Rjay Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: Lets not go nuts congratulating the NAM guys, i mean christ this is just a big a bust in the other direction. The warm mid levels were def underestimated by some models. But claiming the nam nailed anything in this subforum is probably luck, because wtf is this nonsense lol Oh and btw the NAM sucks. You know I hate that model and have for as long as you've known me but it's pretty decent with mid-level warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 I will say this - side streets are already totally covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Mount Holly said congrats NAM Just now, winterwarlock said: That counts slwet..post pivitol I have over 2”. Of snow. The 18z said id have nothing yet. Thats my point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 It's only 22 degrees and 2 inches of snow on the ground on Stony Brook long Island. Coming down heavy. I bet we wind up with 10 inches if it stays cold, which I think it will. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 27, 2025 Author Share Posted December 27, 2025 And another awesome event this season for the Albany area. That area to Hartford and over to Poughkeepsie should all have an easy 6-10" tonight. The snow shield looking like that is what we needed. The best 700mb dynamics and lift were closer to the 700mb low in upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, hooralph said: I will say this - side streets are already totally covered I Take it back. Even the avenues are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, Rjay said: Oh and btw the NAM sucks. You know I hate that model and have for as long as you've known me but it's pretty decent with mid-level warmth. 100%. But being correct by accident in some places while being incredibly wrong in other doesnt mean it performed better lol. As of 7 pm its the worst model for anyone north of nyc. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, suzook said: It's only 22 degrees and 2 inches of snow on the ground on Stony Brook long Island. Coming down heavy. I bet we wind up with 10 inches if it stays cold, which I think it will. Stony Brook is a great spot to be in for a setup like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 This is pretty crazy, complete ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 These snow bands just keep building in Suffolk. Snow hasn’t really slackened off much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: 100%. But being correct by accident in some places while being incredibly wrong in other doesnt mean it performed better lol. As of 7 pm its the worst model for anyone north of nyc. Well mt holly doesnt cover north of nyc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 4 inches here 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Godspeed anyone driving tonight 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Snowing steady just started. Meso scale decision here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Snow came in like a wall here in Whitestone, everything covered immediately. Looks beautiful out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 My god it’s just dumping sleet pour one out for every single NYC forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Sleet mixing in now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: These snow bands just keep building in Suffolk. Snow hasn’t really slackened off much. Nassau getting into it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: Oh and btw the NAM sucks. You know I hate that model and have for as long as you've known me but it's pretty decent with mid-level warmth. Yup. For years. It is on point at sniffing out that warm nose at mid levels. I have no idea what the percentage is? But, I would say it's 90% correct most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: My god it’s just dumping sleet pour one out for every single NYC forecast Where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 2 minutes ago, BxEngine said: 100%. But being correct by accident in some places while being incredibly wrong in other doesnt mean it performed better lol. As of 7 pm its the worst model for anyone north of nyc. It's not an accident that it was correct on the warm nose. Nobody pointing out the NAM was saying anything about snowfall north of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Just now, Winterweatherlover said: Where? Upper east side Manhattan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 1 minute ago, hooralph said: Godspeed anyone driving tonight It ain't hard to drive in snow. Good tires and a few brain cells are all you need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Mesoscale Discussion 2276 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0541 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 Areas affected...Upstate NY to eastern Long Island...including parts of southern New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 262341Z - 270545Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow bands will spread/develop southeast across upstate NY toward southern New England over the next few hours. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr are expected. DISCUSSION...Low-amplitude short-wave trough is progressing southeast across western NY/PA early this evening. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts a notable midlevel vort max southwest of Syracuse, and this is reflected well in radar data. Multiple heavy snow bands have developed ahead of this vort max, strongly influenced by low-level warm advection, extending across upstate NY into the lower Hudson Valley. Boundary layer moistening supports this with dew points now rising into the mid teens (F) where snow rates are increasing. Over the next few hours snow rates are expected to increase downstream across western CT and Long Island, largely in response to this well-defined short wave digging toward the northern Middle Atlantic. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr can be expected prior to the short wave passage. ..Darrow.. 12/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 25/20 per Maspeth mesonet station Light/mod Snow Streets, etc. already getting covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Yeah, that put down a quick 1.5" and it's still coming down good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 27 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: I thought 3-6 was realistic and I’ll be the first to admit I was wrong. Congratulations to all who cash in! Same here. Was going 3-6" here as well. Thought 3" was pretty much a lock. The 6" was going to be a reach but I thought 3-6" covered the range of reasonable possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Snow finally seems to be picking up in southern Yonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lawnguyland Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 Snow and Sleet mix Rockville Centre, NY LI south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 27, 2025 Share Posted December 27, 2025 3.25 inches in Yorktown after lull, back to solid moderate snow now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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