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OBS: 1/25-26 Snow/Sleet


jm1220
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7 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Looking like the CT coast and Westchester north of Yonkers won’t mix at least until the vast majority of precip is over. 

It’s mostly sleet here in white plains, visibility really up now.  11 inches, think we can squeeze out another inch but storm is over

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1 minute ago, eduggs said:

No. I have been confident about warning snow everywhere. I've also been confident about Putnam/Orange getting 12" plus. I've said numerous times I thought the battleground for double digits would be across southern Westchester extended east and west. This morning appeared to overperform either ratios or QPF. But the progression of the mix line played out very similarly to how the NAM depicted going back several days.

You literally said yesterday this was going to be high level advisory for nyc/li lol

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24 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

After they shaved back like 5 or 6 times. They had all of LI and NYC in the 12-18" range(specifically around 12-15 from NYC-Suffolk) and slowly cut back update after update. I never went higher than 8-12 there from the jump -about 72hrs out. 

Exactly. People forget. This was talked about as a snowpocalypse for days. NWS was 15"+ for most of the area until really close in. I really hope the tail end of this overperforms. But so far great call by you!

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8 minutes ago, eduggs said:

I just checked the 6z model runs. For NYC by 21z the NAM had about 0.87" liquid and the RGEM had 0.93". Almost the same. People are just getting fooled by the Pivotal clown map algorithm. Clown maps are really bad for the weather industry. They skew the data and lead to rampant misinterpretation. 

Please stop. So I guess it's all pivotal's fault that the nam is being decommissioned. The models are all on the same playing field. 

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9 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I guess we'll see if the mix line makes it to I84, but in terms of mixing in and around the city that's been pretty obvious on most models for days. 

Sleet briefly made it to Rockland and will probably mix in pretty far north as the dryslot approaches. The CMC and UK showed several runs where the mix line stayed south of the metro entirely. Even this afternoon's runs may not have mixed at all. Terrible! 

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8 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Exactly. People forget. This was talked about as a snowpocalypse for days. NWS was 15"+ for most of the area until really close in. I really hope the tail end of this overperforms. But so far great call by you!

15 plus ? By who ?

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2 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Sleet briefly made it to Rockland and will probably mix in pretty far north as the dryslot approaches. The CMC and UK showed several runs where the mix line stayed south of the metro entirely. Even this afternoon's runs may not have mixed at all. Terrible! 

Stop complaining.  Its a beautiful storm. We haven't had this much snow in years and especially with temps in the teens. 

Enjoy it

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