February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[clueless]

We shall hug the NAM

[cbmclean]

4 minutes ago, MDSnow93 said:

To anyone who's superstitious on a science based forum - Your pennies are no good anymore, go find every fountain in the area and toss them in! 

Even the most sciency of scientists have their moments...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pauli_effect

[SnowenOutThere]

27 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I think the gfs is on its own for a northern band, there is cold press on the other models that will keep it central or south. Upside is what the NAM is showing, not surprisingly. Still a C-2” event, but whatever falls will stick immediately and be a more impactful event than if there was just bare grass on the ground.  

Southern/central VA 1-3 inch events have been my specialty this year

[dailylurker]

I started a thread for this weak ass pos lol

[BTRWx's Thanks Giving]

5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

6z AI Euro looks active with chances with most of this snow taking place between day 11 & 15.

I wish we could ban all ai snow maps. They have not been correct once.

[winter_warlock]

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Yeah its all about the snow. Not more road salt on your vehicle or yet another day schools will close lol.

I don't think there is any room for more salt on my Jeep.

That's why they have lots of carwash's 

[GreyHat]

Pretty dry for the area up to Feb 16 on Euro, Euro AI, GFS with the exception GFS AI is real wet.

 

 

 

 

[Terpeast]

3 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Pretty dry for the area up to Feb 16 on Euro, Euro AI, GFS with the exception GFS AI is real wet.

Did you check the ensembles for that time period? We don't really go by op models beyond day 5-7 or so

[GreyHat]

17 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Did you check the ensembles for that time period? We don't really go by op models beyond day 5-7 or so

No I didn't, thank you for reminding me.

[Terpeast]

3 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

No I didn't, thank you for reminding me.

No prob. I like the effort you're putting into comparing model forecasts, though. 

[GreyHat]

14 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

No prob. I like the effort you're putting into comparing model forecasts, though. 

I looked at the EPS/GEFS through Feb 7 and there isn't any real qpf.

I also looked at those to the end of their model runs and still look bleak but didn't post as they show grey in the area, still not much for qpf.

[snowmagnet]

3 hours ago, BlizzardNole said:

Funny thing about that is even Pensacola got a better snow (10") last year than we have had in 10 years here

We had around 10 inches last year in the first week of January. And a really nice storm in 2022. I think that one was Jan. 3rd.