February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[Jebman]

2 hours ago, CAPE said:

This your first post here?

Sure its a wrap.

Damn. Now I'm RAVENOUS

On second thought, YUCK. Someone needs to learn how to trim their damn nails...

[stormtracker]

GFS looks a little more north, but not sure it's gonna make it and temps look like they'd be an issue anyway

[stormtracker]

Gets some light rain up to us buts being shunted almost due east once it gets to us.  So, it's trash on this run.

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

8 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Stick a fork in it.  Veronica Johnson on WTOP radio just said that we're done with the Arctic air from here on out.

LOL!  Really?  OK, yeah I definitely can agree we're done with Arctic air the rest of this winter.  I mean, that's just climo and it's rare to get that level of cold as we get farther into this month and into March.  So that's kind of a meaningless statement.  But we don't need brutal cold to still get a solid wintry event or two between now and March.

[soadforecasterx]

Talk about a bad model 

[clskinsfan]

7 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Stick a fork in it.  Veronica Johnson on WTOP radio just said that we're done with the Arctic air from here on out.

Good thing we dont really need true Arctic air in February to get snow.

[IronTy]

2 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

LOL!  Really?  OK, yeah I definitely can agree we're done with Arctic air the rest of this winter.  I mean, that's just climo and it's rare to get that level of cold as we get farther into this month and into March.  So that's kind of a meaningless statement.  But we don't need brutal cold to still get a solid wintry event or two between now and March.

Low 40s as far as the eye can see.  

[winter_warlock]

10 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Stick a fork in it.  Veronica Johnson on WTOP radio just said that we're done with the Arctic air from here on out.

 Lol.  No forecaster knows that they can even predict 3 days out let alone rest of  winter 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

4 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Low 40s as far as the eye can see.  

Well, I wouldn't take what some deterministic model says at face value going farther out in time.  I mean heck...if anyone saw the 12Z GFS earlier, it had cold coming back in the last part of its run and even had a decent snow event around the 24th.  Not that it matters really that far out.  So whatever.  

[CAPE]

Disparity. Which one is closer to reality? Time will tell.

A strong jet streak upstream amplifies the trough on the Euro. Not so much on the GFS.

[BristowWx]

20 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Good thing we dont really need true Arctic air in February to get snow.

You don’t maybe.  Don’t agree on that point.  We had a sleet bomb in the teens.  Never imagined that would happen.  For many of us average temps suck ass for snow.  That is my considered opinion.  

[BristowWx]

20 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

 Lol.  No forecaster knows that they can even predict 3 days out let alone rest of  winter 

She is a tool.  It’s 10 Feb.  

[CAPE]

I should have posted that in the other thread because most here only care about the surface- specifically snow maps. 

It all happens upstairs.

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

6 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

You don’t maybe.  Don’t agree on that point.  We had a sleet bomb in the teens.  Never imagined that would happen.  For many of us average temps suck ass for snow.  That is my considered opinion.  

You do realize that the sleet bomb in the teens we had a couple of weeks ago was due to the mid-levels only.  Nothing to do with the surface.  And that was with a low cutting into the Ohio valley or there about.  Point is, yeah, we were "saved" by very cold surface air in place while the surface and 850 low went way to our west but that was particular to that event.  That doesn't mean such a thing would necessarily happen in another scenario where it's cold enough for snow but we get a better low track, say if that happens later this month or in March.  You still don't need the coldest of the cold to get a good snow event here, even in the DC-Balt corridor.

[ravensrule]

7 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I should have posted that in the other thread because most here only care about the surface- specifically snow maps. 

It all happens upstairs.

I only care what happens downstairs. 

[CAPE]

3 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

I only care what happens downstairs. 

Even that starts upstairs.

[StormyClearweather]

Only 384 hours away!

[BristowWx]

12 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

You do realize that the sleet bomb in the teens we had a couple of weeks ago was due to the mid-levels only.  Nothing to do with the surface.  And that was with a low cutting into the Ohio valley or there about.  Point is, yeah, we were "saved" by very cold surface air in place while the surface and 850 low went way to our west but that was particular to that event.  That doesn't mean such a thing would necessarily happen in another scenario where it's cold enough for snow but we get a better low track, say if that happens later this month or in March.  You still don't need the coldest of the cold to get a good snow event here, even in the DC-Balt corridor.

Agree on all points.  But still stings.  15 degree sleet…we have to be unluckiest bastards on the planet.  Then to have weeks of vodka cold. Rant over.  

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Agree on all points.  But still stings.  15 degree sleet…we have to be unluckiest bastards on the planet.  Then to have weeks of vodka cold. Rant over.  

Don't forget the pure heavy snow event for eastern NC while we smoked cirrus. We missed that one and have had nothing since. Piss and moan over- at least i am in the appropriate thread for it lol.

 

[JenkinsJinkies]

23 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

You do realize that the sleet bomb in the teens we had a couple of weeks ago was due to the mid-levels only.  Nothing to do with the surface.

This right here, if the Outer Banks can get 12” all snow then we can get more than that with the right setup. Might not be this season though.

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

This right here, if the Outer Banks can get 12” all snow then we can get more than that with the right setup. Might not be this season though.

19” jack at Atlantic beach. It could have been us. Glass half full take - if it can happen down there, we still have our chances. Maybe not this season, but next year during an el nino we might get a hit. 

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, IronTy said:

Stick a fork in it.  Veronica Johnson on WTOP radio just said that we're done with the Arctic air from here on out.

Really trying to piss me off

[Ji]

Euro has a coastal but it needs to phase sooner to give it that umph. The sw low is weak ass

[mitchnick]

Euro is just a bad dream.

[Maestrobjwa]

22 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Really trying to piss me off

Wait who is that? Lol

[rjvanals]

Euro is cold enough for snow at the 850 level but 925 level is a few degrees to warm 

[Ji]

Euro is cold enough for snow at the 850 level but 925 level is a few degrees to warm 

It’s too weak. It’s got to phase way earlier near Alabama

[Ji]

Wait who is that? Lol

She is a non met met

[Kevin Reilly]

2 hours ago, Interstate said:

Someone needs to trim their nails.

You know it’s bad when there are more pictures or wraps than snow maps closing in on dinner. 

[CAPE]

19 minutes ago, Ji said:

Euro has a coastal but it needs to phase sooner to give it that umph. The sw low is weak ass

Yeah its a weakling until it gets further offshore. No phase at h5- the NS wave sharpens but too late and doesn't go negative in time.