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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres


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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

That is wild. Do you think we virga for 7 hours? Honest question. This is an airmass we arent used to here in the MA. But 7 hours?

Doubt it. I’ll go with what LWX is saying, if not an hour later. Next hrrr run may show something different :lol:

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8 minutes ago, weatherCCB said:

Yeah. Good sign . We want the precip shield to come in west to east. Might hold off transition time.  Sign HP is holding strong

 

The slower it gains latitude the better. The crunch time may be around 6am when we see whether or not it’s shooting up into WV 

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2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

The slower it gains latitude the better. The crunch time may be around 6am when we see whether or not it’s shooting up into WV 

Honestly I am not worried about what happens out there. The mountains help us in that regard. There is a shit ton of cold air trapped east of the mountains. The question is how fast the warm air can move over that cold dome. We are all going to learn a lot from this event here. One of the best CAD's of my life is going to be fighting. 

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14 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

@Bob Chill How much virga was over your yard before you saw your first flakes?

Just a couple hours but snow has super light/off and on until just now. It's starting to stick but it's more like sand than snow. The DMV will likely have much better snow growth conditions than my yard. 

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

Gotta thumpy thump between 3-10am. That’s the whole ballgame. 

I don't think snow amounts are as consequential this storm other than for stats.  I think 6" of snow followed by sleet would be satisfactory for east of the fall line.  4" would be disappointing.  But climo usually has the last word. 

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4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Why is the euro doubling down on being basically the snowiest model for us? Gfs and UKMET were aggressive on 18z too. 

Having the euro as the snowiest model is certainly better than our usual situation! Wish we didn’t have the NAM threatening us lol

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2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Having the euro as the snowiest model is certainly better than our usual situation! Wish we didn’t have the NAM threatening us lol

Imagine if the NAM ends up being right. Loved that 18z suite. All the globals give us 8-10 plus.

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