MJO812 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Heavy snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: I got just about 6 ,maybe a tad under. I grabbed my electric leaf blower and easily blew off my walkway and vehicles. Very light snow and accumulating very quickly. New GFS says between 16 and 17 total after tomorrow’s remnants. We will see some sleet, compensated by ratios perhaps. Good developments. GFS picking up on the warm tonge. Would be a foot for CPK with what has already fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Nice storm. Heavy snow with low visibility. im going to count my snowfall as NAM+. im ALREADY where the NAM had me haha 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Sleet will accumulate too just at a slower rate. If we get 0.6” liquid as sleet that’s 1.8” since it’s a 3-1 ratio. And it will be dense and heavy as hell. Yeah the snow pack would last a long time with that density. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS picking up on the warm tonge. Would be a foot for CPK with what has already fallen. Most of south jersey is 6+but I guess that's from 7am on? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, jm1220 said: Sleet will accumulate too just at a slower rate. If we get 0.6” liquid as sleet that’s 1.8” since it’s a 3-1 ratio. And it will be dense and heavy as hell. There is also IP (PL) and SN mix at 5:1 or 7:1 pending on the mix which may occur in the borterline areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 minutes ago, Jt17 said: If the city can get to 4 PM all snow would be epic . That’s what Lee Goldberg is thinking now. If it can snow till 4pm NYC will get 10-15 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS picking up on the warm tonge. Would be a foot for CPK with what has already fallen. That includes snow since 7am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Ocean enhanced precip absolutely exploding south of long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: That’s what Lee Goldberg is thinking now. If it can snow till 4pm NYC will get 10-15 inches. Idk about 15 but 10-12 yeah. I’m thinking 10 for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 I'm seeing 18"+ for parts of the mid-HV across to CT on the latest guidance... maybe down to Orange & Putnam... especially if measuring with a snowboard every 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DreamBig Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 8 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: I got just about 6 ,maybe a tad under. I grabbed my electric leaf blower and easily blew off my walkway and vehicles. Very fluffy dry snow and accumulating very quickly. New GFS says between 16 and 17 total after tomorrow’s remnants. We will see some sleet, compensated by ratios perhaps. Good developments. 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS picking up on the warm tonge. Would be a foot for CPK with what has already fallen. How are these so different, if both same gfs? Shouldn't Kuchera be higher also? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5” and counting here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, nycsnow said: Ocean enhanced precip absolutely exploding south of long island Let’s hope that makes its way on shore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Sleet line looks to he moving quickly again. anyone able to confirm if flipped in philly already? We need to watch philly then trenton 195 area and see how quick warm air aloft is moving 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, eduggs said: I'm seeing 18"+ for parts of the mid-HV across to CT on the latest guidance... maybe down to Orange & Putnam... especially if measuring with a snowboard every 6 hours. I wouldn’t be shocked if that creeped down into Northern Westchester. Between 5-6” already and the big boy rates haven’t even come yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, mikem81 said: Sleet line looks to he moving quickly again. anyone able to confirm if flipped in philly already? We need to watch philly then trenton 195 area and see how quick warm air aloft is moving Newest HRRR continues to have the sleet line fight back and forth as it gets to NYC around 21z. Sleet finally really takes over around dark. If that's true could be big, and NYC gets over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: Sleet line looks to he moving quickly again. anyone able to confirm if flipped in philly already? We need to watch philly then trenton 195 area and see how quick warm air aloft is moving Quickly?? It’s barely into southern jersey. Wildwood is still snowing heavy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: Sleet line looks to he moving quickly again. anyone able to confirm if flipped in philly already? We need to watch philly then trenton 195 area and see how quick warm air aloft is moving There is a precip hole over south Jersey so the lighter rates probably allowed it to move in if I had to guess but I’m no pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 The way things are looking we’re not even looking at that, I’m saying 3 to 5 in the city, less than that point south and east and even 30 miles west and north of New York City not that much more maybe 4 to 8 at bestHow's this working out for ya?. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 minutes ago, DreamBig said: How are these so different, if both same gfs? Shouldn't Kuchera be higher also? I have no idea…mine includes sleet? Something is off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Sleet line looks to he moving quickly again. anyone able to confirm if flipped in philly already? We need to watch philly then trenton 195 area and see how quick warm air aloft is moving It usually moves in waves. Advances north, gets beaten back a bit, then surges north quicker and further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, allgame830 said: Quickly?? It’s barely into southern jersey. Wildwood is still snowing heavy! Maybe I’m looking at wrong map on COD but it seems to be advancing on the Philly radar using the sleet correlation mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DOX-N0C-1-48-100-usa-rad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, allgame830 said: I wouldn’t be shocked if that creeped down into Northern Westchester. Between 5-6” already and the big boy rates haven’t even come yet These are the big boy rates right now. There might be higher QPF hours coming, but probably not higher snow/hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, nycsnow said: There is a precip hole over south Jersey so the lighter rates probably allowed it to move in if I had to guess but I’m no pro Definitely possible but also was supposed to start mixing around this time down there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Snow/sleet line is further north than this indicates. KDOX shows it well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 My WSW now says that between 2-8 more inches will fall. That sounds about right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 58 minutes ago, RU848789 said: As of 10:30 am, snowing legitimately heavily (1/4 mile visibility) with a bit larger dendrites and we now have 5.2" otg (1.2" last hour) at 13F (10F dewpoint). Just went for a Jeb Walk and took a few pics - gorgeous out there. As of 11 am, still snowing heavily and up to 6.0" of snow otg, for a rate of 1.6"/hr the last 30 minutes - wow! 13F and just pouring snow. Sleet line looks to be in Wilmington - latest HRRR has us in snow until about 3 pm and if that verifies, we'd get another 6" or so before the sleet. We'll see, but certainly seems like 9-10" is a lock before the change and then maybe 1-2" sleet (but likely mixed with some snow, so maybe higher ratios than 3:1 for pure sleet). Also, I got my snow to liquid ratio for the snow that fell through about 9:00 am when we had about 3.6" of snow - it was 14:1. I thought it would be at least 15:1, so off on that guess a little bit, probably because the flakes the first few hours were not large dendrites, so even though they were smaller dendrites and very dry, they packed in more than expected. Did this by taking a 6" x 6" x 3.6" cube of snow and melting it and doing the volume ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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