January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

1933 and 1943 would’ve been pretty cold up there. Franklin COOP had -40° in the 1943 one. That probably means somewhere around -30° here on the hill considering CON had their all time record low of -37°.

I need to find the closest station relevant to your climo for those years.

I was just looking up the 1933 data from all of the NH sites and there’s a lot of -40s in Coos, but 2 stood out…-48° in Milan and -52° in Dixville Notch. Unfortunately they were stamped with “not standard thermometer” on the forms. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

What the heck was that?

[weathafella]

That was a futile scroll….

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

What the heck was that?

What? 

[Kitz Craver]

I’m so confused 

[moneypitmike]

2 hours ago, RDRY said:

That would cause snow fatigue even with this crew.

I had to shovel PVD, Pit1, and Pit2 today.  Kicking back now.

[WinterWolf]

Those weeklies were nuts. Obviously low skill, but that’s quite the run there..Dam. 

[ORH_wxman]

32 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Something HAS to give.  Something.  This could be a great winter - its in front of us - but only if we catch one or 2 out of this.  

There’s a path to a great winter. Even December wasn’t bad. It was frustrating for sure because it felt like we left a lot on the table, but at the end of the day, it was cold in December with a lot of smaller snow events to add to the holiday feel and we had long stretches of snow cover. 
 

If we somehow can cash in on this final 10 days of January and then those weeklies are close to correct for February, all of the sudden you are looking at a big winter. 

[moneypitmike]

3 hours ago, UnitedWx said:

The idiot IPhone app is...

My brother sent out a screen shot of his to my family saying he's getting 19" of snow.  They all got really excited.....I told them to cool their jets for about 5 days.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

There’s a path to a great winter. Even December wasn’t bad. It was frustrating for sure because it felt like we left a lot on the table, but at the end of the day, it was cold in December with a lot of smaller snow events to add to the holiday feel and we had long stretches of snow cover. 
 

If we somehow can cash in on this final 10 days of January and then those weeklies are close to correct for February, all of the sudden you are looking at a big winter. 

The cold has been consistent…And looks to crush going forward now.  Let’s hope we can grab some of these systems the next couple weeks to start, as you said. 

[beavis1729]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Had to be sub -40C stuff on a Montreal express trajectory. The perfect storm of ingredients to get those types of numbers. 

Today's 12z Euro shows near -40C at H85 in NW Minnesota at 84 hours. That's the type of airmass that can produce -40F or colder surface temps in the typical radiator spots, like Tower and Embarrass, if skies clear and winds go calm or near calm. Probably the coldest airmass in that part of the world (and imby) since late January 2019?

[DavisStraight]

17 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I had to shovel PVD, Pit1, and Pit2 today.  Kicking back now.

How much at Pit 2? An overnight burst gave me 8 total here.

[dendrite]

Just now, beavis1729 said:

Today's 12z Euro shows near -40C at H85 in NW Minnesota at 84 hours. That's the type of airmass that can produce -40F or colder surface temps in the typical radiator spots, like Tower and Embarrass, if skies clear and winds go calm or near calm. Probably the coldest airmass in that part of the world (and imby) since late January 2019?

Feb 96 where they did -50s/-60 INL had -32C at 850 and -40C at 925 on the RAOB. Ooze a 1055 high over them and the heart of the cold can come in below 850.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Feb 96 where they did -50s/-60 INL had -32C at 850 and -40C at 925 on the RAOB. Ooze a 1055 high over them and the heart of the cold can come in below 850.

That’s truly amazing stuff. I want us to snow this weekend but I really want to see high end cold up at WXW2 this weekend. 

[dendrite]

17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The cold has been consistent…And looks to crush going forward now.  Let’s hope we can grab some of these systems the next couple weeks to start, as you said. 

Except for the last 2 weeks. 

We’ll probably get the departures back to BN for the month, but it obviously gets more difficult to move the needle the further we go. Everyone in SNE is around +3 right now.

[ORH_wxman]

18z GFS Skynet is more suppressed this run for the weekend. Scraper. 

[moneypitmike]

21 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

How much at Pit 2? An overnight burst gave me 8 total here.

Wound up with 3.  So 7.5 for the weekend if I'm doing my math right.

It was a lot easier to clear up here than in Mattapoisett!

[Spanks45]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFS Skynet is more suppressed this run for the weekend. Scraper. 

Its over....just kidding

GFS looks better though

[ORH_wxman]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFS Skynet is more suppressed this run for the weekend. Scraper. 

On the flip side, the OP run is trending north. 

[Spanks45]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

On the flip side, the OP run is trending north. 

It looked as though it wanted to phase with the energy over the great lakes

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

On the flip side, the OP run is trending north. 

They’ll converge on a razor thin whiff 

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

They’ll converge on a razor thin whiff 

My guess is we’ll get something or it won’t be that close. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Snowing right now 

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

They’ll converge on a razor thin whiff 

I’m shocked to hear this from you

Did you win the bet by the way?

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

They’ll converge on a razor thin whiff 

Back to your regularly programmed posting 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Back to your regularly programmed posting 

Nope. I just honestly feel like it’s going to get squashed. Not exactly a hot take, that’s what most guidance shows lol

[mreaves]

16 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We’ll see if it moderates some but even the ensembles are damn impressive. I know that we can do colder historically, but this is impressive. 

I don't want to sound like an old curmudgeon  but you are correct about historically seeing those temps.  I remember growing up that Canaan, VT was somewhat regularly the coldest reading in the lower 48. -20 was a pretty regular occurrence and -30 was not uncommon.  It's a few years since I've seen -20 here.  Having said that, I have an outdoor event Sunday so I wouldn't mind it moderating a bit.

[ineedsnow]

GEFS better

[Ocean Effect]

GEFS better at 18z

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

What? 

There was some big long post with a bunch of letters and numbers.   It has been removed/deleted.