February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[NorthShoreWx]

The brief return to freezing temperatures hasn't been all that impressive.  From the point where we went below freezing at 7pm on January 23, we were consecutively below freezing for 234 hours ending at 12:45 PM on Monday.  Through now, there have been 9.5 hours out of the past 293 that have been at or above freezing with a maximum temperature of 34° :

Monday 2/2 Above freezing from 12:45 - 4:50 pm (4 hours 5 minutes) -  max temp 34°

Tuesday 2/3 Above freezing 10:15 to 11:00am and 1:30 - 1:45 pm (1 hour total) - max temp 33°

Today 2/4 Above freezing 11:10am  - 3:30 pm (4 hours 20 minutes total) - max temp 34°

Current temperature is 31.6° (3:58pm)

[jm1220]

8 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

The brief return to freezing temperatures hasn't been all that impressive.  From the point where we went below freezing at 7pm on January 23, we were consecutively below freezing for 234 hours ending at 12:45 PM on Monday.  Through now, there have been 9.5 hours out of the past 293 that have been at or above freezing with a maximum temperature of 34° :

Monday 2/2 Above freezing from 12:45 - 4:50 pm (4 hours 5 minutes) -  max temp 34°

Tuesday 2/3 Above freezing 10:15 to 11:00am and 1:30 - 1:45 pm (1 hour total) - max temp 33°

Today 2/4 Above freezing 11:10am  - 3:30 pm (4 hours 20 minutes total) - max temp 34°

Current temperature is 31.6° (3:58pm)

Yep, the snow melt we’ve had is largely from the sun at a slightly higher angle every day. 

[Dan76]

Snow was freezer burned last week.

[weatherpruf]

3 hours ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I’m satisfied with this winter. Two storms 6” +. Cold weather. Extended snow pack 

and apparently long island forgot how to deal with snow. Terrible cleanup. 

it isn't normal snow; it's the sleet. same here in nj; they are still digging and so am i; today i was able to clear the sump pipe to the street; whether it is frozen inside is another story. we'll see.

[nycwinter]

still plenty of snow on the sidewalks ground and in the streets here in nyc sanitation workers are piling them up in one huge pile so they can bring out the snow melting machines.

[jm1220]

16 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

it isn't normal snow; it's the sleet. same here in nj; they are still digging and so am i; today i was able to clear the sump pipe to the street; whether it is frozen inside is another story. we'll see.

You want the snow to pile up-obviously you want snow. You want the snow to stay around-you want sleet. 

[MJO812]

Here comes the gfs

[Dan76]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Here comes the gfs

?

[donsutherland1]

Colder air will move back into the region tonight. As a result, tomorrow and Friday will see highs in the upper 20s and lows in the teens.

An even stronger surge of Arctic air will likely arrive for the weekend, possibly accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Some areas could pick up a heavier snow squall. Highs on Sunday could be in the teens in New York City with lows in the single digits. 

The persistent and often severely cold pattern could break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February.

So far, January 20-February 2 has been the coldest two-week period this winter with a mean temperature of 21.0° in New York city. January 17-30 with 13.4" of snow has been the snowiest two-week stretch.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter.

The SOI was +31.22 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.454 today. 

[Santa Claus]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Here comes the gfs

is that what you named the baby

[WestBabylonWeather]

4 minutes ago, Santa Claus said:

is that what you named the baby

[bluewave]

A very icy New Haven Harbor today. You can see the ice getting pushed up against the Pardee Seawall Park on the east shore. This is the most ice on the area waterways during the 2020s and will peak early next week. Ice shoves could become a concern in areas that get strong winds directly into the shore. 
 

 

[Wannabehippie]

1 hour ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

NOT THE MAMA!

 

[Stormlover74]

Rgem gives LI an inch

[Prue11]

[NorthShoreWx]

5 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

It's coming.

[NorthShoreWx]

19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Rgem gives LI an inch

RGEM has a crazy blob over north shore/ Cape Ann area.  12"+ in a very small area, but it doesn't look much like OES at first glance, unless it's on a south wind.

[Nibor]

18 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

Landlord paint on our snowpack.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

3 hours ago, Prue11 said:

Montauk ground zero. Congratulations to all  of the 4,000 residents. 

[jm1220]

4 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Montauk ground zero. Congratulations to all  of the 4,000 residents. 

It’s more of an inverted trough setup and we have to see where it sets up. 

[lee59]

The snow pack and no wind creates some big variations in temperature. The city 21 degrees and some suburbs near zero. Even in my own yard I have two readings one between the house and garage which is 12 degrees and one in the middle of the back yard which reads 9 degrees.

[jm1220]

13 this morning. 

[Stormlover74]

Looks like we head into warmer and rainy next weekend per euro and gfs though still cold

[lee59]

This has been some stretch of cold and snow pack. It will feel nice when those first mild temperatures arrive.

[SnoSki14]

18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like we head into warmer and rainy next weekend per euro and gfs though still cold

Hopefully not. We'd be dealing with a lot of pot holes and even ice jams 

Not sure how bad the overall icing situation is though compared to 2015

[TriPol]

Dear weather gods:

Please don't give us another Valentines Day sleetstorm.

[nycsnow]

Models trended wetter and warmer for next week, will obviously keep changing but regardless strong signals of next week being active 

[NEG NAO]

32 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like we head into warmer and rainy next weekend per euro and gfs though still cold

its impossible to determine the exact setup that will be in place the middle and end of next week - models are inaccurate at that range

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

its impossible to determine the exact setup that will be in place the middle and end of next week - models are inaccurate at that range

Good to know

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Models trended wetter and warmer for next week, will obviously keep changing but regardless strong signals of next week being active 

Ensembles are colder but aren't they always?