40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 General 4-7" on the GEM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: What do you mean by NY state? I think he means to the boarder..? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Meanwhile the AI has been more consistent (GFS AI also starting at 18z yesterday) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: What do you mean by NY state? Like ALB area ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I think he beans to the boarder..? You just never know how out of control he will get with his weenie when it gets excited. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Meanwhile the AI has been more consistent (GFS AI also starting at 18z yesterday) Can’t argue that…thing led the way. Nice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Ray hoping we all get 1-2”. Classic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Like ALB area ish that area around the Hudson always gets some good upslope wringing out, as do the berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, dendrite said: You just never know how out of control he will get with his weenie when it gets excited. Lol…ok I was wrong too. He said Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Like ALB area ish lol...good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Filtered sun and 34 here currently… Interesting… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, dendrite said: lol...good luck with that So you’re thinking no snow in ALB? Ok then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: So you’re thinking no snow in ALB? Ok then Not doing your mental gymnastics. I'm not ruling out a little snow for ALB. You said mid level banding implying it would be more substantial. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Not doing your mental gymnastics. I'm not ruling out a little snow for ALB. You said mid level banding implying it would be more substantial. Thats what I think will occur friend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ray hoping we all get 1-2”. Classic. Nah, 3-5"....but all set with 10" on the s shore, 3" here and 6" in MHT. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nah, 3-5"....but all set with 10" on the s shore, 3" here and 6" in MHT. On the 6z GFS, did you account for some of that precip to your northwest from today? I don’t really see this as a set up to have major bones zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 3-6 River west and 4-8 River East yea were going 4-8 most of state, 2-4 NW 1/3rd, that was the consensus between me and @Sey-Mour Snow working on graphics now 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: yea were going 4-8 most of state, 2-4 NW 1/3rd, that was the consensus between me and @Sey-Mour Snow working on graphics now Game is on boys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 NWS shrugging it's shoulders 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 And that includes anything else from today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, DJln491 said: NWS shrugging it's shoulders I actually think it's a pretty fair map. N and W gets in on today's snow and the SE areas get in on tomorrow's snow. There will probably be a relative shaft zone in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: And that includes anything else from today. That will change if the 12z suite finishes up strong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 After looking at everything from 12z,thinking this will end up being an advisory most places. 2-5" across the board. maybe someone scores a 6er somewhere. Open to being pleasantly surprised though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, DJln491 said: NWS shrugging it's shoulders prob waiting to digest full 12z suite and coordinate with other offices on WSWs (WSW is watch/warning/adv) before making wholesale changes. that would be my guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: prob waiting to digest full 12z suite and coordinate with other offices on WSWs (WSW is watch/warning/adv) before making wholesale changes. that would be my guess. Really only get one shot at this given how close we are to onset. Folks won’t pay attention to numerous evolving maps imo. Makes sense to take the time to get it right. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 People need to realize that the NWS is updating their maps on the fly. It may take them 6-8hrs to digest modeling and update appropriately. I saw no issues with that graphic earlier this AM. They issue those based upon level of confidence. Got a peak at the rest of 12z guidance, save for Ukie and Euro sweets. Some beefy solutions in them. Looks like the 12a GFS op and 12z GEFS are now on the eastern edge of guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Really only get one shot at this given how close we are to onset. Folks won’t pay attention to numerous evolving maps imo. Makes sense to take the time to get it right. Most of the public out this way don’t even know there could be snowstorm tomorrow here…so you’re spot on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: And that includes anything else from today. We have dry ground in the 395 corridor in E CT, always can adjust up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: After looking at everything from 12z,thinking this will end up being an advisory most places. 2-5" across the board. maybe someone scores a 6er somewhere. Open to being pleasantly surprised though Yeah not a bad first guess. Not including today, I think anybody over 6 is in a narrow zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just started looking now that i'm home but the 12z GFS looked like it regressed a tic or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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