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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres


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2 minutes ago, Ji said:


Starting with the words rgem lost is bad marketing

Not when you're selling the truth. ;)

Here's a link to the 6z GGEM. Also very close to 0z.

https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off

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1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Come on man Im a milk man not a weather man :hurrbear:

Actually, I  was trying to convey that I didn't have the scientific answer myself with the emoji, but I would certainly think sleet comes in different shapes and sizes to effect accumulations some. But since sleet is generally 3:1, you probably wouldn't notice a big difference between 2.5:1 and 3.5:1.

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4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Just a reminder that the map is 10:1, so you would think Kuchera would increase it some.

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26 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Note NWS saying travel will be nearly impossible.....

This is correct with the rates before the flip, then the glaciation from the sleet mauling. Godspeed to everyone who has to travel Sunday. The plows will NOT keep up.

My SIL is a hospital obgyn who works in DC, she's on shift starting Sunday night. She's gotta get there for the babies .... Good luck to all the parents who need to get to a hospital. Everyone else, stay home!

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8 degrees! That’s really cold for mby! Looks like a very thumpy 0z euro.  The NAMS are the earliest flip for DC right after 12z whereas the rgem, cmc, euro, and hrrr push it closer to 16z or 17z.  Let’s hope the NAMs are still figuring out the Synoptics a bit.  Either way, it’s gonna snow! 

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7 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Mods - time for a separate obs thread for temps and radar hallucinations and then precip stuff as the storm arrives?

would keep this thread clean for the NAM cliffdivers to die in peace….

Whatever the other mods want to do. I’ll be away for a bit, have to get kiddo ready in hair/makeup for a dance competition rehearsal day 

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3 minutes ago, mappy said:

Whatever the other mods want to do. I’ll be away for a bit, have to get kiddo ready in hair/makeup for a dance competition rehearsal day 

Hope it goes well! My daughter has her mock comp today too! Happy to get it in before the snow.

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