Solution Man Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Did the ICON actually sort of back the time up to a little earlier compared to before (and to other models)? Seems that for awhile at least this was trending to more a Sunday-Sunday night (and possibly into Monday) thing. Appears to be late Saturday evening on ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Baja blast low less closed off hr 51 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Gfs is coming around. Closed low unclosing and ns is digging further back in BC. Should be a better run (not saying much lol) 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Wave is open and moving more easter 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, stormtracker said: Wave is open and moving more easter Bring us home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Phases much earlier than any GFS run, even the great 6z and 0z 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Aigfs with a nice bump north 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: Aigfs with a nice bump north Any precip/snow maps available? ETA: Just checked it quickly on TT, which is finally out that far and yeah, that low moves more northeast up the coast rather than straight east offshore. And the precip looks greater...notably so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago WB 18Z AI GFS compared to 12Z. 11 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: (Ahem...@ravensrule???) OK, sorry for the banter, but couldn't resist! But saying something on topic, yeah it hopefully is a good sign with that closed low "opening" a bit and perhaps pushing more east? This run is going to be much better than 12z, great trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago AI-GFS considerably north of 12Z run. ~0.8 QPF for DC; ~1.1 for SoMD. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Seems like it which is always a great sign. I’m getting pretty excited, but still holding back expectations until 00z Thursday. Like the trends so far. Early Thursday also my mental mark on the wall 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Weather Will said: WB 18Z AI GFS compared to 12Z. holy shit that's a huge bump north, probably would be 12" of snow in DC via Kuchera 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago It's coming out much more than 12z...and is in line with other guidance lookswise 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago lol, looks nothing like 12z at h5 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, stormtracker said: lol, looks nothing like 12z at h5 Thus why we never really should pay attention too much to this model. Maybe only Gefs is worth a look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I’m Ralph Wigguming over here. Bring it! @stormtracker 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Now let's see if it translates down the line. GFS is liable to still fuck this up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I hope not banter-ish but could someone describe in basic terms how the NC Piedmont AND DC areas score Warning+ criteria snow and minimal mixing? TY. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z AI GFS compared to 12Z. What an outstanding model...:) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS puts some light stuff over the area by Saturday morning 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Healthier precip shield at 84... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looking like an earlier start time too. Glad to see the delayed trend ceasing for at least one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Here we go 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, csnavywx said: AI-GFS considerably north of 12Z run. ~0.8 QPF for DC; ~1.1 for SoMD. Absolutely...this is through 06Z Monday...18Z on top, 12Z on bottom: (ETA: Ninja'd by @Weather Will, and his graphics are better than the TT ones!) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, DC2Winston said: I hope not banter-ish but could someone describe in basic terms how the NC Piedmont AND DC areas score Warning+ criteria snow and minimal mixing? TY. . Strength of the cold air, for one thing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: What has stuck out to me today is that there seem to be a pretty wide range of phasing scenarios that still give us a major storm. GFS skunked us because the northern wave was weak and the southern wave didn’t eject and there was no phasing. Seemingly any other combination of shortwave options is giving us SOMETHING. That to me is a major confidence booster that we’re not relying on perfect phasing or timing to get a snow. Like I said in my yesterday analysis we just need that first phase out west to get the SW moving east and were golden for a major snowstorm somewhere over the east coast. Speaking of which the GFS will be coming back to the fold after its 12z adventures 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, soadforecasterx said: Here we go That could end up with a G… or an F… downstream if the gfs doesn’t f this up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said: Here we go This looks soooo much better. Bring it home! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Its a Breeze Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, DC2Winston said: I hope not banter-ish but could someone describe in basic terms how the NC Piedmont AND DC areas score Warning+ criteria snow and minimal mixing? TY. . Being stuck in the teens certainly helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now