NorthShoreWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 For however little it's worth, the 12z TT 3k NAM clown map shows easily over 12" on LI. We'll see how the sleet affects that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, EasternLI said: Yeah wow, c'mon RRFS you got this. Problem i have is its showing DC getting getting 4.3 and its already all sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5" down. Heavy snow. 8.8 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Problem i have is its showing DC getting getting 4.3 and its already all sleet. What did they get before that? 12z means thats starting from 7am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, EasternLI said: What did they get before that? 12z means thats starting from 7am The last official report i saw was 3.4 at 7 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Problem i have is its showing DC getting getting 4.3 and its already all sleet. But isn’t that based of 12z initialization which makes a little more sense if not ya you’re right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilton_wx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Problem i have is its showing DC getting getting 4.3 and its already all sleet. RAP is a bit more in line with reality? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, EastonSN+ said: The last official report i saw was 3.4 at 7 am. Parts of dc reported 5-6 I saw from X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 TWC is saying 3 to 5 more on top of what has already fallen (Jim Cantore said about 3 to 4 in central park so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 But parts of Baltimore county are at 10+ so there will always be winners and losers 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 RGEM is a crush job has the sleet line slower/ pulls south later while over Long Island 10-15 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, wilton_wx said: RAP is a bit more in line with reality? If that starts 7am then yeah. Take an inch off DC. They prolly had half an inch before the sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Clear push south on the sleet line south of Jersey last few frames..this is gonna be a back and forth battle with this extremely cold atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj08822 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 7 degrees, heavy snow in Nazareth PA (75 miles due west of NYC). Enjoy it today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: RGEM is a crush job has the sleet line slower/ pulls south later while over Long Island 10-15 inches Yep, if we can get it to fight back and forth for a while, even an hour that could mean 2 more inches. The radar looks amazing coming out of NJ. The ratios are coming down as the column warms but higher intensity will make up for it then some. That looks like 2”/hr stuff coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: But parts of Baltimore county are at 10+ so there will always be winners and losers We are focusing on north to south but west to east is very important. If u look at the models the warm tongue moves northeast not due north. Same down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5" in Hazlet Monmouth county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Yep, if we can get it to fight back and forth for a while, even an hour that could mean 2 more inches. The radar looks amazing coming out of NJ. The ratios are coming down as the column warms but higher intensity will make up for it then some. That looks like 2”/hr stuff coming. If you look at kdix mix line you can see that battle happening down there, back and forth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 13 minutes ago, TriPol said: Upton should have stuck to their guns instead of caving to the NAM. it's a tough call; mt holly laid out their reasons why we could still hold onto snow longer but also saw the sleet. they didn't reduce things that much, really. i still have a tough time believing in the higher amounts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: 5" in Hazlet Monmouth county. wow pretty good down there franklin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: If that starts 7am then yeah. Take an inch off DC. They prolly had half an inch before the sleet. DC has 3.5-4” as of 730am today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Just now, Prue11 said: DC has 3.5-4” as of 730am today Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 can see it on klwx as well… there’s a nice fight with the cold air…. Any slow down can be huge @jm1220 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 The biggest push of sleet will be when the coastal starts to develop. Need to watch for when that starts to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 58 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Doesn't look like it's moving north all that fast over DE and hitting some resistance over DE Bay. I'm sure it's still coming but time to watch the radar and the CC line from here IMO. And heavy enough rates can overcome a very shallow warm layer a little above freezing which is probably what the HRRR is showing with the fighting back and forth. We saw heavy rates overcome a shallow layer in Little Rock yesterday morning. But that sounding didn't punch through with +3C like this afternoon's forecast sounding looks to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 21 years since the blizzard of 2005 14.1 inches at NYC. This could be close at current rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 4.2 inches of new snow. An even inch in the last hour 6° and snow continues still haven't gotten under any of those 2 to 3 inch an hour bands yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 4° w/ heavy snow 5" otg With these rates we are gonna have a foot by noon 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 1 minute ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: 4.2 inches of new snow. An even inch in the last hour 6° and snow continues still haven't gotten under any of those 2 to 3 inch an hour bands yet. This is gonna be a big dog 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17&parm=850mb&underlay=1&source=1# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now