OBS: 1/25-26 Snow/Sleet

[Jt17]

Nam was horrible

5 inches for Manhattan total including sleet lol


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[EasternLI]

Somewhere ~5" otg and getting crushed. 1/8th mi vis type stuff

[DreamBig]

Some bigger flakes starting to mix in in Flatbush. Don't know if that's a sign of warming aloft

[MJO812]

8 inches in Sheepshead bay

[winterwx21]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Nam was horrible

What? NAM was the only model that was correct about it changing to sleet as early as 1pm here. It was just off a couple inches with the accumulation because it underestimated the thump. I have 8 here instead of the 6 that the NAM had before the mixing. 

[MJO812]

Sleet will make the snow concrete and hard to shovel

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Nam was horrible

 

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Lots of sleet mixed with the snow here now. About 8 inches so at least the thump was great. NAM was on the money with the early mixing. 

both things can't be true. imo the nam was correct on the sleet, however it's not the slushy kind of snow killing sleet of march 2017 for example; this stuff is very light and bouncy. perhaps due to the cold temps.

[weatherpruf]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Sleet will make the snow concrete and hard to shovel

only if we glaze on top. hoping we don't.

[winterwarlock]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam was horrible

actually its run last night had me flipping at 1 pm and it did exactly...kuchera run gave me a bit over 6 and its more like 8 here so high ratios beat but it certainly didnt do horrible for those central jersey south given it was the first model to sniff the warm nose and introduce sleet all the way back to its 84 hour run a few days ago. The ratios were more of the difference here

[mob1]

Still all snow (holding my breath) and closing in on 10", need 30 more minutes or so. 

[ForestHillWx]

Measured 9” in the front 8.5” in the back at 12:45; still excellent rates. 

Anyone have a link to the coefficient radar? Pittstown is 20 miles southwest of me. 

[Stormlover74]

4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Lots of sleet mixed with the snow here now. About 8 inches so at least the thump was great. NAM was on the money with the early mixing. 

Yeah I'm going with 8. 7 in spots 9 or 10 in others with a lot of drifting 

[winterwarlock]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

What? NAM was the only model that was correct about it changing to sleet as early as 1pm here. It was just off a couple inches with the accumulation because it underestimated the thump. I have 8 here instead of the 6 that the NAM had before the mixing. 

exactly...have to give the nam some props

[Jt17]

12z NAM had sleet up to Jackson Township at 1PM; radar has it around Sandy Hook. Off by 20 miles to the south.

Not useful talking about what it shows today. During its useful forecasting window which would have been late Friday and through yesterday - it was showing a turnover in the city at 11 am and 5.5 inches of snow. It overdid the warmth and underdid the thump.


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[wxman]

9.5" on the ground.  Light snow mixed with sleet.  Temp 10.

[Prue11]

Just under 7”. Easily 2” per hour maybe more 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, winterwarlock said:

actually its run last night had me flipping at 1 pm and it did exactly...kuchera run gave me a bit over 6 and its more like 8 here so high ratios beat but it certainly didnt do horrible for those central jersey south given it was the first model to sniff the warm nose and introduce sleet all the way back to its 84 hour run a few days ago. The ratios were more of the difference here

Problem is more about the snow maps than the model itself though it was too dry by a bit 

[Picard]

8.3" and still snowing on the heavier side.  Temp remains at 7 degrees on two different temp sensors.
Curious question, what are the warmest temps aloft?  

[weatherpruf]

Just now, winterwarlock said:

actually its run last night had me flipping at 1 pm and it did exactly...kuchera run gave me a bit over 6 and its more like 8 here so high ratios beat but it certainly didnt do horrible for those central jersey south given it was the first model to sniff the warm nose and introduce sleet all the way back to its 84 hour run a few days ago. The ratios were more of the difference here

mt holly said this could happen early afternoon, but that colder dynamics could result in higher thump because the warm air was shallow; i don't get all the science but i can read, and they gave a good explanation. pretty close to what has happened. credit given.

[kat5hurricane]

No signs of mixing here, visibility very low. I'm starting to wonder if there should have been a Blizzard Warning, winds have been whipping with heavy snow for a few hours now. It's treacherous out there

[Stormlover74]

What's falling is still heavy and not pure sleet so will still add accumulation

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah I'm going with 8. 7 in spots 9 or 10 in others with a lot of drifting 

it's a good thump. and i think this sleet will add a few inches. think i broke the 6 inch curse. 

[MANDA]

1:00

7.9 degrees and 9.5”.

Picked up 2.8” last two hours.

[BxEngine]

8” now, hopefuly can hold on till 4 ish before the sleet. 

[Stormlover74]

Back to mostly snow now. Guess it will battle for a while

[Snowlover11]

Just hit 9” Almost couldn’t open my screen door to go outside.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Back to mostly snow now. Guess it will battle for a while

When rated fall all sleet. Sleet snow mix when heavier.

[jm1220]

6 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

only if we glaze on top. hoping we don't.

Probably a good idea to shovel right as it goes to sleet. In the dryslot models are showing some areas of freezing drizzle. That will make it all congeal into concrete. 

[mob1]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Back to mostly snow now. Guess it will battle for a while

Radar seems to be filling in SW to NE a bit from Philly to just south of the city. Wonder if heavier precipitation will slowly down the mix line a bit. Still all snow here surprisingly enough. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Just now, North and West said:

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Still at 10f here with 10+ down. No mixing. Just heavy snow.