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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 1994 drove me nuts. Think they missed a bunch and had like 4 delays. All for minor events and it was so cold no one left the house 

I remember some brutal cold days that winter, complete with plenty of wind too. Pretty sure that was the winter we had a tremendous amount of sleet and temps in the ten degree range after about six inches of Arctic sand with one event

 

 

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12 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

I remember some brutal cold days that winter, complete with plenty of wind too. Pretty sure that was the winter we had a tremendous amount of sleet and temps in the ten degree range after about six inches of Arctic sand with one event

 

 

I remember one storm that winter, morning started at 2 degrees with snizzle, just enough to coat the roads, temps warmed up into the 20s and it turned to heavy rain. Main roads were a skating rink, overnight it turned back to snow with temps dropping. Nasty night to drive.

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7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

I remember one storm that winter, morning started at 2 degrees with snizzle, just enough to coat the roads, temps warmed up into the 20s and it turned to heavy rain. Main roads were a skating rink, overnight it turned back to snow with temps dropping. Nasty night to drive.

There was some crazy weather in the Northeast and eastern Ohio valley that winter for sure

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3 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

I remember one storm that winter, morning started at 2 degrees with sizzle, just enough to coat the roads, temps warmed up into the 20s and it turned to heavy rain. Main roads were a skating rink, overnight it turned back to snow with temps dropping. Nasty night to drive.

I don't remember that winter particularly well although I think there was a day we had a good, solid glaze and after school we played on a grassy hill which had become a sledding hill, no hills needed.

I would have loved to see the meltdown on this forum in January. KBOS had 34" of snow, a -8 anomaly and ended the month with 3" otg (was at 16 mid-month). Jan 15-21 had lows at Logan below 10 every day, yet somehow lost 8" of snow, because two of those days had highs in the mid-40s and 1" of +RA.

And if that's not bad enough, during that same time period ORH went

-12 1
-1 45
-2 35
-8 4

Imagine someone telling you that over the course of four days, ORH was going to be below 0 every night, two days won't climb out of the singles, and, oh, yeah, there was going to be an inch of rain. Toaster sales must have been through the roof.

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48 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z NAM picking up on the colder trends for the weekend

Trick in that solution will be whether there's a pulse of sufficiently low enough DPs loading into NYS-VT-NH ... even if we can get that down to say ALB-EEN-MHT that may be close enough.  

There's a front coming through around 00z Saturday and between 3- 9Z overnight there's CAA albeit not aggressive.  

I wouldn't normally comment on a marginal set up like that for ZR, just because it's a fragile set up and it's got 60 to 72 hours to go... however, there's a distinct rising PP across upstate NY-ME and it's nosing around the terrain and bowing the isobars into a dammed look...That means like today, a sneaky ageo flow is susceptible of getting going - if/when coming out of even a -1C DP source that's good for ice at least down to the border towns.

edit I see NAM cute pink paint is indeed into interior even down here.   CNE obviously higher odds

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12 minutes ago, ariof said:

I don't remember that winter particularly well although I think there was a day we had a good, solid glaze and after school we played on a grassy hill which had become a sledding hill, no hills needed.

I would have loved to see the meltdown on this forum in January. KBOS had 34" of snow, a -8 anomaly and ended the month with 3" otg (was at 16 mid-month). Jan 15-21 had lows at Logan below 10 every day, yet somehow lost 8" of snow, because two of those days had highs in the mid-40s and 1" of +RA.

And if that's not bad enough, during that same time period ORH went

-12 1
-1 45
-2 35
-8 4

Imagine someone telling you that over the course of four days, ORH was going to be below 0 every night, two days won't climb out of the singles, and, oh, yeah, there was going to be an inch of rain. Toaster sales must have been through the roof.

Pretty sure that was the year.

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Looking more and more like the Miami rule's behaving for the 15th but it's the western ridge that's that's a problem. Too far W ... It's sort causing the trough components to dangle through the Lake/OV instead of digging.   

So we end up with the b-c axis with paltry wave running up along it instead of the bigger woofer.  It may actually work out that way - which would probably drive winter storm enthusiasts to something barely restraining apoplexy ... haha.  I mean with all do empathy ... you may never see 6" of wind whipping NEster again, huh

That PNA ridge was biased west much of last winter.   interesting anyway. 

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1 hour ago, DavisStraight said:

I have a few, moved up here and lost a lot of stuff, I have it somewhere in the bins we brought. Should have said I couldn't find one.  Got caught off guard.

Totally understand that. We built 3 small sheds over the summer and I couldn't find the snow shovels. (They were under the deck)

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10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Looking more and more like the Miami rule's behaving for the 15th but it's the western ridge that's that's a problem. Too far W ... It's sort causing the trough components to dangle through the Lake/OV instead of digging.   

So we end up with the b-c axis with paltry wave running up along it instead of the bigger woofer.  It may actually work out that way - which would probably drive winter storm enthusiasts to something barely restraining apoplexy ... haha.  I mean with all do empathy ... you may never see 6" of wind whipping NEster again, huh

That PNA ridge was biased west much of last winter.   interesting anyway. 

Kind of like we’d never see a clipper again?  We’ll see it again..bet on it. Maybe not on the 15th, but we’ll see it again. 

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49 minutes ago, ariof said:

I don't remember that winter particularly well although I think there was a day we had a good, solid glaze and after school we played on a grassy hill which had become a sledding hill, no hills needed.

I would have loved to see the meltdown on this forum in January. KBOS had 34" of snow, a -8 anomaly and ended the month with 3" otg (was at 16 mid-month). Jan 15-21 had lows at Logan below 10 every day, yet somehow lost 8" of snow, because two of those days had highs in the mid-40s and 1" of +RA.

And if that's not bad enough, during that same time period ORH went

-12 1
-1 45
-2 35
-8 4

Imagine someone telling you that over the course of four days, ORH was going to be below 0 every night, two days won't climb out of the singles, and, oh, yeah, there was going to be an inch of rain. Toaster sales must have been through the roof.

Nutz month

Screenshot_20260107_175530_Chrome.jpg

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