brooklynwx99 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 i'd be excited if I was in the metro... northern fringes can do well with banding and these systems love to tick north up to game time. we'll have to monitor confluence and the phasing potential, but this could be formidable. and that's not even mentioning the 28-29th 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 11 minutes ago, psv88 said: See February 2010. Not always. One of the strongest blocking patterns on record. AO will get pretty negative but NAO not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 33 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Nice improvement on the GGEM. 32 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ukie is awesome 27 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nice to see CMC come aboard. There's more support than just the AI models. And these things usually trend north unless there's a massive -NAO type block 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Gefs came north too 19 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: if this trends more north we could be in for a doozy 12-24 inches is possible 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Not trying to over hype but the setup next weekend has similarities with 96’ 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i'd be excited if I was in the metro... northern fringes can do well with banding and these systems love to tick north up to game time. we'll have to monitor confluence and the phasing potential, but this could be formidable. and that's not even mentioning the 28-29th 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said: When Don is posting kuchera maps… 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I just have a hard time believing suppression won’t come in to play. Gut feeling is mid Atlantic see some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Prue11 said: I just have a hard time believing suppression won’t come in to play. Gut feeling is mid Atlantic see some snow These always trend North at this range. I’d be worried right now if we were in the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Prue11 said: I just have a hard time believing suppression won’t come in to play. Gut feeling is mid Atlantic see some snow this is a strong big storm, suppression works for smaller scale storms! I think this keeps trending north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I'll be in Charlotte this weekend might be stuck there for days if some of the guidance is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 27 minutes ago, psv88 said: See February 2010. Not always. it did for philadelphia 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 8 minutes ago, forkyfork said: it did for philadelphia what's your thought on the upcoming snow threat Forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 12Z Guidance (QPF) Jan 24 OOZ to Jan 25 1800 Don or others can you add specific QPF for NYC? I think it'll be helpful to track run to run. GFS: 0 ICON: GGEM (CMC) : 0.75-1.00 UKMET: >1.00 ECMWF: GEFS: GEP: EPS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Euro AI another big hit An insane run with 2 followup storms and 2 to 3 feet total 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 46 minutes ago, psv88 said: See February 2010. Not always. I was over at Ray's archives and there were 5 snowstorms listed in Feb. 2010 - which one you talking about ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Given the pattern and depth of the cold I'd favor suppression for next weekend over a big hit here but we'll see. Hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, NEG NAO said: I was over at Ray's archives and there were 5 snowstorms listed in Feb. 2010 - which one you talking about ? Probably 2/5-6/2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro AI another big hit huge snows for 24 hours straight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Winterweatherlover said: Given the pattern and depth of the cold I'd favor suppression for next weekend over a big hit here but we'll see. Hope I'm wrong. i'd go with AI models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Back to back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Wow are we aloud to post stormvista maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said: i'd go with AI models I wouldn't latch onto any models this far out, more so focus on the pattern and then model specifics inside of 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, MJO812 said: Back to back first one temps in the teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Jersey_Snowhole said: Wow are we aloud to post stormvista maps? End of run euro ai 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Probably 2/5-6/2010. Snow storm, February 5-6, 2010 - Storm Summary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 53 minutes ago, psv88 said: See February 2010. Not always. But by the end of the month they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Cmc is snow with temps of 5 to 10 sunday morning. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, North and West said: . all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Ratio's will be higher with these temps Best to post qpf charts, or at least 10:1 snowfall at this point. That way everyone can make their own forecasts of ratios from a common starting point. The same water content is pretty much the same amount of snow on the ground a few days after it falls regardless of the ratio when it fell. SWE matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Probably one of the times where it might prove more useful It could possibly be useful by Saturday morning. It is unhelpful now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Back to back The Euro AI is back to back to back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Rjay said: The Euro AI is back to back to back. Snowfall amounts for the whole period is insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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