26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We will both get accumulating snow,  I will be on the edge of maybe getting several inches.  Not huge, but definitely an interesting system.  

Most models now have accumulating snow up into NH.

Id you believe the euro and NAM, plowable for the entire 3 state SNE area 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Hi res def ruining nycs snowstorm rrfs is a ton of sleet 

[Baroclinic Zone]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I am balls in with a CJ too.

It’s been popping up on various models. Maybe some oes enhancement

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Have I had too much egg nogg or are there double posts?

Have I had too much egg nogg or are there double posts?

[ineedsnow]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I'm sure the dude that eye balls hour 360 GFS storms all winter is just pining to give one up to central park

trust me I'll take what I can get.. but they haven't had a good storm in a long time.. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Most models now have accumulating snow up into NH.

Id you believe the euro and NAM, plowable for the entire 3 state SNE area 

That would be psychologically beneficial for many here, 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

trust me I'll take what I can get.. but they haven't had a good storm in a long time.. 

Neither have I lol 

[ORH_wxman]

Man, what a tough forecast. At least around here. I think it’s pretty easy to go 5-8” or so for most of CT. Maybe a stripe of higher if we can pin down where that max forcing ends up. But further northeast this could plausibly be 4-5” or a coating of sand. The fronto gets pretty strong even into MA. If that lowest level of dry air can be overcome then you could still get a surprise band that produces north. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Man, what a tough forecast. At least around here. I think it’s pretty easy to go 5-8” or so for most of CT. Maybe a stripe of higher if we can pin down where that max forcing ends up. But further northeast this could plausibly be 4-5” or a coating of sand. The fronto gets pretty strong even into MA. If that lowest level of dry air can be overcome then you could still get a surprise band that produces north. 

Doing my final in the AM, but probably 1-3" here if I had to guess now. You should get several inches.

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

trust me I'll take what I can get.. but they haven't had a good storm in a long time.. 

not since earlier this month.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, weathafella said:

not since earlier this month.

I'm going into the 2026 with 3" as my largest event. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm going into the 2026 with 3" as my largest event. 

At least the timing near Christmas helped. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

At least the timing near Christmas helped. 

Yea, that is a miracle....

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Man, what a tough forecast. At least around here. I think it’s pretty easy to go 5-8” or so for most of CT. Maybe a stripe of higher if we can pin down where that max forcing ends up. But further northeast this could plausibly be 4-5” or a coating of sand. The fronto gets pretty strong even into MA. If that lowest level of dry air can be overcome then you could still get a surprise band that produces north. 

Most models get good stuff right into and even north of Boston for a time. But you’re right. Anything from a coating of sand to 6” is on the table here, which is kind of crazy.

NAM was the best run of any model yet here, would probably be 5-6”

[ineedsnow]

ICON koochie 

[Snowcrazed71]

20 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

good luck guys i hope you get mad snow honestly

You should be in a very good spot as well!! You too

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

ICON koochie 

Another tick NE

[weathafella]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm going into the 2026 with 3" as my largest event. 

I know.  I was commenting on the misconception that nyc hasn’t had a decent December.  My biggest event was 1.5”.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, that is a miracle....

It’s kind of amazing we had back to back white Christmases when superimposed on the lack of snow overall. But at least one thing we’ve had since the beginning of last winter is cold. 
 

Anyways, yeah I’m leaning toward advisory here but that dry air makes me nervous. I’d feel better with one more little tick north. 

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

I need 4.5” to hit 10” as well which would leave me with needing 90” to hit 100

I need 6” to hit 36” which would leave me with needing 164” to hit 200

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, mreaves said:

My dendritic schlong is bigger than your dendritic schlong

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It’s kind of amazing we had back to back white Christmases when superimposed on the lack of snow overall. But at least one thing we’ve had since the beginning of last winter is cold. 
 

Anyways, yeah I’m leaning toward advisory here but that dry air makes me nervous. I’d feel better with one more little tick north. 

Well, I didn't last year...just a dusting. 

[mreaves]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

I just thought it was funny picking random numbers. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, I didn't last year...just a dusting. 

Damn I thought you had an inch or two. Well, at least that fits with the narrative of getting waterboarded in the snow department in the last 7 years there. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

For a good time, go through the latest American Skynet run...

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Damn I thought you had an inch or two. Well, at least that fits with the narrative of getting waterboarded in the snow department in the last 7 years there. 

Can already see it this year...one west on 12/2, north last one, even though I got the white xmas, and now southwest...every direction. Next one rainer (north)...

[Boston Bulldog]

Gotta wonder how much of the NE edge is virga. Extremely skeptical of those accums in NH.

North-south valleys such as the Pioneer Valley may even have some issues too. Extremely cold dry air is going to be advected directly down valley and into the low levels. There are likely to be some maddening discrepancies between radar and reality

[HIPPYVALLEY]

15 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

Gotta wonder how much of the NE edge is virga. Extremely skeptical of those accums in NH.

North-south valleys such as the Pioneer Valley may even have some issues too. Extremely cold dry air is going to be advected directly down valley and into the low levels. There are likely to be some maddening discrepancies between radar and reality

That was something I had not thought about or knew about.  Interesting.  Not really used to snows coming in at this trajectory but in my mind I was considering similar in precipitation shield to a SWFE.  Meaning, it's a rare chance to be in a good zone of lift and decent precipitation here.  

[UnitedWx]

50 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Have I had too much egg nogg or are there double posts?

I have had too much adult eggnog and think I'm seeing double weenies! Didn't esspect to see this good a trend after the Christmas celebration 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

GFS says Merry Christmas