Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 .40 freezing rain is power outages, don’t want that, central VA is a nightmare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Terrible for RIC, LYN, ROA, etc. And yes we are part of this forum. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk 5 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO That's a lottttt of freezing rain. I'd wager at least half of that is sleet instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balltermen Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 This storm it’s going to be a beast all around. Wow. VA likely going to be under state of emergency soon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Nomz said: That's a lottttt of freezing rain. I'd wager at least half of that is sleet instead. I hope so for Richmonds sake. Low 20 degree temps during that too. It is bad news as modeled for them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO If that freezing rain is even remotely correct people are really screwed in central and Southern VA. Dear lord. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steckstacks Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Definite improvement over 18z!!! Ha...funny how we're calling a foot of snow a "thump", lolCan we see a comparison to 18z @weatherwill?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Terrible for RIC, LYN, ROA, etc. And yes we are part of this forum. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk2” of ZR at RIC. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Last pic before bed. Pummeled! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Are the mid levels that cooked to get that much freezing rain rather than sleet? Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 8 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: This storm it’s going to be a beast all around. Wow. VA likely going to be under state of emergency soon South Va and probably much of NC. So much damned ICE. South central TX is also going to get some ZR and sleet, along with freezing weather. Sun night we might hit 10 degrees without the wind. This system is going to be one frigid slippery dangerous killer beast. I hope not but there are likely to be pileups all over the ice areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I hope so for Richmonds sake. Low 20 degree temps during that too. It is bad news as modeled for them. Hopefully it'll be mostly sleet as the warm layer is pretty high up allowing for a ~5k foot cold layer that maybe deep and cold enough to refreeze raindrops before they hit the surface. I saw this skiing at Mt. Tremblant where it was 15f at the summit with freezing rain while ~2000 ft below in the village it was a heavy sleet storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 17 minutes ago, benjammin said: Terrible for RIC, LYN, ROA, etc. And yes we are part of this forum. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk Ive been wondering where Richmond goes. It doesnt seem to fut into the SE group and this forum ignores it as well. "Central VA" typically includes Richmond but you wouldn't know from maps that ignore it. FWIW, the models have consistently transformed most North Carolina into a skating rink. Now up to Richmond. I do think northward trend of ZR has stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 EC continues to support initial snow thoughts on where the heaviest will occur. I may have to adjust my 10” line further southeast, but there’s time! I need to make it out to the WV Panhandle for this thing. It looks immaculate out there for this one. Anyone want to take in a meteorologist? I’ll bring some booze @clskinsfan ? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: EC continues to support initial snow thoughts on where the heaviest will occur. I may have to adjust my 10” line further southeast, but there’s time! I need to make it out to the WV Panhandle for this thing. It looks immaculate out there for this one. Anyone want to take in a meteorologist? I’ll bring some booze @clskinsfan ? This has some excitement factor IMBY as well, the kids have never seen more than a 6" storm yet. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Hecs 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, DDweatherman said: This has some excitement factor IMBY as well, the kids have never seen more than a 6" storm yet. Oh man, are they in for a treat! You are in an excellent spot too for this one. Any good places to stay around your parts by chance? I am really looking into a chase out in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Looks like one hell of a snow job to me, especially in northern Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Oh man, are they in for a treat! You are in an excellent spot too for this one. Any good places to stay around your parts by chance? I am really looking into a chase out in that direction. I feel like there are some good places in the Gettysburg area that would be a fun spot for this. What kind of place are you looking for? If I don't answer in a minute, I will in first thing in the AM. It's been a long day and I might doze off here in a sec. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 0z eps looks good to me. Really not too different. A bit more qpf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Oy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Huge snow swath. Starts right on the continental divide in New Mexico and goes all the way past eastern Maine 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 More ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I'm gathering this was posted already... but LWX says SLRs to start at 15:1 for the entire region in their AFD 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 33 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: EC continues to support initial snow thoughts on where the heaviest will occur. I may have to adjust my 10” line further southeast, but there’s time! I need to make it out to the WV Panhandle for this thing. It looks immaculate out there for this one. Anyone want to take in a meteorologist? I’ll bring some booze @clskinsfan ? I WOULD say bring it - we have plenty of space - but being in the BR, I can't guarantee that you'll be able to get out before Tues or maybe even Wed. In 2016 it took them 3 days to get to us with large bulldozers driving down the middle of the road. Dump trucks couldn't push it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, yoda said: I'm gathering this was posted already... but LWX says SLRs to start at 15:1 for the entire region in their AFD 930pm evening AFD update snippet One thing to note regarding this evening`s guidance is that there has been a northern and western push which favors wintry mix across southern MD and central VA. The uncertainty remains in how far north this mix line evolves given the track of system whether it`s further to west or south of the region. The ECMWF, ICON, GFS, GEM, GEFS, and EPS illustrate this in different variations with a the highest probabilities of ice (i.e., sleet/some freezing rain) in the aformentioned areas above. Each of these solutions do have a variation of sleet mixing with snow and making it as far north as the I-95 corridor as the system kicks out Sunday afternoon. The probability of 0.01" of ice remains between 10 to 20 percent along I-66/US-50 and into I-95 north and east of DC. These values jump up to 25 to 35 percent across southern MD and central VA where slightly warmer air aloft/dry slotting may win out. The probabilities for significant/impactful snow have not changed a whole lot with the entire area seeing 65 to 85 percent probs of 6 to 8 inches snow. These probabilities drop down to 35 to 60 percent for a foot of snow, especially in the climo favored zones along and west of I-95 as well as down into northern Shenandoah Valley/Allegheny Mountains. This signal has trended upward in the last few runs, especially on the ECMWF/ECS as well as GEPS compared to the GEFS which focus this axis a bit further south. Of course these numbers will go up or down based upon any mixing that may occur. Snow to liquid ratios look to start around 15:1 with this system for the entirety of the area, while then trending down toward 10:1 and perhaps slightly lower Sunday morning into the afternoon as some mixing occurs. The pending dry slot could also play into this as well. Snow should be fluffy in nature, particularly within the initial warm advection conveyor belt. Expect some crustiness of this snowpack given any mixing that may occur as the system kicks out during the second half of Sunday. Now is the time for the public to make preparations for the storm. This includes getting any necessary groceries or medicines that you may not be able to access this weekend into early next week due to any potential closure. Have an emergency kit in the car including extra batteries, a flashlight, and blanket just in case you get stranded. Make sure to refuel your car before the storm hits. Check on elederly friends/neighbors and don`t forget about your pets during this prolonged cold period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Watches up from Wakefield URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 MDZ021>023-VAZ048-060>062-064-068-069-075-509>513-515-517-519-521- 221500- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1800Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland- Goochland-Caroline-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Western Louisa- Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)- Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex- 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Confidence is increasing in widespread snow, sleet, and freezing rain. This may result in major impacts in infrastructure and transportation. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. The combination of significant snow and ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just got an alert on my phone for a winter storm watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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