WeatherGeek2025 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: 18Z AIGFS actually looks slightly better than 12z well that's a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah GFS Skynet still trending better a bit. OP looks a bit less amped than 12z but still prob gonna be a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago gfs gonna be big 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gfs going to be good.unless it chases that convection off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gfs way weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Def less dynamic looking than 12z though. But should still be a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago You hope maybe we trend into a compromise of sorts and get at least something half-decent out of this. The 12z blizzard was a pipe dream given it had zero support. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Looks great for eastern (esp SE) Mass. Much less exciting west of 495 and into NH/ME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago The point and click seemed kind of tame with modest rain and snow chances and Southerly winds so I figured there wasn't much going on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 20 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: well that's a win slight bump NW 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You hope maybe we trend into a compromise of sorts and get at least something half-decent out of this. The 12z blizzard was a pipe dream given it had zero support. Besides a few GEFS members, no. AIGEFS also had a few members with bigs hits, but thats about it I'm fine with that run it actually didnt move east at all really, just weaker dynamics and didn't explode like 12Z Still 4-8 across most of CT/MA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18Z GFS is a much tamer version of the 12z run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Advisory event on the gfs for Eastern areas. Mega step back, as many expected. Now does that continue or do others come west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This is still the one to watch for a poss moderate-low end warning event region wide. Maybe we can grab an inch or two on Saturday but the potential ceiling for that is extremely low. And sfc temps are very borderline in areas along the shore. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is still the one to watch for a poss moderate-low end warning event region wide. Maybe we can grab an inch or two on Saturday but the potential ceiling for that is extremely low. And sfc temps are very borderline in areas along the shore. Agree. Would like to see the 18z Euro and especially EPS step in the right direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah nice bump NW on GFS AI Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah nice bump NW on GFS. Interesting AI GFS bumped NW…OP did not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2-4" for this area east ORH even before whatever comes up the coast. Nice arrival time for the coastal too, right around or before kickoff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, radarman said: 2-4" for this area east ORH even before whatever comes up the coast. Nice arrival time for the coastal too, right around or before kickoff. We’ll grab some paste prior to possible powder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago A reason I think you'll have a better chance with this thread, Ray ...is the error trends as of late considering all guidance. If that correction recurs, we're in business on this one. This event tomorrow into Friday morning, upstate NY up the ST L S was actually the original system that even the Euro was impressive for several ( not a couple ) cycles about 4 or so days ago... The Euro did not really do terribly better than the GFS - I don't know if folks are aware that the system in U NY is in fact the 15/16 cyclone space. Anyway, all these guidance were not wrong about the storm 'existing' - as we discussed earlier. The recognition of the pattern amplitude by many of us was actually spot on. Where the system takes place is the devil in this case, but ... it was actually en masse a reposition to the current strike region as outline above. It seems that's been a leitmotif this season from my recall where systems have been correcting west. While certainly true that we must consider every situation uniquely, there's certainly also wisdom in noticing whether the circumstances have changed appreciably so - if not... it's reasonable to assume that this Euro track will correct west in time. Having said all that ... we still are dealing with wave harmonics issues in lacking. The neg interference in the general circulation circumstance is only allowing narrow windows for amplitude at the cyclone/S/W scales. But as this one today up N of ALB is showing, they're still occurring nonetheless. We have a shot in this case... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6-12 en route for Brett who will post a picture of him snow blowing with the cub cadet. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Advisory event on the gfs for Eastern areas. Mega step back, as many expected. Now does that continue or do others come west Actually more like a lower end warning event verbatim. It actually was not THAT different vs 12z in terms of dynamics leading in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 6-12 en route for Brett who will post a picture of him snow blowing with the cub cadet. Thumbs up in his green fluorescent DPW jacket. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: AI GFS bumped NW…OP did not. Gefs also bumped NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago For my sanity and everyone else's I hope this is not a GFS wild goose chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago the AIGFS did not actually adjust NW from what I'm seeing. It was just a little stronger in the cyclonic envelope and by virtue of that slight increase ... expanded by a small margin around all quadrants. This may have given the allusion to a NW adjustment. I guess tho that's kind of quibbling ... I mean, if it ended up at 978 mb, it will have expanded it's impact radius that much more and I don't think it really matters sensibly - if you're in, you're in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Hopefully this pans out and it’s puking in Foxboro between 3 and 6pm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: Hopefully this pans out and it’s puking in Foxboro between 3 and 6pm. Yeah, wind and snow for a dome team like Houston... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Fwiw, the GEFs has bodily moved west, by several grid points actually. Even has a fair number of middling depth members straddling the BM. 12z left, 18 right Probably should also add... sense of this is a middle ranged cyclone ... a correcting west track has possibility, but the sub 980 idea of the GFS probably doesn't pass the middle range amplitude dimming aspect. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 21 minutes ago, weathafella said: 6-12 en route for Brett who will post a picture of him snow blowing with the cub cadet. 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thumbs up in his green fluorescent DPW jacket. If I get 6-12 I’ll snow low in flip flops and tank top. Book it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: This thread is one of the best and it’s only a few hours old. What? Someone thinking he's clever throwing F-Bombs is entertaining? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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