Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Gets rain (only a few hundreths) to Weymouth lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 It's fair to say you can't tell any trend with this one early on in a run, that looked colder for sure, then it torched.. I don't think you can toss it either, all you can do is watch model trends for thermals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Cancelled school in Newport already for Monday. Hope this one doesn't disappoint for anyone, even if it would make me missing it more palatable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: It's fair to say you can't tell any trend with this one early on in a run, that looked colder for sure, then it torched.. I don't think you can toss it either, all you can do is watch model trends for thermals. I'd rather it look colder early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The NAM loves to punch warm air north on SWFEs, especially at this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: I'd rather it look colder early on. I’m more disappointed that it looks worse with the coastal portion Monday. Thats probably the difference between 12” and 18” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, RDRY said: The NAM loves to punch warm air north on SWFEs, especially at this range. It’s usually correct too which is a concern 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3k was pretty amped too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Noting a hint of concern among members. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 4 minutes ago, RDRY said: The NAM loves to punch warm air north on SWFEs, especially at this range. And it's normally right 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I’m trying to remember a storm like this where the NAM was too warm and north with the nose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Latest RRFS is colder . Sleet gets to about NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m more disappointed that it looks worse with the coastal portion Monday. Thats probably the difference between 12” and 18” You jinxed it with a map lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3k keeps cf pinned closer to the coast Sunday late night vs 12k more inland in SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: It's fair to say you can't tell any trend with this one early on in a run, that looked colder for sure, then it torched.. I don't think you can toss it either, all you can do is watch model trends for thermals. Yep. 20-30” or a torch In all seriousness, we watch the trends. Whenever they develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, RDRY said: The NAM loves to punch warm air north on SWFEs, especially at this range. I think its wrong. Nam is usually too amped. We are also dealing with very cold temps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: And it's normally right Yup, Beware of the warm tongue more times then not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z nam blip, will come back to its senses by 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Selling the low tucking towards NYC before sliding east toward ACK. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I think its wrong. Nam is usually too amped. We are also dealing with very cold temps. I can't see plain rain anywhere except maybe the immediate coast, but a sleet-fest is definitely on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I think its wrong. Nam is usually too amped. We are also dealing with very cold temps. It could be 3 degrees with sleet with warmth aloft . Surface nothing to do with it. It’s probably not correct this run, but it’s something to keep in back of mind 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Yup, Beware of the warm tongue more times then not. If the other 18z runs show a similar move, then maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I think its wrong. Nam is usually too amped. We are also dealing with very cold temps. H7 don’t care 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Latest RRFS is colder . Sleet gets to about NYC Sleet doesn't get as far north as the Nam in SE NE. Also, more amped than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, dendrite said: H7 don’t care To go from the teens to freezing within a few hours? I doubt it. Nam is off its rocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: If the other 18z runs show a similar move, then maybe. It’s not the only model that has warmer air ticking north though, Just something to watch, Primary has been ticking further north on some of these runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: To go from the teens to freezing within a few hours? I doubt it. Nam is off its rocker. How many times have I heard this from you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: To go from the teens to freezing within a few hours? I doubt it. Nam is off its rocker. I’d definitely be concerned in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z NAM looks great!! 4 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d definitely be concerned in NYC To go from suppressed to this is disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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