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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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10 minutes ago, Climate175 said:

Exactly. Just about 120 hrs from the forecasted precip (snow) entering the region. Not a guarantee, but the fact this next one could be a Miller A looks promising. 

Funny thing is, and I remember because I posted the image about 8 days ago, models were showing a clear Miller A for the same time frame. Kind of got muted for a bit after, but now obviously is showing up again.

If any of the big deterministic guidance besides the euro jumps on board today, this place is going to erupt.

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3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Funny thing is, and I remember because I posted the image about 8 days ago, models were showing a clear Miller A for the same time frame. Kind of got muted for a bit after, but now obviously is showing up again.

If any of the big deterministic guidance besides the euro jumps on board today, this place is going to erupt.

You most definitely were gooning over it. The “Wiggum Storm” lives. :)

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3 minutes ago, Climate175 said:

GFS

  • 12Z: ~10:30 AM EST
  • 18Z: ~4:30 PM EST

ECMWF (Euro)

  • 12Z: ~1:45–2:00 PM EST
  • 18Z: ~7:45–8:30 PM EST

Is this about right?

Nowadays, you can get about these times. 

10:30 AM/PM 0z/12z GFS Begins (by 11:15 you're out to 144 hr or so)

11:00 AM/PM GGEM 0z/12 

11:30 AM/PM 0z/12z UKMET frames are out 

12:20 AM/PM 0z/12 EURO begins

Other models & times

NAM starts 8:45 12z and 6 hour intervals (takes until about 9:30 for full run) 

ICON & RGEM both out around 10AM and 6 hour intervals for its cycles

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2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Nowadays, you can get about these times. 

10:30 AM/PM 0z/12z GFS Begins (by 11:15 you're out to 144 hr or so)

11:00 AM/PM GGEM 0z/12 

11:30 AM/PM 0z/12z UKMET frames are out 

12:20 AM/PM 0z/12 EURO begins

Other models & times

NAM starts 8:45 12z and 6 hour intervals (takes until about 9:30 for full run) 

ICON & RGEM both out around 10AM and 6 hour intervals for its cycles

Thanks for that rundown!

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14 minutes ago, Scraff said:

You most definitely were gooning over it. The “Wiggum Storm” lives. :)

In an fairness the window i was watching was 27-29, the clipper i thought would dive and bomb at the coast.  Which it does but too late for any effects but that does become our 50/50 for the weekend, so there's that.

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