February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[mriceyman]

Endless cold without any decent snow is going to get old fast for some I suspect.  

With snowcover locked in im ready for a push to march


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[MANDA]

Just now, mriceyman said:

With snowcover locked in im ready for a push to march


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I'm not there yet but suspect I will be within 2 weeks.

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, MANDA said:

My bill is due to arrive any day.  Was just thinking about what it might be.  

Last month was $367.  This coming one has to beat that.

The increasing sun angle helps a bit during the day but it's brutal

[MANDA]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

The increasing sun angle helps a bit during the day but it's brutal

It absolutely does, especially in south and southwest facing rooms.  Once the sun sets though that "free heat" goes away fast.

[Jersey_Snowhole]

18z gfs ai says “you think tomorrow is going to be hard to watch you ain’t seen nothing yet” 

[MJO812]

31 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The increasing sun angle helps a bit during the day but it's brutal

Some melting is happening but not enough. 

[eduggs]

GFS-AI is miss, miss, rain. GFS is miss, miss, cold. But both are close to back to back hits. With the reliability of the ECM-AIFS, which is also showing essentially a miss, miss scenario next week, that should probably be the baseline for expectations until things look more hopeful. It's definitely not a close the blinds week though, fortunately.

[SnoSki14]

20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Some melting is happening but not enough. 

Based on the weeklies this snowpack could last til March. And this doesn't account for added snowfall that we'll likely see in Feb. 

This is a rare deep winter and these patterns nowadays get stuck in place for months. This pattern stems from November.  

Also it wouldn't surprise me to see March delivering big this year. 

[wdrag]

[NEG NAO]

8 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Thanks for the good news Walt - I think

[MJO812]

54 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Yeo second cold winter in a row. Hopefully we reach 30-40 inches this winter which would be a nice sight. 

[[email protected]]

2015 like February, incoming?

[MJO812]

Second year in a row they busted 

[Roger Smith]

 

<<<< FEBRUARY NYC DAILY RECORDS >>>>

Note: Max 2d snow is the listed date plus the previous date, so for example 17.4" fell Feb 3-4 1961. Any 2d total with * symbol had all of its snow on the calendar date and zero the previous day. Any 2d total with ** had all of its snow the previous day and none on calendar date of table listing. ... Also, any number in brackets after a Low min record is that day's non-record-low max. R or S after precip indicates whether the value was mostly rain, snow or a combination (RS). Some of those may be snow+sleet.  

Date _____ High max ____ High min ________ Low max ____ Low min ________ Max prec ___ Max snow ___ Max 2d snow

Feb 01 ___ 67 1989 ____ 50 1988 ________12 1971 _____-2 1920 ________2.15 1915R__14.8 2021 ___16.8 2021^

Feb 02 ___ 59 1988 ____ 42 1952 ________ 8 1881 _____-3 1881 ________2.98 1973R__5.0 2015___ 15.2 2021**

Feb 03 ___ 64 1991 ____ 46 1999,2006 __16 1917 _____ 0 1955 ________ 1.55 1972R___8.0 2014 ___8.0 2014*

Feb 04 ___ 68 1991 ____ 46 1991 ________12 1886 _____ 0 1886,1918 ___ 2.10 1961RS_11.4 1961 ____17.4 1961

Feb 05 ___ 70 1991 ____ 51 1991 ________ 4 1918 _____ -6 1918^_________1.43 2014RS__5.9 1920 ___11.6 1920

Feb 06 ___ 68 2008 ____ 42 1884,1938 __10 1895 _____-4 1895 _______ 2.74 1896R__15.5 1978 ____15.5 1978* (11.3 1920 3d 17.0")

Feb 07 ___ 56 2020 ____ 42 1904 ________10 1875 _____ 1 1910 ________ 2.96 1941R__12.5 1967 ____17.7 1978 (15.2 1967)

Feb 08 ___ 62 2017 ____ 48 1965 ________ 8 1895 _____ -7 1934 _______ 1.15 2013RS__8.0 1870 ____12.5 1967**

Feb 09 ___ 63 1990 ____ 46 2005 ________ 8 1934 _____-15 1934 ______ 1.74 1885R __14.0 1969 ___14.0 1969*

Feb 10 ___ 61 1990,2001,2023_ 47 2024* ____ 7 1899 ___-6 1899 _______ 2.63 1970R___10.4 1926 ___15.3 1969 (12.0 1926)

Feb 11 ___ 65 1960,2009 _50 1966 ________ 9 1899 _____-2 1885, 99 ____ 2.74 1886R___12.8 1994 ___12.8 1994* (12.5 1983)

Feb 12 ___ 62 1999,2018 _ 45 1966 ________ 9 1899 _____-3 1914 (10) ___ 1.66 2006S___24.1 2006___26.9 2006 (17.6 1983)

