Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, dryslot said:

It will be telling us that were going to look at 06z next.

You know what I mean lol. 

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sure…but this run takes it from the Bahamas to Bermuda and then to the Cape. Maybe it’s right, but I’d like to see it repeat something similar come 00z.

Given the bullishness of the ensembles, it seems plenty of members are slingshotting it in some fashion…even if not the exact same track. 
 

Im still somewhat of a skeptic on this being big, but I think the path to a big event is ripping that dumbbell low NNW around the H5 low….Is feel better to start things a little further west. 

[Heisy]

Off of the palm tree, off of Bemuda, nothing but net-

Fujiwhara for the win

[H2Otown_WX]

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

wxbell 18Z EPS

Shades of 11 years ago, shield your eyes

[tiger_deF]

As a red line commuter, it’s pretty stunning how badly the storm recovery has been. 25+ minute waits for most trains, constant delays, a total of two disabled trains just today. Ubers easily 2x the cost they would usually be. Another big storm would cause serious problems.

Bring it on anyway 

[Ginx snewx]

Oops 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, tiger_deF said:

As a red line commuter, it’s pretty stunning how badly the storm recovery has been. 25+ minute waits for most trains, constant delays, a total of two disabled trains just today. Ubers easily 2x the cost they would usually be. Another big storm would cause serious problems.

Bring it on anyway 

I’m actually somewhat shocked at how bad the response to this storm has been. None of the storms like Feb 2021 or Jan 2022 or the 2018 storms caused this type of disruption. This area got really soft the last 2-3 years. 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Given the bullishness of the ensembles, it seems plenty of members are slingshotting it in some fashion…even if not the exact same track. 
 

Im still somewhat of a skeptic on this being big, but I think the path to a big event is ripping that dumbbell low NNW around the H5 low….Is feel better to start things a little further west. 

Yeah hopefully it’s on the right path. I’ve felt like this comes west to some extent although I thought we’d be able to curl the vort more north with time and pull it off that way. But I’ve seen the eps mean flip flop with the op on runs many times before too. Hopefully we get more globals on board at 00z and the euro somewhat holds.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Oops 

When did 18z run to 300+ hours? Is that new? 

[Warwick WX]

Excited for the chase, but my upper back and neck are wincing from the potential of MOAR SNOW REMOVAL each new run...

[Bryan63]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’m actually somewhat shocked at how bad the response to this storm has been. None of the storms like Feb 2021 or Jan 2022 or the 2018 storms caused this type of disruption. This area got really soft the last 2-3 years. 

You're telling me, my son has had 3 snow days this week. Only time I can remember getting that many days off in a row was the 2005 storm.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

28 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Several big dogs in there, even as far back as W CT/W MA to the NY boarder...a lot more than 12Z

Meh. It needs alot more work as is and I’m not buying a random euro/eps west jump either. It’s just a pony…

[Typhoon Tip]

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Given the bullishness of the ensembles, it seems plenty of members are slingshotting it in some fashion…even if not the exact same track. 
 

Im still somewhat of a skeptic on this being big, but I think the path to a big event is ripping that dumbbell low NNW around the H5 low….Is feel better to start things a little further west. 

This had a hook and latter vibe to it early on too… Sort of got lost, but we may have to go back through that phase of stuff before this ultimately becomes a real deal. Looking ladder storms do happen though.

 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah hopefully it’s on the right path. I’ve felt like this comes west to some extent although I thought we’d be able to curl the vort more north with time and pull it off that way. But I’ve seen the eps mean flip flop with the op on runs many times before too. Hopefully we get more globals on board at 00z and the euro somewhat holds.

I like the 70kts at 925 pinwheeling through.

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Shades of 11 years ago, shield your eyes

lmao or 4 year ago...

as long as i know its coming and im not expecting 20-30 like 2015 or 12-20 like 2022 then id be totally fine with it...better than a whiff. you gotta be a real nut job to rather have cirrus than 8" just bc SE MA gets 18-24. 

[mahk_webstah]

58 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

your not aloud to enjoy this if it comes west

Can I enjoy a quietly then?

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Meh. It needs alot more work as is and I’m not buying a random euro/eps west jump either. It’s just a pony…

This^

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

When did 18z run to 300+ hours? Is that new? 

?  

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Meh. It needs alot more work as is and I’m not buying a random euro/eps west jump either. It’s just a pony…

im not either but id at least it went in the right direction. have to wait for 00z but im fully expecting it to come back to a 12z reality. 

[CoastalWx]

Wait until the NAM gets in range. It will sling shot a 945 low to ACK.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

?  

You showed an hr 306 panel from the 18z euro.

[JACKASS]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

When did 18z run to 300+ hours? Is that new? 

oops

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You showed an hr 306 panel from the 18z euro.

That's a bad label 

[CoastalWx]

Something seems off there lol.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

That's a bad label 

Yeah seems like it lol

[Fozz]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

?  

I thought 18z Euro only goes to 144 hrs.

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, JACKASS said:

oops

Can't trust anything these days. AI makes it impossible.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah seems like it lol

Steve playing with AI again?

[The 4 Seasons]

Ginx has access to secret underground 18Z ECMWF 144-360HR panels. He accidentally exposed himself. Now we know and we are telling the EU. 

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

When did 18z run to 300+ hours? Is that new? 

 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You showed an hr 306 panel from the 18z euro.

 

2 minutes ago, JACKASS said:

oops

I didn't label the fucking thing Jackasses