Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,510
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    RHiggins
    Newest Member
    RHiggins
    Joined

January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
 Share

Recommended Posts

38 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Models going nuclear at this range is what we want of course.  We know the 20-30 inch kuchie maps are for fun only this far out, but I’m starting to believe we get a major winter storm now. 

2016 had 2-3 ft numbers for quite a while leading up. The only question was who would get  2 ft vs. 3 ft. 

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Terpeast said:

Aifs also late. Dissemination issues it looks like

         Yeah, it's not the biggest deal that this forum attributes late-arriving graphics on a downstream website to "the model is running late", but it ain't a bus stuck in traffic.   These models run at the exact same time each day, and it takes close to the same amount of time each cycle for them to run.    > 99% of delays are dissemination issues or issues at the sites generating graphics.   The model itself is only late if it crashes or there are huge computer issues, both are which are exceedingly rare.  

 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, bncho said:

the snowfall means have been better than the feb 2025 storm on all ensembles fwiw

That one didn't have a good pattern in the Pacific or 50/50 low area (500mb vortex was well NE of the spot, technically a "south-based +NAO" -- it wasn't a backed up pattern, it was progressive). This one is a better pattern from the medium range: 50/50 is steady, blocking up north in Alaska, northern Canada, and northern Greenland/Davis Strait. 

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, high risk said:

         Yeah, it's not the biggest deal that this forum attributes late-arriving graphics on a downstream website to "the model is running late", but it ain't a bus stuck in traffic.   These models run at the exact same time each day, and it takes close to the same amount of time each cycle for them to run.    > 99% of delays are dissemination issues or issues at the sites generating graphics.   The model itself is only late if it crashes or there are huge computer issues, both are which are exceedingly rare.  

 

Good to know

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...