January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[SouthCoastMA]

57 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Did we all get this text today from friends and family? 

I got a group text with a link to a Northeast Weather Alert fb post

[Hailstoned]

13 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

I remember that storm well. A couple local mets were adamant that there was no way it would hit. I remember staying up and sneaking a peak at the 11 pm news. Hilton on channel 3 called the high to the north "the rock of Gibraltar" and would miss. What a great surprise the next day 

It was indeed one of those storms that kept you on edge with potential that threatened also, great disappointment. It came in after dark, and what followed was probably the best and most long lasting thunder snow I have ever experienced. It was gone by the next morning having left in its wake about 15" where I was, just west of Boston.

[Cyclone-68]

Ahhh. Feb 1983 that was a fun one. The biggest forecast bust in maybe my lifetime. I remember listening to Elliot Abrams on WHDH insisting the storm would still miss us as it was snowing heavily out my window. Kinda soured my opinion on Accuweather at a young age 

[FRWEATHA]

4 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Ahhh. Feb 1983 that was a fun one. The biggest forecast bust in maybe my lifetime. I remember listening to Elliot Abrams on WHDH insisting the storm would still miss us as it was snowing heavily out my window. Kinda soured my opinion on Accuweather at a young age 

Yep. Remember it well. Was in high school then. Was a Friday getting OES thinking that’s all we’ll get. Then the storm hit that night. We’ve had ‘83, ‘96 and 2003 that come to mind that has bumped north for a hit. But old enough to remember PD1 in ‘79 and 2010 more recently that suppression can happen. Let’s hope the weekend event can bump north.

[WinterWolf]

21 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Ahhh. Feb 1983 that was a fun one. The biggest forecast bust in maybe my lifetime. I remember listening to Elliot Abrams on WHDH insisting the storm would still miss us as it was snowing heavily out my window. Kinda soured my opinion on Accuweather at a young age 

 

9 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said:

Yep. Remember it well. Was in high school then. Was a Friday getting OES thinking that’s all we’ll get. Then the storm hit that night. We’ve had ‘83, ‘96 and 2003 that come to mind that has bumped north for a hit. But old enough to remember PD1 in ‘79 and 2010 more recently that suppression can happen. Let’s hope the weekend event can bump north.

For sure to both of you guys. If we can get it to get up in here, I’m hoping the timing slows just a bit(6hrs even), as I’ll be heading back home on Sunday morning from N. Maine, and will be getting home about 1-2 pm. Obviously a Moot point if it misses. 

[cleetussnow]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

If it starts looking like a very big threat, maybe we will do a New England radio show. 

Do a mid Atlantic one.  It will screw them and hit us.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

If it starts looking like a very big threat, maybe we will do a New England radio show. 

I'm in....hypothetically speaking.

[FRWEATHA]

Gfs looks north.

[MJO812]

Cmc coming north 

[cleetussnow]

Tick tick tick.  Plenty of time.

[Fozz]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc coming north 

Really? I don’t see much of a shift at all.

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Fozz said:

Really? I don’t see much of a shift at all.

 

[brooklynwx99]

the trend with the TPV splitting in two more is what you want to see - allows for heights in the SE to rise more

[Fozz]

11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

I see it now… it’s not that it shifted north, I think there’s a sneaky second wave that the last run didn’t have.

[CCHurricane]

00z GFS-AI well south...on to tomorrow! 

[MJO812]

Brrr

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:

00z GFS-AI well south...on to tomorrow! 

Ukie is a decent hit with temps in the teens 

[WinterWolf]

That Canadian is a burial…wow.  Can it find a nut again? 

[Diggiebot]

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That Canadian is a burial…wow.  Can it find a nut again? 

Can you post it plz and thanks 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Diggiebot said:

Can you post it plz and thanks 

It’s just a couple posts above Diggie…Anthony posted it. 

[NEG NAO]

40 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie is a decent hit with temps in the teens 

Ukie precip at 0Z run makes it all the way to southern VT. NH. BUT the snowfall map attached is only 10:1 ratio . Ratio's will be higher .

[WxWatcher007]

Euro phases and that triggers a coastal that tracks under New England. That’s one way to do it.

Somebody is going to get obliterated in this setup—Grid collapse from Texas to Virginia Beach? 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro phases and that triggers a coastal that tracks under New England. That’s one way to do it.

Somebody is going to get obliterated in this setup—Grid collapse from Texas to Virginia Beach? 

Don, what’s it phase with? The energy over the upper Midwest?  Does it eject the Baja low into the set up? 

[WxWatcher007]

Big cold still shows up Saturday and Sunday. A little more muted further north.

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Don, what’s it phase with? The energy over the upper Midwest?  Does it eject the Baja low into the set up? 

[WinterWolf]

That Euro run is a full day or two later. 

[WxWatcher007]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That Euro run is a full day or two later. 

Yeah it looks like an outgrowth of the original system sliding off the coast. An outlier but interesting. The South better get ready though. They have an HECS on the way.

[ineedsnow]

Had a snow squall at some point last night. Everything covered

[Snowcrazed71]

Well. Gil from our local weather station is now saying Snow is increasingly likely for Sunday and Monday. He must have liked the trends, especially the Euro tonight. 

[moneypitmike]

3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Big cold still shows up Saturday and Sunday. A little more muted further north.

 

I would think that any forces that are muting the cold are also providing conditions for the snow to bump further north.  I don't think think there's any hope for up here, but may be CT/RI/SE Mass can finagle a little.