snowfan Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Updated this morning. It’s been a long time since we’ve had one of these storms seemingly lock in at this range. The signal is strong with this one. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wintrest Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 24 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I guess the fly in the ointment is that we basically have a non storm with GFS AI. What is it seeing that makes it want to cut the northern edge precip down so much? Seems like this was a bigger drop than just noise. I see the answer above. Thanks, @Terpeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 WB 6Z GEFS: several big hits! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Goooood morning weenies! Nice runs overnight. Get your banter out of your system, I’m awake and paying attention 9 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 WB 6Z GEFS: several big hits!What happened with p12? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Mabrook(means congrats in Arabic)The euro has initialized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 6 minutes ago, Ji said: What happened with p12? Looks like the BAJA low never kicks east with 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 WB 6Z EURO AI bounced back North this run. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Looks like the BAJA low never kicks east with 12Good pickup. That would be crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I would assume there is starting to be better sampling of the system as the players start to enter the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Really good consensus for this range. Steady as she goes. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO AI bounced back North this run. Add some more to that for kuchera 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, WxUSAF said: Really good consensus for this range. Steady as she goes. Yup. I feel like last night was a positive threshold we crossed into the land of OZ. Now we need to carefully follow the yellow brick road. Im out. No more banter lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Add some more to that for kucheraAll the big ones slowly went from 10 to 12 to 15 to 18 to 24 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, Ji said: 0.83 inches ice accretion in East Texas. This is one time I am so grateful Austin is such a dry place. No way we get more than one 128th of an inch of ice. We are safe near Austin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Really good consensus for this range. Steady as she goes. The snowfall pattern on the Euro last night tells me it'll come further north and even up thru NE should do well. They already did OK on 0z, but I'll bet it gets better for them...and probably us too. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 The secret to a big storm is scheduling a major appointment two months in advance....looks like I'm rescheduling next Monday. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: The secret to a big storm is scheduling a major appointment two months in advance....looks like I'm rescheduling next Monday. If this thing holds, Montgomery County school children (like my middle schooler) will be annoyed. They have off Monday for an end of quarter teacher grading day. I think the teachers have to report in though, so they will be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 If that northern stream trough on the Euro was to sharpen some, it could tug the coastal back, or hold it in place an additional 3-6 hours, then we're not in business but in trouble. Lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: If this thing holds, Montgomery County school children (like my middle schooler) will be annoyed. They have off Monday for an end of quarter teacher grading day. I think the teachers have to report in though, so they will be happy. If this thing becomes a HECS, then your middle schooler might get most of the week off regardless of Monday. Thats what happened in 1996, 2003, and 2010. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The snowfall pattern on the Euro last night tells me it'll come further north and even up thru NE should do well. They already did OK on 0z, but I'll bet it gets better for them...and probably us too. At some point I think ratios are going to matter with this cold. You can clearly see it on the precip maps where we might get less precip but the higher ratios make up for it in snowfall. I think we are any a great spot and if we have a jump north I assume the cold is not as strong and its mostly a wash with accumulations? Euro AI shows only a 2 inch difference between Fredericksburg and Mon county NJ. A distance of 250 miles. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: If that northern stream trough on the Euro was to sharpen some, it could tug the coastal back, or hold it in place an additional 3-6 hours, then we're not in business but in trouble. Lol I had that thought too. At that point we're calling Gov. Moore to airlift @Jebmanin to shovel us out. Godspeed Jeb Ok that's my banter for the day. Going to lurk mode... Looking forward to today's runs. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Man I’d love to be in Maryland for this as I’ve waited 10 years for this kind of storm, but it will be tough for me. No need to feel bad though, I’m way up north now and can look forward to single digit highs this weekend You all better enjoy this, especially @SnowenOutThere and other young guys who’ve never seen a double digit storm above age 8-10. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidjd1114 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Nice. I love where we sit right now with heaviest totals in South Central VA. We all know that will end up this way.Exactly what I was thinking . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Euro another small tick slower this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 WB 6Z EURO at 1am Monday. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO at 1am Monday. Beautiful look, delayed but not denied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Did anyone see how far north the 3z SREF is at the end of its run? Even gives us some snow Friday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO at 1am Monday. It's a beaut Clark!!! And looks like there is more to come after he 144 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO at 1am Monday. Pummeled. We are locked in. The rush on the stores begins tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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