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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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29 minutes ago, Ji said:

the EURO AI keeps throwing snow our way after the 12th....its like a lake affect band that never stops

Euro AI Ensemble features BN 850 temperatures from hour 228 through the end of the run. Its accuracy at range was dubious during the overwhelming -WPO regime, but perhaps this will be a better test for it. 

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Euro AI Ensemble features BN 850 temperatures from hour 228 through the end of the run. Its accuracy at range was dubious during the overwhelming -WPO regime, but perhaps this will be a better test for it. 

Pros seem to think it was the best performing ensemble model
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I'm kind of concerned about the end of the 18z GEFS in what is suppose to be our colder time.. the N. Pacific High pressure extends south and west, giving us more -PNA. The Atlantic has a south-based +NAO. Thankfully it has time to change, as other forecasting agencies and long range products are showing more of a 500mb pattern favorable for cold. 

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On 12/26/2025 at 7:47 PM, bncho said:

Philly doesn’t have the passion, half of the  NYC forum is arguing, and neither have the knowledgeable posters. NE has them but if it isn’t snowing in Boston 90% don’t even bother, and the SE is just inactive. We have fostered a supportive community and we live and die together.

really starting to regret this post after the last few days :arrowhead:

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