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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!


SnowenOutThere
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We are going to be grilling out in the elements. Have some Amish market fresh ground beef, all the fixins, brioche buns, corn, chips and homemade salsa, potato chips and dip, and two different kinds of desserts. Football on the TV and a fire in the fire place. It’s a great day :sled:
You just inspired me. Prepping some steaks and shrimp
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1 hour ago, paulythegun said:
2 hours ago, MillvilleWx said:
We are going to be grilling out in the elements. Have some Amish market fresh ground beef, all the fixins, brioche buns, corn, chips and homemade salsa, potato chips and dip, and two different kinds of desserts. Football on the TV and a fire in the fire place. It’s a great day :sled:

You just inspired me. Prepping some steaks and shrimp

Hell yes!! 

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11 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Credit where its due - 3k NAM got the thermals right, timed the changeover quite well. Whiffed on pre-flip qpf though.

NAM Nest is truly a solid model for thermals but it SUCKS for QPF. This is a big reason I did my forecast like I did and  it seems to be working out, however probably underestimated the total sleet after the snow. These totals post flip are nuts across MD. Went a little too low. 

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2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

NAM Nest is truly a solid model for thermals but it SUCKS for QPF. This is a big reason I did my forecast like I did and  it seems to be working out, however probably underestimated the total sleet after the snow. These totals post flip are nuts across MD. Went a little too low. 

Tbh I was surprised the sleet line blew past us all the way to Harrisburg PA given the arctic airmass we got. I figured the DMV would mix so I gave them 4-8” with 6-10 in the NW suburbs, which seems to have done okay. But I didn’t have southern PA going to sleet just a couple hours after we did!

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