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Eastern Mass Gets Their Swag Back - SWFE on Steriods - Region wide Major Snowfall - Jan 25-26, 2026 Nowcast/Obs.


Sey-Mour Snow
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Too much energy expended in the semantics of the "SWFE"  when the term never should have been invented in the first place.  Meteorology already defines this type of precipitation cause by isentropic lift.  That's all it is.  SWFE is just overrunning, because the warm air outpaces the retreat of cold air, and thus... is forced over it.   

The other thing is that it is not that uncommon for isentropic events to morph into coastals.   Sometimes there's a lull as the IB moves off, then the coastal gets going. Sometimes the transition is smoother... it's all kind of variant.   

We'll see what happens tomorrow but it looks on the PP layout like a coastal that is moving too fast to really clip on the way out. So we end up with a cough CCB decay ...    

 

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12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t mean there. There was reports of sleet into Vernon which is near me 

Either maybe something convective went through and it was heavily rimed flakes/graupel or maybe nucleation is getting poor at times and you’re getting supercooled droplets in the cloud layer freezing in the cold dome. 

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13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

In the end it just comes down to a number. The liquid equiv will be what it is. By the end of the week the pack will look the same whether it started as big dendrites or little plates and needles. 

Yup, models will be close to correct on QPF totals give or take a tenth or two. 
Maybe not a lot of 18” totals but plenty of meat in the pack. 

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