stormtracker Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 No status updates, so maybe this'll be quick...or 5 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMAC98 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: No status updates, so maybe this'll be quick...or 5 hours 2 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: No status updates, so maybe this'll be quick...or 5 hours Sounds like something you tell your boyfriend. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Aifs also late. Dissemination issues it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 It has begun 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Terpeast said: Aifs also late. Dissemination issues it looks like Desemenation issues are the worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, stormtracker said: It has begun YAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 GEPS mean is a bit aggressive 11 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 38 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Models going nuclear at this range is what we want of course. We know the 20-30 inch kuchie maps are for fun only this far out, but I’m starting to believe we get a major winter storm now. 2016 had 2-3 ft numbers for quite a while leading up. The only question was who would get 2 ft vs. 3 ft. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 the snowfall means have been better than the feb 2025 storm on all ensembles fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: GEPS mean is a bit aggressive A 150 hr mean snowfall of 8" - 12" is impressive. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Terpeast said: Aifs also late. Dissemination issues it looks like Yeah, it's not the biggest deal that this forum attributes late-arriving graphics on a downstream website to "the model is running late", but it ain't a bus stuck in traffic. These models run at the exact same time each day, and it takes close to the same amount of time each cycle for them to run. > 99% of delays are dissemination issues or issues at the sites generating graphics. The model itself is only late if it crashes or there are huge computer issues, both are which are exceedingly rare. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, snowmagnet said: 2016 had 2-3 ft numbers for quite a while leading up. The only question was who would get 2 ft vs. 3 ft. The models didn't know. We all did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 AI Euro looks basically identical at hour 72 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 AIFS hits 7 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It has begun trying to play catchup? already out to 48 on Pivotal. (edit: was referring to AI) What happened to Beethoven? Did he get kidnapped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, bncho said: the snowfall means have been better than the feb 2025 storm on all ensembles fwiw That one didn't have a good pattern in the Pacific or 50/50 low area (500mb vortex was well NE of the spot, technically a "south-based +NAO" -- it wasn't a backed up pattern, it was progressive). This one is a better pattern from the medium range: 50/50 is steady, blocking up north in Alaska, northern Canada, and northern Greenland/Davis Strait. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: The models didn't know. We all did. 96 and 16 both had massive closed lows. This one seems like it’s mostly a big overrunning event…which would also be cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: AIFS hits 3 times 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Allen Iverson euro is sick. Love this solution 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 What a rock fucking solid model. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Lol. Euro AI has 3 hits in a row too. This is #3. Hahaha 3 threads inbound.... hahahaha 15 2 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Euro AI looks fantastic!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Allen Iverson euro is sick. Love this solution 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 6 minutes ago, high risk said: Yeah, it's not the biggest deal that this forum attributes late-arriving graphics on a downstream website to "the model is running late", but it ain't a bus stuck in traffic. These models run at the exact same time each day, and it takes close to the same amount of time each cycle for them to run. > 99% of delays are dissemination issues or issues at the sites generating graphics. The model itself is only late if it crashes or there are huge computer issues, both are which are exceedingly rare. Good to know 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 No wonder it was delayed lol. It was pumping out 3 massive snow storms. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 12" snowstorm, 8" snowstorm, 24" snowstorm on the AI Euro. JFC 10 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 In AI We Trust 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Who drugged the euro ai with ecstasy? Dear lord! Back to back to back! Im off to goon.... 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Doesn't really change the final result, the ECAIFS is notably slower with the arrival of the event on Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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