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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


Stormlover74
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GFS-AI is miss, miss, rain. GFS is miss, miss, cold. But both are close to back to back hits. With the reliability of the ECM-AIFS, which is also showing essentially a miss, miss scenario next week, that should probably be the baseline for expectations until things look more hopeful. It's definitely not a close the blinds week though, fortunately.

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20 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Some melting is happening but not enough. 

Based on the weeklies this snowpack could last til March. And this doesn't account for added snowfall that we'll likely see in Feb. 

This is a rare deep winter and these patterns nowadays get stuck in place for months. This pattern stems from November.  

Also it wouldn't surprise me to see March delivering big this year. 

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