January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[dryslot]

Closes off over the NJ coast @H5.

[brooklynwx99]

there’s just no way that’s right lmao i would like to see some more support 

[Boston Bulldog]

If it happens, it will not happen like that

[WeatherGeek2025]

that was a nice run, wish it was a bit slower pulling out after it closes off the Jersey Coast! 

[dryslot]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Odd evolution there.

 

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

there’s just no way that’s right lmao i would like to see some more support 

 

1 minute ago, Boston Bulldog said:

If it happens, it will not happen like that

Yeah, No.

[brooklynwx99]

meanwhile, the CMC has a beach ball of boredom over NE

[SnoSki14]

7 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

If it happens, it will not happen like that

That's one of the craziest evolutions I've seen depicted. 

[ariof]

3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

That's one of the craziest evolutions I've seen depicted. 

Here's a picture of the tech running the GFS tonight (it's either this or Intern Roy).

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2026/01/winter-poised-to-return-next-week-as.html

[Go Kart Mozart]

LBIMF, too bad it is likely fiction:

[40/70 Benchmark]

20 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Closes off over the NJ coast @H5.

F^ck that.

Next-

[Torch Tiger]

aigfs much more reasonable looking

[SnoSki14]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

F^ck that.

Next-

Agreed. It's too soon for us to benefit.  I'd be shocked to see much snow prior to late Jan. If anything does come before then consider it a huge bonus. 

Maybe the only consideration I'd give is a storm could occur during the +PNA spike aka pattern transition zone. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

This is an academic exercise of course, but relating to my last post showing intense snow over me, take a look at this sounding, and note the incredibly skinny DGZ.

[dryslot]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

F^ck that.

Next-

I'd eat my laptop if that evolution happened verbatim.

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'd eat my laptop if that evolution happened verbatim.

Might want to Put your dentures in then…last year there was a blizzard on the gulf coast…while I was in N. Aroostook. Obviously, that doesn’t show the same thing, but don’t be so sure. Lol. I don’t discount anything at a week out. No matter how outlandish. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Might want to Put your dentures in then…last year there was a blizzard on the gulf coast…while I was in N. Aroostook. Obviously, that doesn’t show the same thing, but don’t be so sure. Lol. I don’t discount anything at a week out. No matter how outlandish. 

Not happening.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, dryslot said:

Not happening.

Lol…ok. But Did we ever think there’d be blizzard conditions on the beaches of Alabama, Florida, and Louisiana?  With 12” of wind driven snow.  And snow 40 miles out into the gulf of America last January??  But it happened.  Never say never bro.  

[WinterWolf]

A weenie for a factual situation..lol.  

[CoastalWx]

Let’s do it 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

31 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I'd eat my laptop if that evolution happened verbatim.

Can you stream that?  If it happens of course. 

[WinterWolf]

8 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i literally won most forecasting competitions in my classes at school and had a negative Z-score in WxChallenge. just stop it

I stuck up for you bro this afternoon…but somebody deleted my post.
 

Keep posting. Anybody with a brain…knows you’re not wishcasting.  Great analysis all the time. 

[dendrite]

50s right up to MHT

[dryslot]

14 minutes ago, dendrite said:

50s right up to MHT

TORCH!

[moneypitmike]

3 hours ago, dendrite said:

50s right up to MHT

 

AMOUT

Nice to be in the WWA at Pit2.  Even the progged 1-2 will make for a helpful mask on whatever damage has occurred over the past couple days.

[CoastalWx]

5 hours ago, dendrite said:

50s right up to MHT

We knew

[Damage In Tolland]

Just ran 5 on pretty much all black ice.. even at 34-35.. very slick in spots 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just ran 5 on pretty much all black ice.. even at 34-35.. very slick in spots 

Same here all black ice 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

I’m not liking the long range trends, seems like after the 16-20 favorable trough we may torch again as the SE ridge pumps . We need to hit between the 16-20th. 

[kdxken]

Driveway clear!

Little darlin'

I feel that ice is finally melting

Little darlin'

It seems like years since it's been clear