Feb 13 ___ 64 1951 ____ 47 1880 ________11 1899 _____-1 1914 _________ 2.42 1966R___10.7 1899^___16.0 1899

Feb 14 ___ 63 1946 ____ 50 1949 ________12 1916 _____-1 2016 (15) ____ 1.59 1914RS__ 8.1 1914 ____12.5 2014 (9.5+3.0)

Feb 15 ___ 73 1949 ____ 49 1984 _________ 8 1943 _____-8 1943 _______2.60 1869R___ 5.4 1922 ____9.0 1940 (7.7+1.3)

Feb 16 ___ 71 1954 ____ 56 2023^_______11 1904 _____ 1 1888 __________ 1.40 1885R___ 9.9 1996 ____9.9 1996*

Feb 17 ___ 68 2022 ____ 49 2022 _______ 7 1896 _____-5 1896 ________ 1.49 2003S__16.3 2003____19.8 2003 (10.7 1996)^

Feb 18 ___ 68 1981 ____ 48 1981 ________16 1958 _____0 1979 (13,17 17th-18th)_1.50 1887R__3.5 1928 ___16.3 2003**

Feb 19 ___ 66 1997 ____ 53 2017 ________16 1903 _____ 1 1936 (18) ____ 2.15 1908RS_ 12.7 1979 ___12.7 1979* 

Feb 20 ___ 69 1930,39__48 1939 ________16 1885 _____ 2 2015 (19) ____3.07 1898R^__ 12.5 1921 __ 12.7 1979** (7.6" 1934 4,9+2.7)

Feb 21 ___ 78 2018^____55 2018 ________17 1870 _____ 4 1896 _________ 1.86 1902RS__ 8.0 1929 ___12.5 1921** _ (9.2 1929)^

Feb 22 ___ 69 1997 ____ 46 1996 ________21 1963 _____ 8 1918, 63 _____2.39 1878R___ 6.0 2008 ___6.0 2008*

Feb 23 ___ 72 1874 ____ 55 1985 ________19 1873 _____ 5 1889 _________1.38 1928R___4.8 1972 ____ 5.8 2001 (5.5+0.3)

Feb 24 ___ 75 1985 ____ 58 2017 ________10 1894 _____-1 1873 ________ 1.69 1977R___6.0 1907 ____ 6.0 1907*

Feb 25 ___ 75 1930 ____ 51 1930 ________16 1934 _____ 1 1894, 1914 ___ 2.11 1916R___9.4 2010 ____ 9.4 2010*

Feb 26 ___ 65 1890 ____ 49 1976 ________19 1900 _____ 7 1928, 1990 __ 1.87 1929R__11.5 2010 ____20.9 2010 (9.3" 1934 3.7+5.6)

Feb 27 ___ 72 1997 ____ 49 1976 ________18 1886 _____ 5 1900 _________ 1.56 2013R___4.0 1873 ____11.5 2010** (8.9" 1991 8.4+0.5)

Feb 28 ___ 67 1976 ____ 47 1903,10,2017 _ 19 1875 _____ 5 1934 _________ 1.21 1910R___ 9.0 1949 ____9.0 1949*

Feb 29 ___ 69 1880 ____ 47 1896, 2016 __12 1884 _____ 4 1884 _______ 2.26 1896R___ 1.1 1968 ____ 5.0 1884**

-- - - - - - - - - - - --

^ 1st _ 2021 snow broke record of 9.8" (1934 -- which was a one-day snowfall event).

5th_6th ... probably very cold with some snow in 1855

*10th _ new record high min 45F 2023 broke 43, 1999; in 2024, 47F broke 2023.

13th _ The 2d 1899 snowfall in this data base may be recorded as a one-day 16.0" in other data bases, here it is broken down to 5.3" 12th and 10.7" 13th.

16th _ New record high min 56F 2023 prev rec 44F 2002

17th _ Also 2d totals of 9.6"(6.3+3.3) 1903 and 9.1" 17th-18th (7.1+2.0) 1893 (these may appear as one-day totals of same amounts in other data bases). Also, 17th max temp 68F 2022 replaced 67F 1976. high min 49F 2022 replaced 46F 1981, 2011. 

19th_ 1908 prec record included 4.3" snow

20th _ also 2.68" (unknown amount rain and 12.5" snow) 1921.

21st _ also 68 max in 1930 ... also 2d snow 10.7" 1947 (4.2+6.5)

____________________________________________________________________________________

 

[weatherpruf]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Yeo second cold winter in a row. Hopefully we reach 30-40 inches this winter which would be a nice sight. 

we probably get our next decent storm when the pattern eases.