EastonSN+ Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Thundersleet reported in Texas!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Another Ukie run, another NYC snow hole. Having said that... it's a colder solution, which is welcome. Yea what is with that snow hole over nyc?! Unreal that it hasn’t moved in pretty much of all the UKIE runs. Anyone have an explanation for what is causing that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 36 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Don't forget orient is farthest north versus the city or the island but yeah that is wonky Orient Point is at the same latitude as Ossining or Bridgeport. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Ukie got colder and snowier again. Wow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Precip is flying on the radar. I wouldn't be shocked to see this storm start earlier than modeled. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Precip is flying on the radar. I wouldn't be shocked to see this storm start earlier than modeled. Very dry air though. Dewpoint is -11 at JFK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Precip is flying on the radar. I wouldn't be shocked to see this storm start earlier than modeled. I would be shocked if one of our snow storms DIDN'T start earlier than modeled. Never understood why, but it seems the norm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Precip is flying on the radar. I wouldn't be shocked to see this storm start earlier than modeled. 5-7am here. We are going to have virga for a bit, but it should come in like a wall once over coming the dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Precip is flying on the radar. I wouldn't be shocked to see this storm start earlier than modeled. Likewise for the brunt of it closing down likely between midnight and 3 am Monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Very near unanimous and consistently similar QPF for the area for the last 3-4 days of 1.10 - 1.50 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Very near unanimous and consistently similar QPF for the area for the last 3-4 days of 1.10 - 1.50 . The QPF has consistently been at least 1 inch for sure. Also, seems like it has been increasing for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Take the betting stuff to banter. I get it lol but keep this for storm discussion only. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Euro and Euro AI have a big thump. Around a foot for NYC. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 There is going to be 1 - 1.5" of LE region wide, all of it frozen (except maybe the Jersey shore and that whole area of dixie). This will be the most wintry week we have had in years, and it will look and feel it. Should be pretty cool. I'm waxing up my BC skis. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Euro and Euro AI have a big thump. Around a foot for NYC. Euro and GFS going in opposite directions. Surprising nobody seems to riled up about it. I think 10+ is on the table still for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 How fast does everything overcome dry air? Surface dews are still well below 0 over much of the storms path.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Yeah, didn't hate the 18z euro. More similar to it's 00z run then the 12z run was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: There is going to be 1 - 1.5" of LE region wide, all of it frozen (except maybe the Jersey shore and that whole area of dixie). This will be the most wintry week we have had in years, and it will look and feel it. Should be pretty cool. I'm waxing up my BC skis. Retention snobs rejoice! Going to feel like deep winter for a bit. Can’t wait!1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Euro ai locked and loaded again 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Retention snobs rejoice! Going to feel like deep winter for a bit. Can’t wait!1It felt like it today! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, Eduardo said: Retention snobs rejoice! Going to feel like deep winter for a bit. Can’t wait!1 I’m hoping for the freezing drizzle at the end-maybe it happens in the dry slot when there’s little lift. It’ll encase everything into a glacier. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Hate to say it but it’s pretty useless to look at globals this close to the storm. Mesos and CAMs are more reliable at this range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Hate to say it but it’s pretty useless to look at globals this close to the storm. Mesos and CAMs are more reliable at this range. RGEM coming in 10+ for nyc again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, North and West said: It felt like it today! . Cleaned my yard and shed when it was 12 degrees. Had on 4 layers. I enjoyed it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 RGEM looks like it wants to set the battleground around nyc metro if true. There could be a battle with the dynamics at play maybe some snow wins out or it goes back and forth??? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Unfortunately the ECMWF-AIFS treats all frozen precip. (e.g., sleet) as snow in its 10:1 total, so that map isn't going to tell us much. Same is true for the UKMET and a few others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Incredible run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, eduggs said: Unfortunately the ECMWF-AIFS treats all frozen precip. (e.g., sleet) as snow in its 10:1 total, so that map isn't going to tell us much. Same is true for the UKMET and a few others. Pivotal don’t let any maps that show sleet impact snow accumulation I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1/24 18z RGEM very high QPF SNowfall (10:1) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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