First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us

[CoastalWx]

Sign me up for Reggie. No issues here. Kev can have his inch of paste too.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Reggie is weak, but it also isn’t flying along. Someone would probably get 6” out of that look

[WxWatcher007]

5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

How do you have any steam left?

Scooter breaking down after getting called in the office after losing it on a junior employee?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Reggie is weak, but it also isn’t flying along. Someone would probably get 6” out of that look

So you’re saying there’s a chance you blow with speedo and flip flops…

[Brian5671]

you know it's a sad state of affairs when we are tracking an inch of snow

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Scooter breaking down after getting called in the office after losing it on a junior employee?

Ha no office anymore. Been taking it easy but now poking around the job market. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I thought it looked conducive early on for something bigger but whatevs…nobody should complain about a snowy weekend with a couple inches down. 

I  think more than you'd think, at this point...

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I thought it looked conducive early on for something bigger but whatevs…nobody should complain about a snowy weekend with a couple inches down. 

But some are complaining about that. It’s a head scratcher 

[weathafella]

Doesn’t anyone weigh AI trends?   6z GFS Skynet is a low end warning for a big chunk and EC Skynet is improved also.  WTF is wrong with everyone?

[weathafella]

Hopefully this storm will be the one for AI to assert dominance.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I  think more than you'd think, at this point...

I’m thinking 3-6” as of now across sne. West gets more of the saturday pre deal and east more on sunday.

[8611Blizz]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ha no office anymore. Been taking it easy but now poking around the job market. 

No more airport weather?

[weathafella]

12z gfs skynet still solid for eastern New England 

[ORH_wxman]

OP run looks like ka-ka through 72

[Great Snow 1717]

20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I thought it looked conducive early on for something bigger but whatevs…nobody should complain about a snowy weekend with a couple inches down. 

Sign me up...any snow is better than no snow...

[Spanks45]

Just now, weathafella said:

12z gfs skynet still solid for eastern New England 

Regular old GFS not so much....

[weathafella]

Just now, Spanks45 said:

Regular old GFS not so much....

I’ve been a fan of the AI for months.  This could be a great test of my confidence.

[ORH_wxman]

Pretty much on par with 06z on OP run. Skynet actually trended better. 

[Spanks45]

Just now, weathafella said:

I’ve been a fan of the AI for months.  This could be a great test of my confidence.

This might be the best test so far, hopefully they are correct this time around....I have seen the regular GFS flop within 48 hrs, so who knows

[weathafella]

GFS OP is a clean whiff nyc northward 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I’ve been a fan of the AI for months.  This could be a great test of my confidence.

This is actually the best test yet because we have definitive camps for the AI models on both GFS and Euro. Big difference in the same direction between OP runs and the skynet runs. 

[CoastalWx]

Gfs op rains here, whiffs Sunday night but at least the FL handle gets snow. Take me out back and bury me.

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

No more airport weather?

Haven’t done that for awhile now. But who knows what comes about. 

[8611Blizz]

If this ends more towards the AI than the OP, particularly considering the fact that this is Thursday and the snow starts on Sunday night, they should retire the OP.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

GFS OP is a clean whiff nyc northward 

Yeah that’s actually a tick worse than 06z. No difference to us, but at least 06z was getting outer Cape and islands into decent stuff. 

[weatherwiz]

The AIGFS doesn't seem too drastically different from the 12z OP run yesterday in terms of the H5 evolution, both srn stream and nrn stream. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 8611Blizz said:

If this ends more towards the AI than the OP, particularly considering the fact that this is Thursday and the snow starts on Sunday night, they should retire the OP.

I know I said this before, but other than storm chances, it’s better off not to use the gfs op and GEFS. Honestly. 

[radarman]

1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said:

If this ends more towards the AI than the OP, particularly considering the fact that this is Thursday and the snow starts on Sunday night, they should retire the OP.

Maybe I missed something but not sure I've seen an AI coup

[wxsniss]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

12z gfs skynet still solid for eastern New England 

Increasingly interesting how these perform (at least as a distraction from a middling winter)

12z-18-0-6 GFS AI steadily ticked up each cycle

12z GFS AI stabilized / ticked back but would still be warning southeast SNE

12z EC AI has been fairly steady, advisory most of southeast SNE

[SouthCoastMA]

GFS OP is now the eastern outlier, slightly moreso than the Euro OP.