stop most of this winter, just to keep the interior RH to 35% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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