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January 2026 OBS and Discussion


TriPol
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On 1/14/2026 at 12:11 PM, NittanyWx said:

Maintain the view of a more active southern stream with cold air nosing into the northern tier and potentially into the midcon.  MLK weekend is the start of our best pattern potential for higher impact snow storms in quite some time. 

 

Pieces are on the board, it's a matter of putting them together.

I'm still here, and I'm thinking this pattern lasts into early February as well.  Several chances outside of just this weekend.

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39 minutes ago, NittanyWx said:

I'm still here, and I'm thinking this pattern lasts into early February as well.  Several chances outside of just this weekend.

Weeklies show that clearly. Not only early February but through February. 

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1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said:

I’m at 1 degree  

Per wunderground (accuracy?) there are multiple below zero readings down the hill in Peapack/Gladstone. They have a unique ability to trap cold air in that sink. 

-5 here, about 15 mins from Peapack/Gladstone

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1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Weeklies show that clearly. Not only early February but through February. 

I would expect some sort of warmer correction and a pullback between lobes of cold air injections.  Timing that out is tricky, but might be that late 2nd into third week of the forecast.  That's always tough to pick out at this range. 

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14 / 3 off a low of 1 here.  A brief warmup Thu / Fri ahead of the next arctic airmass (coldest of the season) arriving in phases first Sat with the much tracked storm Sun - Tue then reinforcing arctic air next week 1/28  - 1/30.   Cold into the end of the month, moderation towards the 2/2 period.  Overall cold otherwise strongest cold over the next 10 days with 1 or 2 potential storms to dump some snow in between.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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