OBS/Totals for 12/26-27 Storm

[rickymortyx]

2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

this sucks for us. no other way to spin it. we just aren't in the mix. that's ok when expectations are muted, but all this talk of biggest storm in four years....we had nearly a foot here in feb 24. it's a wide subforum, i know, but a sleetfest, and not all that big of one, was just not expected. at least i'm watching a bad movie with my daughter, chainsaw man, which i can't make heads or tails of, but its quality time with the daughter, i guess....

had more snow fall a couple weeks ago.

[SnowenOutThere]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

The areas riding the mixing line are gonna make out like bandits considering the forcing and huge flakes 

[Snowlover11]

What a joke. So much for heavy snow after 7-8pm. I got maybe 2.5” and this thing is on the door step already. Congrats to those up north and east.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, Snowlover11 said:

What a joke. So much for heavy snow after 7-8pm. I got maybe 2.5” and this thing is on the door step already. Congrats to those up north and east.

Your sleet already?

[jm1220]

3 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Places in Long Island will bust high, almost all of NJ will bust low. It happens. 
 

dumping snow but back edge is so close. Not one model had this done by 9 which it will be at this rate 

I called for 7” for my backyard last night and that’s still looking good. Some parts of CT and further east on LI will probably hit 10”. HRRR/RAP have snow lingering around here for much of the overnight. That was looking like the jackpot zone all day-from eastern half of Suffolk through much of CT and the Hudson Valley/Albany. And it was a risk that with the banding making it that far east it would result in subsidence/shredded crap over the city and west. 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Oh well a bust it looks like for the city. Nothing new here as we’ve busted low on nearly every storm for the past several years. 

Its disgusting 

Everyone around us have been doing good.

[wthrmn654]

What are we 12 years old?  Jeez what a lot of whining in here, it's snowing out,  enjoy it! 

[Snowlover11]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Your sleet already?

No, had sleet earlier. It’s snowing but radar is breaking up and the dry slot of hell is on my doorstep. The forecast of 7-11” ain’t gunna do it here.

[TriPol]

Congratulations to the NAM. I almost can't believe it.

[ILoveWinter]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Its disgusting 

Everyone around us have been doing good.

Yep we just can’t catch a break. It’s either a BL temps issue/not sticking or a fast moving warm nose bringing down accumulations.

[rickymortyx]

4 minutes ago, Picard said:

The fact that NWS has a 7:14 PM map out on social still calling for 6.8" for Sussex and 4.9" for Morristown might draw a few swipes here and there.  Not a personal attack on the mets, but it is worth pointing out that for parts of the area they are woefully wrong and misinformed about what is playing out.

There's a state of emergency, and winter storm warnings throughout the state -- they won't cave in that easily lol. 

News media was going crazy this morning about this being the biggest storm in years. We had more snow two weeks ago. Mother nature is a thing of beauty.

[[email protected]]

Denied again! The NAM wins! 

[richm20]

People on here are clearly confusing hail and graupel.

[psv88]

Upton says 4-9” out here, highest Nw Suffolk 

[the_other_guy]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

People are going to be pissed at meteorologists once again. All the news outlets had this being the biggest snowstorm in NYC in a few years. 

i mean it kind of is isnt it? wouldnt take much

 

and not  for nothing, you’re consistently pushing high end totals and colder solutions so you said expectations also for people that dont know as much as you

[MJO812]

Just now, the_other_guy said:

i mean it kind of is isnt it? wouldnt take much

Nyc got 2.9 earlier this month . I doubt they see it tonight. 

[BxEngine]

3 minutes ago, richm20 said:

People on here are clearly confusing hail and graupel.

Oh? 

[dWave]

Switched to mainly sleet now in the Bx. Coming down good though. Eyeballing close to 2" of snow/sleet.

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, rickymortyx said:

There's a state of emergency, and winter storm warnings throughout the state -- they won't cave in that easily lol. 

News media was going crazy this morning about this being the biggest storm in years. We had more snow two weeks ago. Mother nature is a thing of beauty.

I had 4 inches with no warning . I doubt i will see that. 

[jm1220]

I said 3 days ago that these storm types are infamous for trending north at the end and some others like Forky said they can keep trending north until the start. It’s why I personally never root on SWFE/overrunning storms and they’re bread and butter for the I-90 corridor. We get lucky once in a blue moon like Feb’s or Nov 2018 but by and large they suck for our area (S of I-84). Because of the orientation of the high and blocking it’s being shoved SE at the last minute which should be good for my backyard and east this time but lesson number bajillion why we should take big snow outcomes for NYC on models 72+ hours out in this type of setup with lots of skepticism. This isn’t NYC’s type of storm to pile up significant amounts-we need the benchmark Miller A or Miller Bs to come back. 

[Winterweatherlover]

It's disappointing given what many models were showing and what NWS predicted but at the end of the day a primary tracking into the midwest is usually not a formula for significant snow in NYC. Fortunate in a way to get an all frozen event out of this setup.

[Winterweatherlover]

Just now, the_other_guy said:

i mean it kind of is isnt it? wouldnt take much

The storm earlier this month was way better than this so far.

[dmillz25]

Mod snow here flakes have gotten bigger again

[WeatherGeek2025]

6 minutes ago, [email protected] said:

Denied again! The NAM wins! 

why are they discontinuing it? Nam is good i guess. This is going to be a major bust!

[binbisso]

2 minutes ago, dWave said:

Switched to mainly sleet now in the Bx. Coming down good though. Eyeballing close to 2" of snow/sleet.

Same here however back to snowing moderately 

[jm1220]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

why are they discontinuing it? Nam is good i guess. This is going to be a major bust!

It’s a blind squirrel that found a nut. But there were red flags today especially that it could be a sucky precip shield heading into the city and the best WAA snow would overshoot to the NE. 

[Prue11]

6 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Upton says 4-9” out here, highest Nw Suffolk 

I think the north fork will have a shot as the LI jackpot zone 

[wdrag]

5 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Congratulations to the NAM. I almost can't believe it.

It reads the 9000 ft near 32F TT very well.... repeatedly. While NAM has lots of variability in its modeling of this storm... when you see it have ice, be cautious.  Those that get my FB messages knew of my concern in NJ/PA.

This is not a classic storm... no closed low at 850MB.  Banding into good snow growth in the cold air produced. se NYS/CT/parts of LI.  still a little hope for tail end southward rotate 1-2" down to I80 but the models overall were too snowy in ne PA/nw NJ including the SPC HREF big time.   Euro prob for 4"+ seems pretty good.  What I used this morning at 5s30A. 

 

Pattern still good for us into January. Good night. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

HRRR has the dry slot filling in and gives northern westchester 0.49 QPF after 1z.   Perhaps it’s smoking crack but I pray it’s not. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

this thing will be over by midnight lol